Gonna hammer the Redskins +3 in week 2.

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  • lakerboy
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 04-02-09
    • 94379

    #1
    Gonna hammer the Redskins +3 in week 2.
    The public will be in love with the Texans cause they beat an overrated Colts team. The fact of the matter is that the Texans should have beaten the colts so many times. The skins werent special in week 1 but did enough to get the win over a Dallas team that is better than Houston but not by much. The skins are getting points at home again and the line has dropped to 2,5 at some shops begging for Houston action. Hammer the skins now boys. This line will be down to 2-1.5 by gametime.
  • Domestic
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-10-09
    • 6323

    #2
    On it, best of luck to us.
    Comment
    • freeVICK
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-21-08
      • 7114

      #3
      I like it. how many units we talking about here LB?
      Comment
      • texhooper
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-05-09
        • 10001

        #4
        yeah, that line looks retarded as hell. almost TOO retarded...i guess it will take some time for the books to adjust on washington, and they're already overrating houston off last week and what i believe was their first winning season last year.
        Comment
        • kingdoy
          SBR Rookie
          • 09-14-10
          • 3

          #5
          Looks good. You guys are absolutely right, books are over-rating the Texans because of last week's win over the Colts. Also, I'm pretty sure Arian Foster won't run for 200+ yards again.

          Redskins+3, ML
          Comment
          • kingdoy
            SBR Rookie
            • 09-14-10
            • 3

            #6
            Looks good. You guys are absolutely right, books are over-rating the Texans because of last week's win over the Colts. Also, I'm pretty sure Arian Foster won't run for 200+ yards again.

            Redskins+3, ML
            Comment
            • lakerboy
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 04-02-09
              • 94379

              #7
              Books are not overrating the Texans. They know whats up. They are begging for square Texans action which they are getting plenty of.
              Comment
              • kobefanatic
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-19-10
                • 9013

                #8
                thanks lb will put some money on it now
                Comment
                • marcoloco
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-05-10
                  • 3986

                  #9
                  100% agree. Go Skins
                  Comment
                  • uanl
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 10-10-09
                    • 825

                    #10
                    nice to see you on the same side i was leaning on LB... this is probably gonna be my biggest bet of the week...
                    Comment
                    • DeluxeLiner
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-29-08
                      • 4132

                      #11
                      Interesting angle LB. Will definitely keep in under consideration over the week.
                      Comment
                      • JosephPavs
                        SBR MVP
                        • 07-29-10
                        • 1660

                        #12
                        You are right in one area the colts are over rated...Conner barwin and Cushing are out... But do you really think that texans can't throw for 350 yards? And rush for 125? Are the skins going to score 21 points?
                        Comment
                        • Joe_Shabadoo
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 09-17-09
                          • 607

                          #13
                          Washington has a well suited contingent of defenders with Fletcher/McIntosh/Landry to cut down Houston's running game from the backside on every play.

                          Adam Carriker being healthy is huge for this unit, too. Yeah, he was going up against Alex Barron mostly, but he was also taking it to Leonard Davis quite well. Kemoeatu also looks about as spry as a 360-lb. man can.

                          I like Jim Haslett's unit in this match-up, because they have the afforded ability to go one-on-one with Johnson at times with DeAngelo Hall and Carlos Rogers so as to send extra blitzers and free-up Orakpo more often than usual.
                          Comment
                          • CarolinaDaze
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 11-07-09
                            • 6848

                            #14
                            I like it, so i went ahead booked it. GL
                            Comment
                            • Robust
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-13-08
                              • 3254

                              #15
                              I love home dogs, but 3 pts or less here is not enough.. houston will score.. and alot.. can WASH score? sure.. but how much... 21?, 28?.. or will they effectively prevent houston from scoring?

                              I think the possible plays here are the over if you think houston wins and the under if you think wash will win.. and the line dropped from 44.5 to 43.5 signalling a WASH win in this scenario..

                              too early for me, but I do lean WASH (if it was 3.5, i'd take a shot now.. a SMALL shot)..

                              BOL to all.. will post my picks later on in the week for all to fade

                              Robust
                              Comment
                              • SR
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-10-08
                                • 1317

                                #16
                                washington'S D will keep every team in the low numbers, under is the play in their games until the public figures it out.
                                Comment
                                • dolphan34
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 04-09-10
                                  • 423

                                  #17
                                  I would be all over this if that touchdown they scored against Dallas was on offense, but right now it doesn't seem like the offense is much improved from last year. Good luck though.
                                  Comment
                                  • bretb27
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 03-21-10
                                    • 714

                                    #18
                                    I respect and appreciate your opinion LB but god damn everyone's jumping all over your dick. You guys shouldn't just ride someone's coat tails.. have a mind of your own for once. All I hear on this forum is how bad/overhyped/overrated the cowboys are but yet they should have beaten the redskins EASILY at washington. And now, you get a serious contender back in washington and you're in love with the +3? Are you guys mad? Houston wins this game by 2 scores, and I don't think they will be the FG variety. If, however, you insist on taking the Skins, then yes by all means wait it out. This line will jump to 5 in no time.
                                    >54%
                                    Comment
                                    • bretb27
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 03-21-10
                                      • 714

                                      #19
                                      LB is solid, but I have the feeling had he said he liked the Texans the same posters would be replying with, "i love it" or, "well now that you like it, i like it" or " 100% agree"
                                      >54%
                                      Comment
                                      • bobbyk1133
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-05-10
                                        • 2245

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by SR
                                        washington'S D will keep every team in the low numbers, under is the play in their games until the public figures it out.
                                        Couldn't agree more. I'd say HOU is a bit overrated with this line, but not enough for me to jump on the Skins. If they were 3.5-4 dogs maybe I'd consider them. In reality it should be closer to a PK game because WSH has home field advantage, but it should be a close game with much less points than people expect. The strongest play is the under. Mcnabb knows how to protect the ball which means HOU will need to earn all their points.
                                        Comment
                                        • CarolinaDaze
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 11-07-09
                                          • 6848

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by bretb27
                                          LB is solid, but I have the feeling had he said he liked the Texans the same posters would be replying with, "i love it" or, "well now that you like it, i like it" or " 100% agree"
                                          I said i like it, guess what i was really saying is " Thanks for All that Money i've made following you in NBA, MLB", so win or lose here i'm way ahead. Keep stacking LB.
                                          Comment
                                          • gryfyn1
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-30-10
                                            • 3285

                                            #22
                                            I like this too, The skins D wont get shredded like the porous Indy run-D; and Washington is a tough field to play in, one of the few home field advantages left.

                                            Schaub did nothing to make me think he wont fade in pressure spots like he has in the past.
                                            Comment
                                            • borednaz
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-28-10
                                              • 3809

                                              #23
                                              I'm a long time Redskins fan, say close to 17 years now. I'm glad to see they finally have the semblence of a team. But the one thing that remains consistent is, they over complicate every process and blow the implimentation. The redskins typically only win against worst teams or if the other team blows it completely. (See Dallas).

                                              I also smell a huge rat, I did since preseason. I think Houston goes deep in this . They have been built in the media like the saints were last year, a miracle team to come from no where. They have the speed, the youth, and like I said I see some flubbed calls to help along the way. Under is a great call, if you must go with the skins take a teaser to buy your way out of this trouble.

                                              LB is a money making madman, I respect his plays. He was so ontop of KC it hurt, and I made money off it thanks to him. I'll probably be eating my words later but Houston wins.
                                              Comment
                                              • samdapatriotsfan
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-10-08
                                                • 1585

                                                #24
                                                I am thinking the same thing LB but for different reasons. People consistently get the wrong impression of a team based on a division game. A division game is a different animal. You are talking years and years of film and scouting and scoping of ONE team, that you play twice a year. So I don't put too much stock into division games when looking at past performance.

                                                HOU has consistently lost when they are expected to win, until that changes it is hard to back them.

                                                After all that is the hardest thing to do in sports...

                                                Win when you are expected to. I would be leaning WAS ML+ in this spot.

                                                GL all!!!
                                                Comment
                                                • bretb27
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 03-21-10
                                                  • 714

                                                  #25
                                                  thanks for clarifying... but the mlb and the nba isn't the nfl



                                                  Originally posted by CarolinaDaze
                                                  I said i like it, guess what i was really saying is " Thanks for All that Money i've made following you in NBA, MLB", so win or lose here i'm way ahead. Keep stacking LB.
                                                  >54%
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Ninersnut
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 05-20-10
                                                    • 3730

                                                    #26
                                                    Sounds like some solid reasoning will have to look a bit deeper however.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • bobbyk1133
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-05-10
                                                      • 2245

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by borednaz
                                                      I'm a long time Redskins fan, say close to 17 years now. I'm glad to see they finally have the semblence of a team. But the one thing that remains consistent is, they over complicate every process and blow the implimentation. The redskins typically only win against worst teams or if the other team blows it completely. (See Dallas).
                                                      I don't think there is anything "typical" about this year's Redskins. Their defense is pretty much in tact, but in terms of overall performance no one really knows if they will finish 10-6 or 6-10. They finally have a credible head coach and a legitimate QB and these are big upgrades at ultra-important positions. Most trends become irrelevant at this point.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • uanl
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 10-10-09
                                                        • 825

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by bretb27
                                                        I respect and appreciate your opinion LB but god damn everyone's jumping all over your dick. You guys shouldn't just ride someone's coat tails.. have a mind of your own for once. All I hear on this forum is how bad/overhyped/overrated the cowboys are but yet they should have beaten the redskins EASILY at washington. And now, you get a serious contender back in washington and you're in love with the +3? Are you guys mad? Houston wins this game by 2 scores, and I don't think they will be the FG variety. If, however, you insist on taking the Skins, then yes by all means wait it out. This line will jump to 5 in no time.

                                                        you say the texans win by 2 scores and they won't be FGs, so at the very least you have the texans by 10..yet the line is just texans -3 ... dont you think Vegas knows the general impression these two teams left after week 1? common sense tells you that with a line of texans -3, everyone and their mothers are taking the texans..and Vegas knows this...i rather be on the side that Vegas needs to cover rather than the team that will probably have around 80% of the action ...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • mark2010
                                                          SBR Hustler
                                                          • 06-28-10
                                                          • 77

                                                          #29
                                                          skn ml and or under gl guys
                                                          Comment
                                                          • uanl
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 10-10-09
                                                            • 825

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                            The public will be in love with the Texans cause they beat an overrated Colts team. The fact of the matter is that the Texans should have beaten the colts so many times. The skins werent special in week 1 but did enough to get the win over a Dallas team that is better than Houston but not by much. The skins are getting points at home again and the line has dropped to 2,5 at some shops begging for Houston action. Hammer the skins now boys. This line will be down to 2-1.5 by gametime.
                                                            the sbr odds page says this game opened at texans -2 and a different source says they opened at -3 ..either way it has been at -3 for the most part... and i see one book at -1.5 texans..and other at -2.5 texans...so RLM could very well be part of this game, which makes the play even stronger... get the skins at +3 while you can!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • surffreak
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 09-10-10
                                                              • 211

                                                              #31
                                                              just want to add this.

                                                              Kyle Shanahan coached the Texans from 2006 to 2009, if anyone knows the schaub, it shanahan
                                                              Comment
                                                              • linewiz
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 05-18-10
                                                                • 234

                                                                #32
                                                                Well stated

                                                                Originally posted by uanl
                                                                you say the texans win by 2 scores and they won't be FGs, so at the very least you have the texans by 10..yet the line is just texans -3 ... dont you think Vegas knows the general impression these two teams left after week 1? common sense tells you that with a line of texans -3, everyone and their mothers are taking the texans..and Vegas knows this...i rather be on the side that Vegas needs to cover rather than the team that will probably have around 80% of the action ...
                                                                I agree 100%. Too much time is spent by some evaluating the previous week. Houston is a classic square pick this week. Overvalued, with mass hysteria setting in after knocking off Colts. Houston has no pedigree, and no history of success, SU or ATS on the road. Win over Colts probably swung this line 5-6 points. Could be that Texans are the better team...time will tell. But this spot favors Washington.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • bretb27
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 03-21-10
                                                                  • 714

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Vegas doesn't have a crystal ball.. I don't care what the percentages are but I know they aren't happy with the game being at 80-20. Whoever wants the skins at +3 I will gladly bet 100 points on it. Let me know
                                                                  >54%
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • bretb27
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 03-21-10
                                                                    • 714

                                                                    #34
                                                                    also, the same can be said about washington. They beat a "good" cowboys team at home, they're not getting any respect, blah blah, blah... Dallas is shit, and washington got EXTREMELY LUCKY to win that game Sunday night.
                                                                    >54%
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ijrod21i
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 02-20-10
                                                                      • 324

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I like this, also good call on getting it in earlier in the week. It will probably be Washington favored by the time it's over. But for the record, you want to talk about overrated? The Cowboys are overrated.
                                                                      Comment
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