Pro-Computer Gambler 2010-2011 LOCK AND LOAD

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  • therber2
    Restricted User
    • 12-22-08
    • 3715

    #806
    Originally posted by pokerwhiz90
    saw your nfl plays, love the top 3
    Awesome. Guys I sent out the NFL plays earlier in the newsletter. I'll have the plays here in a moment. I hold off on them here at SBR for two reasons: 1. I don't want to overload you with plays. 2. I don't want anyone taking my plays and write-ups and re-posting.

    I'll post the NFL in a moment. But if anyone wants to get them earlier...fyi I post in the free newsletter first always. You can find it pretty easily googling ProCompGambler... can't post an actual link though...good luck.
    Comment
    • therber2
      Restricted User
      • 12-22-08
      • 3715

      #807
      PCG: NFL Week Nine

      NFL WEEK #9 Plays
      (2010-2011 Season):
      xxx.PROCOMPGAMBLER.xxx

      [425] Indianapolis Colts +3 over the Eagles
      (Take the COLTS for $66 - 3 UNIT bet based on $20 units)

      A 31-24 Projection for the Colts here starting Peyton Manning in his two hundredth consecutive start. Like him or not; he is the team, and this week he faces a team who can't decide on a starting QB. If there is any question which team is going to come out on top in this game I think the Colts will take the psychological edge over the Eagles' QB, Vick.

      To help out...the Colts have also shown superior passing defense over the Eagles which complements this would be QB show down. Philly hasn't been able to make a firm decision on who to start as QB. This week it will be Michael Vick; we've already shown you why that is the wrong move fun as he is to watch...Kolb is the man for the job. The Philly team will never really get too far off the ground with this internal confusion.

      This is a great time for the Colts to shine as they have been excelling on our drive charts; however, getting some unlucky turnovers. This is a great spot to correct an error like this. I've told some of you before that I keep a log of who I think the smarter player in the league are...this log helps determine whether or not to strike on a play in a typical emotion stand off where you need the brains over brawn. Peyton is smart enough, and a fairly decent leader. This dog should win the game straight up against what will probably be a very confused Philadelphia Eagles. Another thing a friend pointed out to me here is this: the Colts have done well as dogs...why? Because they have Manning who is a bit smarter than the rest. What is the psychology there? Well, like it or not; many players are fully aware of their status as either the vegas favorite or underdog. Being called the underdog helps a team like the Colts' psyche we think.

      [407] San Diego Chargers -2.5 over the Texans
      (Take the BOLTS for $55 - 2.5 UNIT bet based on $20 units)

      A solid 30-21 projection for the Chargers here...should be easily more than a touchdown if the Chargers play their cards like they should. I was impressed with a solid win against a real opponent last week: the Tennessee Titans. They showed an indication that they can get things going now. Who does the public like? Well I think they are liking Houston a bit more because they've either been hugely let down by SD or they like watching Hollywood wins that the Texans are only capable of pulling off. Many are calling a bet on the Chargers fool's gold, but I'm not so sure. Houston can really put on a show in the rushing department...my line of thought there is that it mostly comes from one or two players, and that isn't a sustainable edge. The Chargers are picking up the pace now. They might be a great train to ride.

      Why is there any public on the Texans? I'm not sure...because they put on a show probably. Let's not forget the tight wins they've walked away with though. If we are talking luck here...the Texans have been the ones with the stronghold in that department. Luck can only last so long. The Texans' wins have been close, and their losses have been good ones. Houston couldn't stop anything against the Colts...Philip Rivers is fired up...if you want a prop bet...take P.Rivers to go over his personal total in this game. Houston is ranked 32nd in Red Zone Defense...they do well in rushing with Arian Foster, but for some reason Gary Kubiak wants to keep the balls out of his hands. Who is the bad coach now? Let's hope Norv Turner stays out of our way here.

      [405] Chicago Bears -2.5 over the Bills
      (Take the BEARS for $44 - 2 UNIT bet based on $20 units)

      The Bears and Bills will be playing in Toronto, and speculation has it that more Chicagoans will attend the game than fans for the Bills. We can consider this neutral ground easily. I talked with my partner for a little bit out of his very busy schedule to go over the science of a bye week. What happens before, during, and after a bye week is fairly difficult to say, and honestly something you could write a book on. We didn't go on about it much, but my statistics tell me that the road favorite coming out of the bye week has the advantage on paper. What does that mean? It all depends...

      The Bears are walking off a slop-fest game with a total of 9 turnovers (both teams), and a nauseating loss that should have been the Bears'. I'm going to go out on a limb here and tell you that I think turnovers are more luck than anything else, and bad luck is an interesting thing for a team to stew on over their bye week. The Bills are due, and with parity back this season we can't bet against the Bills for too much, but we'll have an emotional win for the Bears here on what will feel like home turf. The Bills want their win of course (and they are looking good), but I'll tell you this: the psychological advantage still goes to the Bears who actually have something to play for and know they messed up, but messed up something that they can actually repair. The Bill's time will come for their first win, but I don't think it is going to be this week. You shouldn't have to pinch your nose too hard here, but sift through the excrement and you'll find the correct winner here: The Chicago Bears.

      [427] Dallas Cowboys +9 over the Packers
      (Take the BOYS for $33 - 1.5 UNIT bet based on $20 units)

      The Cowboys are pissed, and in a nice spot to hold their ground...minimum. The projections don't look very nice on this one so we won't go very large, but there are a number of good edges that we have going here. Green Bay just walked off an impressive win over the Jets, but I think +9 is far too generous here to give to a pissed off team; from what I've seen, the public still likes Green Bay with that big spread. My projection for the Boys is much more consistent than what I have for the Packers. About 24 points for the Boys here, and...who knows really for Green Bay...maybe 26 or 28. Worst case scenario I say the Packers win it by 6 points but that is enough to cover the spread, and that is WORST case...the Cowboys might have a huge high here in the National TV spotlight, and pull off a SU win. If Dallas can run, they could set up some great spots for Kitna, and that would be an exploitation of a hole in Green Bay. As far as coaching the Boys here...it isn't rocket science...even they can do it. Question is would Green Bay anticipate the obvious? Take the Boys anywhere between +7.5 and +9

      [411] Arizona Cardinals +9 over the Vikings
      (Take the CARDINALS for $33 - 1.5 UNIT bet based on $20 units)

      [415] NY Jets -3 over the Lions *I'm buying a point here
      (Take the JETS for $39 - 1.5 UNIT bet based on $20 units)

      [417] Miami Dolphins +5 over the Ravens
      (Take the DOLPHINS for $22 - 1 UNIT bet based on $20 units)

      I've been trying to call it all year...when will the Ravens get their breakout game? It has to happen...well no actually it doesn't. I think that the Ravens can only walk away with a 1 or 2 point victory here if they win at all.


      [xxx] Tease 7 pts. on: KC Chiefs +9 with Arizona Cardinals +16
      (Take the TEASER for $48 - 1 UNIT bet based on $20 units)

      [xxx] Tease 7 pts. on: Dallas Cowboys +16 with Seattle Seahawks +14.5
      (Take the TEASER for $24 - 1 UNIT bet based on $20 units)
      Comment
      • jalein
        SBR MVP
        • 11-19-08
        • 1005

        #808
        Strong work. And thank you for your time and effort
        Comment
        • raiders510
          SBR MVP
          • 11-05-10
          • 1038

          #809
          thanks for the picks therber
          Comment
          • pokerwhiz90
            SBR MVP
            • 10-02-10
            • 2618

            #810
            Looks like 2-1 on big plays!
            Comment
            • therber2
              Restricted User
              • 12-22-08
              • 3715

              #811
              Originally posted by raiders510
              ^^^dont spam you f\*g....create your own thread
              Lol. None of that raiders...this should be a friendly thread...although it does look like our friend is doing a copy and past job here..

              I don't mind you guys posting your own selections here. That is all fine, but I'll agree...it does look like this guy is spamming a bot or something and one of those plays may actually be plagiarized unless this gentleman is the one I am thinking of...

              Speak up there fella.
              Comment
              • therber2
                Restricted User
                • 12-22-08
                • 3715

                #812
                Originally posted by pokerwhiz90
                Looks like 2-1 on big plays!
                Comment
                • therber2
                  Restricted User
                  • 12-22-08
                  • 3715

                  #813
                  Originally posted by jalein
                  Strong work. And thank you for your time and effort
                  No problem jalein. You are very welcome here anytime.
                  Comment
                  • doin
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 02-27-09
                    • 457

                    #814
                    #807 .... points to you, thanks much.
                    Comment
                    • therber2
                      Restricted User
                      • 12-22-08
                      • 3715

                      #815
                      Originally posted by doin
                      #807 .... points to you, thanks much.
                      Thanks much doin. The points...what will I ever do with them? I guess cash out to books would be nice. Let's do the math here:

                      A $50 cash deposit as Bookmaker, 5Dimes, DSI, and a few others is 825 points.

                      That means (50/825= about 6 cents)...that isn't bad 1 SBR points equals 6 cents...in my newsletter people typically donate at least $25 to $50 each week or month WHEN I MAKE THEM MONEY and that is how I justify doing all of this for free.

                      Let's do the math again...a $50 donation would be about 825 SBR points and a $25 donation would be about 400 SBR points.

                      I just wanted to put things in perspective here. 10 SBR points is 60 cents if I did all that right. I made people 300% gains in MLB alone....and get paid 60 cents

                      Thought I'd just do that math for you guys.
                      Comment
                      • pokerwhiz90
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-02-10
                        • 2618

                        #816
                        haha therber, i'm doing all this free - since you put so much work into all of this you should maybe apply for positions at various positions as a handicapper or columnist
                        just something i started doing not too long ago

                        one more thing, for the kansas city teaser it says $48 so thats a 2 unit teaser?
                        Comment
                        • Surtainly
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 09-29-10
                          • 39

                          #817
                          therber, what is stopping you from charging for your plays?
                          Comment
                          • DaProfessor23
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-07-08
                            • 1180

                            #818
                            points are harder to come by than real money but when i get an abundant amount of points you will recieve a large portion for your efforts
                            Comment
                            • kopite
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 08-01-09
                              • 132

                              #819
                              Originally posted by therber2
                              Thanks much doin. The points...what will I ever do with them? I guess cash out to books would be nice. Let's do the math here:

                              A $50 cash deposit as Bookmaker, 5Dimes, DSI, and a few others is 825 points.

                              That means (50/825= about 6 cents)...that isn't bad 1 SBR points equals 6 cents...in my newsletter people typically donate at least $25 to $50 each week or month WHEN I MAKE THEM MONEY and that is how I justify doing all of this for free.

                              Let's do the math again...a $50 donation would be about 825 SBR points and a $25 donation would be about 400 SBR points.

                              I just wanted to put things in perspective here. 10 SBR points is 60 cents if I did all that right. I made people 300% gains in MLB alone....and get paid 60 cents

                              Thought I'd just do that math for you guys.
                              Comment
                              • rolybea
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 05-03-09
                                • 345

                                #820
                                Thanks Therber Good nluck for tomorrow
                                Comment
                                • Mthorn
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 11-29-09
                                  • 588

                                  #821
                                  good luck! im rolling with INDY big also.
                                  Comment
                                  • therber2
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 12-22-08
                                    • 3715

                                    #822
                                    Originally posted by pokerwhiz90
                                    haha therber, i'm doing all this free - since you put so much work into all of this you should maybe apply for positions at various positions as a handicapper or columnist
                                    just something i started doing not too long ago

                                    one more thing, for the kansas city teaser it says $48 so thats a 2 unit teaser?
                                    Oh shoot. pokerwhiz..that $48 was a typo. It is a 1 unit play.

                                    I put all of my plays in order greatest to least by unit size.

                                    Anyways, sure pokerwhiz...I love writing about the sports and capping the games. Let me know where you are writing. I'd probably consider something a little more professional...shoot me an email about it.
                                    Comment
                                    • therber2
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 12-22-08
                                      • 3715

                                      #823
                                      Originally posted by Surtainly
                                      therber, what is stopping you from charging for your plays?
                                      I'm in my 20's. I have 5 years experience with this stuff, and good money to show for it... What's stopping me from charging? Nothing really...I care more about my actual bets though, and running a business is another headache. I mentioned this before but I'll explain it again...an old (great) capper here at SBR taught me a lot of good things. One of those things was that writing down your thoughts before placing your bets on a game helps out in a lot of ways. I didn't believe him at first. But since I've been posting here with discipline, my earnings have been reflecting the extra effort.

                                      Again, I'm in my 20's...(23)...when I say "we" all the time in my write-ups...I am referring to me group with is me and my partner who is an older guy from the legendary "Computer Group"...which you can google.
                                      Comment
                                      • therber2
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 12-22-08
                                        • 3715

                                        #824
                                        Originally posted by DaProfessor23
                                        points are harder to come by than real money but when i get an abundant amount of points you will recieve a large portion for your efforts
                                        Lol. You're right. People go nuts for 2 points. If any of you guys are a fan of the jjgold character here, I'd suggest watching this video he did about points not being worth $hit. There was some petty war going on about maybe 20-30 points, and JJ was threatening to pull the plug on the whole operation saying you guys are fighting about pennies.

                                        Originally posted by kopite
                                        See....he gets it.
                                        Comment
                                        • therber2
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 12-22-08
                                          • 3715

                                          #825
                                          Ncaaf week ten results

                                          Originally posted by therber2

                                          **** Top PLAYS are 20-5-1 this Season for 80.0% ****

                                          Three TOP plays this week

                                          (323) Iowa -17 over Indiana
                                          (3 UNITS for $66 - bet based on $20 units) LOSE

                                          (341) Florida -14 over Vanderbilt
                                          (3 UNITS for $66 - bet based on $20 units) WIN

                                          (353) Temple -3 over Kent State
                                          (3 UNITS for $66 - bet based on $20 units) WIN

                                          JUST MISSED GROUP...


                                          (399) Florida Atlantic -2.5 over Western Kentucky
                                          LOSE
                                          (2 UNITS for $44 - bet based on $20 units)

                                          (393) Colorado St. +17.5 over San Diego St.

                                          (2 UNITS for $44 - bet based on $20 units) WIN

                                          THE ONE UNIT PLAYS -The rest of the herd...

                                          (310) Central Michigan -3.5 over Western Michigan - FRIDAY NITE
                                          (1 UNITS for $22 - bet based on $20 units) WIN

                                          4-2 +3.5 units
                                          Comment
                                          • nuck44
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 07-24-10
                                            • 117

                                            #826
                                            4-2
                                            Comment
                                            • Mybologne
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 09-20-09
                                              • 13507

                                              #827
                                              very nice in ncaa fb therber!!!!!1 keep up the excellent work bud
                                              Comment
                                              • kopite
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 08-01-09
                                                • 132

                                                #828
                                                Another solid weekend in College, great job therber, and on the points, my bank manager doesn't accept them
                                                Comment
                                                • DroppinDimes
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 08-19-10
                                                  • 157

                                                  #829
                                                  Thanks for the info T2. I have $6 worth of pts for you right now. Sounds pitiful when you actually do the math lol.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • rochestertitans
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 12-14-09
                                                    • 8149

                                                    #830
                                                    gll
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JMobile
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 08-21-10
                                                      • 19074

                                                      #831
                                                      Hey Therber, how come you like the Chargers so much? I always see them in your picks. The Chargers haven't won a road game this year yet.

                                                      But awesome job with the College games.

                                                      by the way, I'm in my early 20's too!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ManBearPig
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-04-08
                                                        • 2473

                                                        #832
                                                        I missed out on Col St and so I was only on 4 plays and two of them were the L's. I've been on a bad streak lately so this isn't surprising...oh well I guess I have a real job for a reason. We'll get em' Sunday!!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • therber2
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 12-22-08
                                                          • 3715

                                                          #833
                                                          Originally posted by DroppinDimes
                                                          Thanks for the info T2. I have $6 worth of pts for you right now. Sounds pitiful when you actually do the math lol.
                                                          You rock DroppingDimes. Many thanks.

                                                          Hope everyone cashed this weekend....again
                                                          Comment
                                                          • therber2
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 12-22-08
                                                            • 3715

                                                            #834
                                                            Originally posted by JMobile
                                                            Hey Therber, how come you like the Chargers so much? I always see them in your picks. The Chargers haven't won a road game this year yet.

                                                            But awesome job with the College games.

                                                            by the way, I'm in my early 20's too!
                                                            The Chargers are ready to go 8 wins straight. See Rivers averaging +300 yard per game...see the rest of their stats? They are wound up TIGHT. I could be wrong here, but most likely not. It's all in the write up as to why I like em.

                                                            FYI guys...our old guy (Computer Group) is on all my plays except the Bears and heavy on Arizona Cardinals. We'll see who's right. He and I both have our other heavy plays in consensus.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • therber2
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 12-22-08
                                                              • 3715

                                                              #835
                                                              Originally posted by ManBearPig
                                                              I missed out on Col St and so I was only on 4 plays and two of them were the L's. I've been on a bad streak lately so this isn't surprising...oh well I guess I have a real job for a reason. We'll get em' Sunday!!!
                                                              Yeah...I put quite a bit of effort into getting the plays out to my followers so that they can play all of them. (Anyone concerned about getting them on time...said it before...get the newsletter; its free). I'm sorry that you lost ManBearPig. We profited...yes I think tomorrow could be a solid day. We're due for something...I just hope it isn't a crash landing...NFL has been weird. Return of parity. Make for good entertainment tough on your wallet though.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • pokerwhiz90
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-02-10
                                                                • 2618

                                                                #836
                                                                Hey therber2, just sent you a play for soccer (EPL) also if anybody else wants to know, just check my twitter

                                                                Therber I love your 3 plays and what's your record on teasers? It seems like you get all of those right.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • bdavies26
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 07-06-10
                                                                  • 188

                                                                  #837
                                                                  Good luck today therber.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • PLAYA-PLAYA
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 09-11-10
                                                                    • 356

                                                                    #838
                                                                    THERBER------Thanks For The Help-----------------"REFUSE TO LOSE"
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • portnoy65
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 08-18-10
                                                                      • 435

                                                                      #839
                                                                      I'm on Dallas +10..Bol
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • TonyP
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 09-20-09
                                                                        • 8478

                                                                        #840
                                                                        one em also signed up for the news letter thanks therber2
                                                                        Comment
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