I'm considering to tail Walter from walterfootball.com on the following matches and I want to know what you guys think of them. Here are his thoughts on them:
San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs - pick Chargers -4.5 for 3 Units ( 1 Unit = 100 $)
"SAN DIEGO OFFENSE: The Chiefs won't be able to stop the Chargers. I just don't see it happening. San Diego totaled 80 points in two meetings against Kansas City last year, and they've improved themselves by drafting Ryan Mathews as an upgrade over LaDainian Tomlinson. The Chiefs' horrific defensive line was just 31st versus the rush in 2009 and hasn't received a single upgrade this offseason.
Kansas City's pass rush is just as bad as its ground defense. The team tallied just 22 sacks last year, good for 31st in the NFL. And again, there's no sign that things will improve here. The Chargers are missing left tackle Marcus McNeill because of a holdout, but Philip Rivers is just too good to let that affect him.
KANSAS CITY OFFENSE: Unlike the defense, the Chiefs' scoring attack will be better this year. Dwayne Bowe is in shape; Dexter McCluster adds a dimension out of the slot; and stud running back Jamaal Charles should play more. The key word there is "should," as Todd Haley still hasn't demonstrated that he has any idea of what he's doing.
Kansas City's problem, however, remains the same as last year. Matt Cassel is one of the worst starting quarterbacks in the NFL, and he has one of the worst offensive lines in the league blocking for him.
A bottom-five quarterback and offensive line is not a good combination. The Chargers have some liabilities on defense, but they didn't play a factor in the two meetings against the Chiefs. While San Diego posted 80 on the scoreboard in those two contests, it limited Kansas City to just 21 points.
RECAP: Unless the Chargers commit tons of sloppy mental errors, I really don't see how this game can be close. The only thing I'm concerned about is San Diego's notorious slow starts under Norv Turner, but this version of the Chiefs is by far the worst team the Chargers have played in any season opener since destroying Art Shell's completely inept Raiders in 2006."
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks - pick 49ers -3 for 4 Units
"SAN FRANCISCO OFFENSE: Barely anyone on the 49ers offense played this preseason. Frank Gore and Vernon Davis saw limited action, and Michael Crabtree never took the field. However, Alex Smith showed some improvement, leading the team on scoring drives against the Vikings and Raiders despite throwing to bums named Dominique Zigler and Nate Byham.
Smith should have a pretty decent game at Seattle, especially now that he'll have all of his talented skill players back. The Seahawks are my favorite to finish last in the NFL in sacks, which won't do anything for their half-terrible secondary. Seriously, why in the world is Lawyer Milloy starting for Seattle? Isn't he like 60 years old?
Of course, the 49ers will focus primarily on feeding the ball to Frank Gore. Seattle surrendered at least 113 rushing yards to eight of their final 10 opponents in 2009, and have done nothing to improve in this department.
SEATTLE OFFENSE: I really don't understand how the Seahawks are going to block for Matt Hasselbeck. Russell Okung and Ray Willis are out, and John Clayton is reporting that Sean Locklear is on the trading block. That means that Seattle's two starting tackles in this contest could be Tyler Polumbus (who failed miserably as Denver's right tackle last year) and Chester Pitts (a journeyman guard).
I'd suggest that Pete Carroll should beg Mike Singletary to blitz only once every four downs like in two-hand touch football, but it might not even matter because San Francisco should be able to get to Matt Hasselbeck with a simple four-man rush.
I really don't see how the Seahawks are going to score at all in this contest. The 49ers are going to shut down the run with ease, and the Seahawks don't have the receivers who will be able to get open against most NFL secondaries. And as indicated earlier, Seattle's offensive line is the biggest issue.
RECAP: Most football games are won in the trenches. This is an extremely weak area for the Seahawks. I honestly really hope Matt Hasselbeck doesn't suffer a serious injury in this contest.
The 49ers should be able to walk away with an easy victory. This looks like a Week 1 gift from Vegas so bettors can build up their bankroll."
Atlanta Falcons at Pittsburgh Steelers - pick Steelers +2.5 for 5 Units
"PITTSBURGH OFFENSE: Why is Dennis Dixon starting again? Dixon is obviously more athletically talented than Charlie Batch and can make some plays with his legs, but Batch should be the choice. He's a smart veteran who will convert third-and-intermediate downs and won't make any mistakes. Dixon, as we saw in the third preseason game, is very prone to creating errors.
Regardless of who the quarterback is, Pittsburgh will really focus on establishing the run. That won't work so well, as Atlanta really clamped down on opposing running backs late in the year, limiting its final four opponents, including the Jets, to 3.7 yards per carry or fewer.
Dixon will be tasked with moving the chains for the Steelers. While the Falcons have a lacking pass rush and a questionable secondary, Pittsburgh's offensive line simply isn't good enough to keep any team out of the backfield. The loss of right tackle Willie Colon was huge. Dixon will have to do a ton of scrambling to get Pittsburgh deep into Atlanta territory.
ATLANTA OFFENSE: Much like the Steelers, the Falcons will have major problems putting up points on the scoreboard. Establishing Michael Turner will be very difficult, as the Steelers perennially have one of the top run defenses in the NFL. Matt Ryan will constantly find himself in long-yardage situations, which is not a good thing when going up against James Harrison, LaMarr Woodley and Pittsburgh's unbelievable pass rush.
Ryan actually hasn't been himself this preseason. He was 24-of-45 for 213 yards, one touchdown and one interception in three exhibition contests. That's a completion percentage of 53.3 and a horrific YPA of 4.7. Some of that can be attributed to Roddy White's drops, but many of Ryan's intermediate passes just have been inaccurate. He particularly fired a number of errant balls toward Tony Gonzalez in the third week of the preseason at Miami.
With pressure in his face and Troy Polamalu lurking in the defensive backfield, Ryan will have a really tough time converting third downs and moving the Falcons into scoring position.
RECAP: One of my favorite NFL betting angles to pick a good team missing its starting quarterback in its first game. This has worked well with the Steelers in the past, as they are 4-2 against the spread when Ben Roethlisberger misses a non-Week 17 contest.
The reasoning behind it is simple. On a good team, talented defensive players, offensive linemen, running backs and receivers tend to step up their game at 110 percent because they know they need to. Their opponent, on the other hand, figures that beating a squad missing a player of Roethlisberger's caliber will be easy. It's just human nature. If you're playing a sport, and the other team's best player is out, there will ALWAYS be a bit of a letdown.
This game just means too much to the Steelers and too little to the Falcons. Pittsburgh knows it has to salvage at least a 2-2 record in its first four contests to have a shot at the playoffs. Atlanta, meanwhile, is playing a non-conference foe and has Arizona at home the following week. If the Falcons lose this game, so what? They can just rebound with a victory over the Kurt Warner-less Cardinals next Sunday.
The Steelers will be playing their heart out. I love them to cover this spread; in fact, I've been eyeing this game ever since Roethlisberger was suspended, hoping that I'd get Pittsburgh as a home underdog."
He also likes this college game and here are his thoughts on it:
Penn State (1-0) at Alabama (1-0) - pick Alabama -11.5 for 5 Units
"Look, I'm a Penn State alumnus, and I can confidently say that the talent level between these two teams isn't even close. Our true freshman quarterback is not ready to go into Alabama and beat the Crimson Tide. This has major blowout written all over it.
I love Alabama -11.5; the spread is too low because the idiot poll voters have overvalued Penn State based on last year's results."
So pls tell me what you guys think and if you find any flaws in his judgment. Best of luck to all of us !
There are just the plays I'm interested in, for other ones feel free to check him out....
San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs - pick Chargers -4.5 for 3 Units ( 1 Unit = 100 $)
"SAN DIEGO OFFENSE: The Chiefs won't be able to stop the Chargers. I just don't see it happening. San Diego totaled 80 points in two meetings against Kansas City last year, and they've improved themselves by drafting Ryan Mathews as an upgrade over LaDainian Tomlinson. The Chiefs' horrific defensive line was just 31st versus the rush in 2009 and hasn't received a single upgrade this offseason.
Kansas City's pass rush is just as bad as its ground defense. The team tallied just 22 sacks last year, good for 31st in the NFL. And again, there's no sign that things will improve here. The Chargers are missing left tackle Marcus McNeill because of a holdout, but Philip Rivers is just too good to let that affect him.
KANSAS CITY OFFENSE: Unlike the defense, the Chiefs' scoring attack will be better this year. Dwayne Bowe is in shape; Dexter McCluster adds a dimension out of the slot; and stud running back Jamaal Charles should play more. The key word there is "should," as Todd Haley still hasn't demonstrated that he has any idea of what he's doing.
Kansas City's problem, however, remains the same as last year. Matt Cassel is one of the worst starting quarterbacks in the NFL, and he has one of the worst offensive lines in the league blocking for him.
A bottom-five quarterback and offensive line is not a good combination. The Chargers have some liabilities on defense, but they didn't play a factor in the two meetings against the Chiefs. While San Diego posted 80 on the scoreboard in those two contests, it limited Kansas City to just 21 points.
RECAP: Unless the Chargers commit tons of sloppy mental errors, I really don't see how this game can be close. The only thing I'm concerned about is San Diego's notorious slow starts under Norv Turner, but this version of the Chiefs is by far the worst team the Chargers have played in any season opener since destroying Art Shell's completely inept Raiders in 2006."
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks - pick 49ers -3 for 4 Units
"SAN FRANCISCO OFFENSE: Barely anyone on the 49ers offense played this preseason. Frank Gore and Vernon Davis saw limited action, and Michael Crabtree never took the field. However, Alex Smith showed some improvement, leading the team on scoring drives against the Vikings and Raiders despite throwing to bums named Dominique Zigler and Nate Byham.
Smith should have a pretty decent game at Seattle, especially now that he'll have all of his talented skill players back. The Seahawks are my favorite to finish last in the NFL in sacks, which won't do anything for their half-terrible secondary. Seriously, why in the world is Lawyer Milloy starting for Seattle? Isn't he like 60 years old?
Of course, the 49ers will focus primarily on feeding the ball to Frank Gore. Seattle surrendered at least 113 rushing yards to eight of their final 10 opponents in 2009, and have done nothing to improve in this department.
SEATTLE OFFENSE: I really don't understand how the Seahawks are going to block for Matt Hasselbeck. Russell Okung and Ray Willis are out, and John Clayton is reporting that Sean Locklear is on the trading block. That means that Seattle's two starting tackles in this contest could be Tyler Polumbus (who failed miserably as Denver's right tackle last year) and Chester Pitts (a journeyman guard).
I'd suggest that Pete Carroll should beg Mike Singletary to blitz only once every four downs like in two-hand touch football, but it might not even matter because San Francisco should be able to get to Matt Hasselbeck with a simple four-man rush.
I really don't see how the Seahawks are going to score at all in this contest. The 49ers are going to shut down the run with ease, and the Seahawks don't have the receivers who will be able to get open against most NFL secondaries. And as indicated earlier, Seattle's offensive line is the biggest issue.
RECAP: Most football games are won in the trenches. This is an extremely weak area for the Seahawks. I honestly really hope Matt Hasselbeck doesn't suffer a serious injury in this contest.
The 49ers should be able to walk away with an easy victory. This looks like a Week 1 gift from Vegas so bettors can build up their bankroll."
Atlanta Falcons at Pittsburgh Steelers - pick Steelers +2.5 for 5 Units
"PITTSBURGH OFFENSE: Why is Dennis Dixon starting again? Dixon is obviously more athletically talented than Charlie Batch and can make some plays with his legs, but Batch should be the choice. He's a smart veteran who will convert third-and-intermediate downs and won't make any mistakes. Dixon, as we saw in the third preseason game, is very prone to creating errors.
Regardless of who the quarterback is, Pittsburgh will really focus on establishing the run. That won't work so well, as Atlanta really clamped down on opposing running backs late in the year, limiting its final four opponents, including the Jets, to 3.7 yards per carry or fewer.
Dixon will be tasked with moving the chains for the Steelers. While the Falcons have a lacking pass rush and a questionable secondary, Pittsburgh's offensive line simply isn't good enough to keep any team out of the backfield. The loss of right tackle Willie Colon was huge. Dixon will have to do a ton of scrambling to get Pittsburgh deep into Atlanta territory.
ATLANTA OFFENSE: Much like the Steelers, the Falcons will have major problems putting up points on the scoreboard. Establishing Michael Turner will be very difficult, as the Steelers perennially have one of the top run defenses in the NFL. Matt Ryan will constantly find himself in long-yardage situations, which is not a good thing when going up against James Harrison, LaMarr Woodley and Pittsburgh's unbelievable pass rush.
Ryan actually hasn't been himself this preseason. He was 24-of-45 for 213 yards, one touchdown and one interception in three exhibition contests. That's a completion percentage of 53.3 and a horrific YPA of 4.7. Some of that can be attributed to Roddy White's drops, but many of Ryan's intermediate passes just have been inaccurate. He particularly fired a number of errant balls toward Tony Gonzalez in the third week of the preseason at Miami.
With pressure in his face and Troy Polamalu lurking in the defensive backfield, Ryan will have a really tough time converting third downs and moving the Falcons into scoring position.
RECAP: One of my favorite NFL betting angles to pick a good team missing its starting quarterback in its first game. This has worked well with the Steelers in the past, as they are 4-2 against the spread when Ben Roethlisberger misses a non-Week 17 contest.
The reasoning behind it is simple. On a good team, talented defensive players, offensive linemen, running backs and receivers tend to step up their game at 110 percent because they know they need to. Their opponent, on the other hand, figures that beating a squad missing a player of Roethlisberger's caliber will be easy. It's just human nature. If you're playing a sport, and the other team's best player is out, there will ALWAYS be a bit of a letdown.
This game just means too much to the Steelers and too little to the Falcons. Pittsburgh knows it has to salvage at least a 2-2 record in its first four contests to have a shot at the playoffs. Atlanta, meanwhile, is playing a non-conference foe and has Arizona at home the following week. If the Falcons lose this game, so what? They can just rebound with a victory over the Kurt Warner-less Cardinals next Sunday.
The Steelers will be playing their heart out. I love them to cover this spread; in fact, I've been eyeing this game ever since Roethlisberger was suspended, hoping that I'd get Pittsburgh as a home underdog."
He also likes this college game and here are his thoughts on it:
Penn State (1-0) at Alabama (1-0) - pick Alabama -11.5 for 5 Units
"Look, I'm a Penn State alumnus, and I can confidently say that the talent level between these two teams isn't even close. Our true freshman quarterback is not ready to go into Alabama and beat the Crimson Tide. This has major blowout written all over it.
I love Alabama -11.5; the spread is too low because the idiot poll voters have overvalued Penn State based on last year's results."
So pls tell me what you guys think and if you find any flaws in his judgment. Best of luck to all of us !
There are just the plays I'm interested in, for other ones feel free to check him out....