San Fran @ KC +2.5

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  • CMangano
    SBR Hustler
    • 09-20-10
    • 58

    #1
    San Fran @ KC +2.5
    What does everyone make of this line? Opened as a PK and has now moved to SF -2.5. The last time we saw SF in a tough road stadium they got blown out by Seattle. Now they are expected to win outright in KC? Two-thirds of the public is on SF as well. Seems like KC should be an easy pick here, right?

    (Always worried about "easy" picks).
  • jgs357
    SBR Hustler
    • 08-19-10
    • 73

    #2
    There is a stat going against the Chiefs. The winless 49ers are favored over them, which fits a 15-2 system dating back to 1980. Winless teams getting points over a team coming off a win have covered 15 out of 17 times. Granted, that's not a huge sample size, but I think it's big enough. It also makes sense. A winless team has to be favored over a team coming off a victory for a reason, right?
    Comment
    • uanl
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 10-10-09
      • 825

      #3
      im damn worried about this one... i jumped the gun and bet San Fran ML -130, the "square" in me took over for a moment..now that i look at it, i might just get KC at +3 or something and either take a minimal loss or hope for a crazy middle lol ... idk, i just think the 9ers are going to play with a sense of urgency, Gore should have a great game on the ground and take the fans out of the game ... KC hasn't really shown any signs of offense during its two games and we know that in seattle's win over the 9ers, seattle had less than 250 yards of offense...if the 9ers can avoid mistakes and cover special teams, i just dont see the chiefs winning...but damn it looks to darn easy.. i'll most likely lay off by betting kc +3 or ML to get my cash back ...
      Comment
      • runnershane14
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 07-23-07
        • 803

        #4
        san fran for the cover
        Comment
        • CMangano
          SBR Hustler
          • 09-20-10
          • 58

          #5
          Originally posted by jgs357
          There is a stat going against the Chiefs. The winless 49ers are favored over them, which fits a 15-2 system dating back to 1980. Winless teams getting points over a team coming off a win have covered 15 out of 17 times. Granted, that's not a huge sample size, but I think it's big enough. It also makes sense. A winless team has to be favored over a team coming off a victory for a reason, right?
          The niners aren't GETTING points, they are GIVING points. Is that what you meant?
          Comment
          • Mthorn
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 11-29-09
            • 588

            #6
            I was at the game last night and the intensity from the game convince me sf will at least win by a td. Their Defense will easily contain kc offense.
            Comment
            • CMangano
              SBR Hustler
              • 09-20-10
              • 58

              #7
              Originally posted by Mthorn
              I was at the game last night and the intensity from the game convince me sf will at least win by a td. Their Defense will easily contain kc offense.
              At home against the SB champs after an embarrassing weak one loss, I would expect nothing less. Can they bring that same intensity with them to KC which is always a tough place to play at?

              I am sure they can keep that KC offense in check, its not hard to do, but can their O perform at any kind of a level in that enviornment?
              Comment
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