Therber, just a lil' confused cuz your "raw numbers" had the Ravens....
"[105] Ravens +1 over Falcons - 4"
"[105] Ravens +1 over Falcons - 4"
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I am liking Atlanta tonight and I am on them with you!
GL.Comment -
search for the thread name on Google, the answer will present itself.Originally posted by k3r3sComment -
nice hit therber, looks like the top 3 football cappers had a good day! 3-0 woot!Comment -
Good job therber. Let's keep it up this weekend!Comment -
Youre the men therber !!!!Comment -
Read the write up. NFL is a head game...I put more weight into the psychology of the sport.Originally posted by AndyCapper
Congrats on a nice win fellas boy was that a close one. How many of you actually go to see the game?
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Ncaa week eleven
NCAA WEEK ELEVEN -
NCAAFB 2010(Season record for 2010 Season)
Record:$3,177.00 Thru (11/6/10) from $2,000.00 (8/26/10)
54-33-2 61.7% +54.3 Units
TOP PLAYS Record: 20-5-1 +$836.00 80% +41.8 Units
Thoughts: Seven times last week teams that were favored by 7 points or more went down in flames and were crushed outrights. The biggest upset was New Mexico, who took bested Wyoming as an 11-point dog. Some other chalk that stumbled was Syracuse, Colorado, Florida State, SMU, and Alabama. Number One Oregon got a ton of action, opening at -28.5 and closed at -37 which just covered the spread.
Watch for the highly ranked teams to continue to cover the big spreads, as they need to keep their rankings by feeding big wins into the BCS computer.
Official Sports Betting numbers are in Brackets (xxx)
Final lines from Pinnaclesports.com
**** Top PLAYS are 20-5-1 this Season for 80% ****
Five TOP plays this week
(121) Syracuse -3 over Rutgers
(3 UNITS for $66 - bet based on $20 units)
(133) Minnesota +21 over Illinois
(3 UNITS for $66 - bet based on $20 units)
(161) Utah -6 over Notre Dame
(3 UNITS for $66 - bet based on $20 units)
(186) TCU -27.5 over San Diego
(3 UNITS for $66 - bet based on $20 units)
(206) Arkansas St. -12 over W. Kentucky
(3 UNITS for $66 - bet based on $20 units)
JUST MISSED GROUP…
(167) Oregon -20 over California
(2 UNITS for $44 - bet based on $20 units)
THE ONE UNIT PLAYS -The rest of the herd…
(197) Utah St. -4 over San Jose St.
(1 UNITS for $22 - bet based on $20 units)Comment -
Awesome man. Got every line exactly the same or better! Time to continue whippin assOriginally posted by therber2
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Same, it helps getting on these plays right awayOriginally posted by TNT28Awesome man. Got every line exactly the same or better! Time to continue whippin assComment -
Originally posted by TNT28Awesome man. Got every line exactly the same or better! Time to continue whippin assGood guys..let's see if our resident line officer has complaints this weekOriginally posted by nuck44
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Thanks for the bets. Tailing you this weekend besides Utah, line has moved too much against themComment -
I was watching the game on tV yesterday What a game and what a finish !!!! now lets watch some College tomorrow, thank you for your picks and BOLComment -
Therber, where did the write up go?Comment -
Got all of them at the same line or better! Also, got Utah at -5 on 5dimes!Comment -
Since I don't know Sh*t about football and I like therber threads I'm gonna play the NCAF picks!
Gl for us
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I like the Utah play ... may people here say that utah won't show up for this game, that they will be affected by the loss last week against TCU ... I don't think so ... btw is Notre Dame QB and RB still injured for this game ?Comment -
Great picks this week, let's collect some units!
Thanks, Therber!Comment -
nice picks look good
Originally posted by therber2Comment -
Yes dayne and armando are both out for the year, but the freshman qb tommy reese is more of a spread qb so dont let that influence you too much.Originally posted by Cris_from_EuropeComment -
Looks solid Therber. Good luck this weekend.Comment -
thanks for the plays man...let's have another nice winning week!Comment -
Thought I'd give these picks a try. Tailing on all "5 Top Plays" this week.
Good luck to us!!Comment -
Pcg: Nfl week ten
THOUGHTS: When you lose a bet on a team in the NFL, why not just double up. A friend of mine here in Vegas, who is a big Dallas Cowboy fan bets units of $300 on each game. Remember Dallas was touted as this year’s Super Bowl winner before the season by many pundits, so this is not like betting on Buffalo. On October 10th he bet $330 to win $300 on Dallas -6.5 against Tennessee. You know the rest of the story…They have now lost 5 straight games outright. (Forgetting the point spread) This week he will be walking up to the window at the Hilton Superbook to again bet Dallas, this time at +13.5 against the New York Football Giants. His bet this time is $5,280, to get back his original $300. Expecting Dallas to play to their potential is getting very costly these days. Last time they played the Giants, their defense knocked Tony Romo out of the game. I think it’s time for him to cut his losses.
NFL WEEK #10 Plays[237] New England Patriots +4.5 over the Pittsburgh Steelers
(2010-2011 Season):
xxx.PROCOMPGAMBLER.xxx
(signup at the Newsletter for plays to email)
(Take the PATRIOTS for $77 - 3.5 UNIT bet based on $20 units)
Tom Brady was absolutely horrible last Sunday, when the Cleveland Browns took a 10-zip lead in the first five minutes of the game. It got worse, as Brady made many mistakes trying to play catch up ball, and Pats were beaten badly by the rejuvenated Brownie’s. Is Brady finished, are the Pats now crap? No, we have to give them a mulligan in a classic example of looking ahead to this week’s matchup against the Steelers. Rule one: “Thou shalt not take a lessor NFL team for granted”. Belichick and company are 6-1 ATS when losing as the favorite. It’s not often you see the Patriots lose by double-digits. When the pissed-off Pats have lost by ten-points or more they have responded by going 12-1 straight up, and since were getting +4.5 points, that’s all we need. Tom Brady is a Steeler killer, as he owns a 5-1 record against them lifetime and will be ready to redeem himself against a Pittsburgh team that suffered some major injuries last week in their offensive line.
This game could decide home field advantage when the play-offs come around in January, and Belichick will have his team ready this week to show their best. Tom Brady is an elite Quarterback, with a record of 114-38 during his sparkling career. On the other hand, Ben Roethlisberger is no slouch either with a 72-29 record, but he will have his hands full against a team he has very little luck against in the past. You don’t get many chances to get +4.5 points with one of the best teams in football…This is our TOP PLAY of the week.
[217] Houston Texans +1.5 over the Jacksonville Jaguars
(Take the TEXANS for $55 - 2.5 UNIT bet based on $20 units)
The linesmakers are readjusting the numbers on Houston...They have now lost 4 in a row against the spread, when they were they fair haired boys. This line should be Houston -3. Houston is on the verge of crumbling a great start squandered a loss here would suck away any life the have left. This is a VERY emotional game for Houston...they are in danger of an extended slide towards being auctioned off for Monopoly money.
We know how bad Jacksonville is...Remember Jack Del Rio? Crying on the sidelines in the 3RD QUARTER?? He comes off a bye...He is shitty off the bye, something like 2-5...and he is shitty anyway. Jags are 1-10 as the home favorite in the last three years. This is a big game for the Texans, and it'll be their easiest looking at the rest of their schedule before the play the Jaguars again.
I hate the public likes Houston, but I guess they cant always be wrong. The public is wrong most of the time though and it worries me when I'm on the same side (this play and the Rams down below). Actually the real thing here.. I never want to say that I know more than the guys making the lines. Those are some of the smartest people on earth...serious. All they do is design lines to promote people getting on the wrong side and they are damn good at it. They are responsible for growing bigger casinos and making bookers rich.
Atlanta Falcons -1 over the Baltimore Ravens WON THURS NIGHT
(Take the FALCONS -110 for $44 – 2 UNITS bet based on $20 units)
First of all we want to go on record that we are fans of both these teams. Both Quarterbacks are on fire these days, last week Joe Flacco was hot once again, going 20-of-27 for 266 yards and two touchdowns. The Falcon secondary is ranked very low at 31st…He will pick them apart again. The Trouble with the Ravens, they have trouble scoring when they get to the RED ZONE. Seven times they had the goal line in site, and could only score one touchdown against the Dolphins. This has always been their problem.
Matt Ryan's home-road record is legendary. He has 25 touchdowns, 12 interceptions, a 64.3 completion percentage with an 7.8 YPA, compared to 26, 18, 57.5 and 6.5 respectively on the road. Oh, did I forget he is 17-1 with home cooking and the Falcons are undefeated this year in the Dome.
The money is on the Ravens, and you know how we love betting against a wrong public. It will be hard for the Ravens to play on a short week. Atlanta is rarely in the National television spotlight…This is their chance to show they are legitimate and should be considered a for real in the Super Bowl sweepstakes. We will take the Dominate home team FALCONS that has something big to prove.
[226] Cleveland Browns +3 over the New York Jets
(Take the BROWNS for $44 - 2 UNIT bet based on $20 units)
Last week the Browns beat the Patriots by double digits, and not too long before that, our Browns had their way with the Super Bowl Champs and for some reason they are still under the radar here. We'll gladly take those points against a team that only looks good. NYJ may be 6-2 but at least two of those wins were luck based. No doubt about that.
The Browns may win this game straight up...I can't even see how money could be pouring on the Jets here. As usual the dumb public is on the wrong side heavily, and we get the points. The Browns are far superior to the Jets in one of the strongest areas in my opinion: the Red Zone. Cleveland Scores more points in the Red Zone and allows less. Browns are great at bringin' in the TD while in the red zone while the Jets usually let them go and count on falling back on FG's and letting their defenses win their games. Maybe this game goes to the trenches or maybe the Browns just shock everybody and win straight up. Either way I love it...the Browns are just like the Raiders here: a team that was shitty last season now doing pretty darn good with a pretty darn good rookie QB Colt McCoy.
[228] Carolina Panthers +7 over the Buccaneers
(Take the PANTHERS for $44 - 2 UNIT bet based on $20 units)
Why the shitty Carolina Panthers? Well the Buccs are a young good team but the shouldn't be laying 7 points to anyone. Look at their wins...3, 1, 3, 13, and 3 points (that 13 point game was against the shitty Panthers who they aren't going to take seriously here). 90% of the money is on the Buccs here...this is Pro NFL. If the Panthers have any shame they come out here like real underdogs and play like champs and forget the record. On the other hand, the Bucs just lost to Atlanta, when they came up one yard short in a big game...Now they have to get up for the shitty Panthers.
Some of my best and most regretful plays (for not playing them or not playing them strong enough) are where the numbers have them but the play makes me sick taking the Panthers makes me feel truly ill...that's how I know this is good.
Psychology handicapping at its finest: Carolina got blown out by like 25 points last week against the number. Fox is like 3-1 in this situation, and teams that get blown out bad are 76-37....When you humiliate somebody, they want to show they can play...The Panthers are 1-7...Big letdown here by the Bucs.
[231] St. Louis Rams +6 over the 49ers
(Take the RAMS for $33 - 1.5 UNIT bet based on $20 units)
Welp. We've made money on the Rams and playing against the 49ers all year long, and here that are in a match together. This play looks great Sam Bradford is having a great show this year. Bottom line: the Rams are a success story and the 49ers are a tale of woe.
The 49ers have been under the microscope...finally went to England last week, where the pressure was off, and finally won a game. Pressure is back on this week in Frisco where I'll be surprised to see much attendance at all. Last I checked, the San Francisco a-hole fans booed their home quarterback damn near right out of the park...and what did he do? He finished up the game real well, but they still lost. So do you think Smith is looking forward to playing at home? No... probably not. The Rams get 6 points here...they should easily win straight up with their slick rookie Sam Bradford on the field with something real to play for.
I was making a movie reference with my partner on this one and the Texans game. Bronx Tale: if you guys have seen it...where Chazz is on a lucky streak shooting craps...he's got a gem of a luck charm standing next to him, but then at the end of the table he has a guy whose face looks like he had a bad run in with a bear. Same thing going on here...we have two games, but we can't take em for any more because the dumb public is pouring in on the side we like.
[215] Bengals +7 over the Colts
(Take the BENGALS for $22 - 1 UNIT bet based on $20 units)
Pretty simple here: We've got one team that is wound up tight like a coil ready to pop (Cincinnati Bengals) who are on a 0-5 streak ATS and SU and getting 7 points. They'll be playing against a Colts team lead by Peyton who never seems to do well against the spread as the favorite....the do great as underdogs which I think is a psychological thing (read last week's writeup where the Colts were the top play).
[xxx] 7PT TEASE: SEA +9 and CIN +14
(Take the TEASER for $26 - 1 UNIT bet based on $20 units)
[xxx] 7PT TEASE: NWE +11.5 and CAR +14
(Take the TEASER for $26 - 1 UNIT bet based on $20 units)
Records up to date 11/13/2010:
NCAAFB 2010 Season:
Record:$3,086.00 (11/13/10) from $2,000.00 (8/26/10)
55-33-2 62.5% +54.3 Units
NFL 2010 Season:
Record: $2,374.60 (11/13/10) from $2,000.00 (8/26/10)
61-42-6 59.2% +18.73 units
NBA 2010-11 Season:
Record:$2,000.00 (11/13/10)from $2,000.00 (11/13/10)
0-0-0 +00.00 units
MLB 2010 Season:
Record:$5,972.80 (end of season) from $2000.00 (6/13/10)
+149.32 units 298.64% Gains
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Illinois down 31 at half.. I dig!Comment -
Now that what you call an EXCELLENT pick. A 21 point dog wins straight up!Originally posted by therber2
Lets hope the rest of the day goes just as well.Comment -
Originally posted by BetterBizness
$$$Comment -
looking great so far as usual
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syracuase goign to be a close good one 10-10 with 9 mins to go.Comment -
TCU, arkansas st, utah are all loss. TCU blew the lead in the 4th Q
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This day is DONE.
Started out SO strong with the 21 point underdog winning SU but now it's a train wreck since. Better luck next week Therber. Hopefully NFL will go better for us. I like a lot of the picks you got here and will be tailing a few of those as well.
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tough day ! sunday will be better... keep up the good work TherberComment -
LOL. Almost didnt even get the 1 UNIT bet until that red zone INT last 15 seconds of the Utah St. game. NFL! NFL! NFL! Lets go!!!!!!Comment -
Originally posted by DaProfessor23looking great so far as usual
Originally posted by A's FanOriginally posted by anhhungcodocTCU, arkansas st, utah are all loss. TCU blew the lead in the 4th Q Indeed.
Originally posted by RAVENSFANThis day is DONE. Started out SO strong with the 21 point underdog winning SU but now it's a train wreck since. Better luck next week Therber. Hopefully NFL will go better for us. I like a lot of the picks you got here and will be tailing a few of those as well.Thanks guysOriginally posted by PUDS Bad day...about to total it up, and see what we need to do for tomorrow.
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Shit happens...
...what a bad day.Originally posted by therber2
3-4 -5.1 units
Say your prayers for tomorrow.
NCAA Record Update -
NCAAFB 2010 (Season record for 2010 Season)
Record:$2,984.00 Thru (11/13/10) from $2,000.00 (8/26/10)
57-37-2 60.6% +49.2 Units
TOP PLAYS Record: 22-8-1 +$836.00 80% +39.6 UnitsComment
