Strictly Denver Broncos Football Play Thread /2010

[linewiz]

Excellent analysis, Frost. Only way Denver can beat Ravens will be through air. They will not be able to run.Should be interesting. This should be biggest time Ravens secondary has faced this season. Secondary was considered weak link coming into season...Ed Reed out until week 7 (on PUP list), and starting cb Foxworth gone for year. Sanchez did not go downfield much against them in week one...after that Wallace, Palmer, and Batch were all ineffective for various reasons...no one has been able to stretch the field against them. Denver brings best passing attack they have seen. I agree that this is tough spot for Denver, trying to get up for second week in a row against a physical, defensive minded team. I had Pitt last weekend...I underestimated Ravens grit. Anyway, nice work giving solid, objective analysis on your team with no homerism involved.

[frostno98]

Broncos at Ravens
I like the Ravens at home in this spot. Although the Ravens D and the Titans D are similar, the Ravens is a team full of leaders that inspires this team to shut people down. Ray Lewis and Terrell Suggs will not allow Kyle Orton to do what he did in Tennessee. The Broncos inexperience o-line was exposed last week in Tennessee giving up six sack, and making all kind of dumb penalties. I'm expect the Ravens D to exploit this, and completely throw Orton's timing off this Sunday. The Broncos can't run if their lives depended on it, but they can pass. Despite that, I think the Ravens has the personell in their nickel package that matches well against Denver's spread offense. So Denver's strength in offense should be contained.

The Broncos defense will be having problems of their own to deal with too, because Ravens can beat you both through the Air and Ground. Tennessee let Denver off the hook in last week game by not pounding the ball enough, and relying on Vince Young. The difference is, Flacco is a much better passer and has the unique corp of experience wide receivers(TJ, Boldin, Mason) that can take advantage of Denver starting rookie corner Perrish Cox, that hasn't been all that impressive his last two starts.

Plus, I don't believe the Broncos can play well back to back against two pretty good teams on the road.
Ravens -7 Winner


This is one of those games where I don't see the Broncos getting more than 13. They are still having redzone issues, and playing that Raven's D on the road is probably the worst place to address that problem. This might be one of those game where the Broncos only score with field goals. Without the Broncos being able to score, I don't see this game going over. Especially when both teams don't really turn the ball over much, and the Ravens are great at clock management.
Under 38.5 Loser
Note: Baltimore gave two very long bombs TD to Denver playing prevent defense. Had they stuck to their regular defensive formation, Orton would had continue to struggle, with no time throw. Game goes under easily.

Y.T.D Record 5-0 Point spread
2-3 Over/Under

Game over 1-1 Today

[frostno98]

Sunday 17, 2010

Broncos vs Jets
I like the Jets here. Jets are very similar to the Ravens offensively and defensively. The game plan for the Jets offense is simple, continue to pound the ball against Denver's weak interior and pass at any opportunity they have against Denver's starting rookie Cornerback Perrish Cox. Who's been playing very terrible, in replace of injured starter Andre Goodman. Do that, and the Jets shouldn't have any problems moving the ball and putting up points.

For the Jets defense, all they need to do is copied what the Ravens did last week. Both teams have basically the same personnel, except Rex Ryan will probably turn it up the defensive intensity a notch. Orton can't throw for sh1t, if the Jets can constantly attack their inexperience O-line with a 4-5 man rush. Orton flatout panics under pressure, like he did in Tennessee and Baltimore. The Ravens mistake last week was playing a 3 man rush a few times, and Orton manage to get two 40 yards TD to Brandon Lloyd.

This week Broncos will be without Brian Dawkins and Andre Goodman, both very important pieces to the secondary. The Broncos basically only got two real threat on offense, and that's wide receivers Brandon Lloyd and rookie Demaryius Thomas. Thomas might be out also, due to a concussion in Baltimore. Gaffney and Royal are showing that they're very average at best and beneficiary of a spread offense, while the running game continues to struggle. This combined with their redzone woes equal disaster, verses one of the most physical team defensively in the league.
Jets -3


I think this game can go over. The Jets should be able to get their 20 plus against this very suspect secondary. Other than Champ, they have no one that can play D. I believe the Broncos can also get some points of their own, since all they do is a pass and at some point they should be able to score a couple of touchdowns.
Over 41.5

Y.T.D Record 5-0 Point spread
2-3 Over/Under

[dodger33]

I hope you are wrong here!

[frostno98]

Broncos vs Jets
I like the Jets here. Jets are very similar to the Ravens offensively and defensively. The game plan for the Jets offense is simple, continue to pound the ball against Denver's weak interior and pass at any opportunity they have against Denver's starting rookie Cornerback Perrish Cox. Who's been playing very terrible, in replace of injured starter Andre Goodman. Do that, and the Jets shouldn't have any problems moving the ball and putting up points.

For the Jets defense, all they need to do is copied what the Ravens did last week. Both teams have basically the same personnel, except Rex Ryan will probably turn it up the defensive intensity a notch. Orton can't throw for sh1t, if the Jets can constantly attack their inexperience O-line with a 4-5 man rush. Orton flatout panics under pressure, like he did in Tennessee and Baltimore. The Ravens mistake last week was playing a 3 man rush a few times, and Orton manage to get two 40 yards TD to Brandon Lloyd.

This week Broncos will be without Brian Dawkins and Andre Goodman, both very important pieces to the secondary. The Broncos basically only got two real threat on offense, and that's wide receivers Brandon Lloyd and rookie Demaryius Thomas. Thomas might be out also, due to a concussion in Baltimore. Gaffney and Royal are showing that they're very average at best and beneficiary of a spread offense, while the running game continues to struggle. This combined with their redzone woes equal disaster, verses one of the most physical team defensively in the league.
Jets -3 Winner


I think this game can go over. The Jets should be able to get their 20 plus against this very suspect secondary. Other than Champ, they have no one that can play D. I believe the Broncos can also get some points of their own, since all they do is a pass and at some point they should be able to score a couple of touchdowns.
Over 41.5 Winner

2-0 Game over

Y.T.D Record 6-0 Point spread
3-3 Over/Under

[dodger33]

Unreal run man! Keep up the good work!

[frostno98]

Sunday October 24, 2010

Broncos vs Raiders
I like the Da Raiders here. I don't know why the Broncos are favored so high, but I know that this line is way off. Kyle Boller might be starting, but that won't prevent the Raiders from being competitive in this game. I seen too many weird things in this Rivalry to not expect another close game between the two. The Raiders have beaten Broncos numerous times with quarterbacks that doesn't even belong in the league, like Jamarcus Russell(2009) and Josh McCown(2008).

I believe the Raiders defense is good enough to contain Denver's passing attack, and Asmougha can contain either of Denver's top threat in Brandon lloyd or Demeryius Thomas. Since Royal is not going to be 100% for this game, that will be once less Receiving weapon that Orton will have at his disposal.
Raiders +9


I like this game going under. Denver still haven't convinced me that they can score in the Redzone consistently. Bringing in Tebow to fix their Redzone issues was a surprise, but the Raiders will be prepare for him. The Raiders also don't score fast, since they chew up a lot of time just pounding the rock. I just see a grinding game here. I think Broncos will focus more on trying to establish the run, like they went great lengths to in the Jets game.
Under 41.5

Y.T.D Record 6-0 Point spread
3-3 Over/Under

[rfr3sh]

impressive keep it up

[dodger33]

I am on the raiders as well. Good luck!

[sharper2]

i think you've bet denver twice this season ATS, good luck this sunday

[frostno98]

Wow, this game over before it even started

[HawkEye]

Pathetic

[uhuhahah]

uh uh oak 24 - den 0

DEN & NO are friends today.

[Mac4Lyfe]

31 - 0 Frost knows his shit

[MB]

Frostno still killing the spreads. You should put more money ATS when Denver plays. 7-0. Damn we suck. I turned this shit off a couple minutes in the 2nd Q. Rather watch willy wonka and the chocolate family

[frostno98]

31 - 0 Frost knows his shit

Actually not. I really though the Broncos were going to out right win, but lose the spread.

[frostno98]

Broncos vs Raiders
I like the Da Raiders here. I don't know why the Broncos are favored so high, but I know that this line is way off. Kyle Boller might be starting, but that won't prevent the Raiders from being competitive in this game. I seen too many weird things in this Rivalry to not expect another close game between the two. The Raiders have beaten Broncos numerous times with quarterbacks that doesn't even belong in the league, like Jamarcus Russell(2009) and Josh McCown(2008).

I believe the Raiders defense is good enough to contain Denver's passing attack, and Asmougha can contain either of Denver's top threat in Brandon lloyd or Demeryius Thomas. Since Royal is not going to be 100% for this game, that will be once less Receiving weapon that Orton will have at his disposal.
Raiders +9 Winner


I like this game going under. Denver still haven't convinced me that they can score in the Redzone consistently. Bringing in Tebow to fix their Redzone issues was a surprise, but the Raiders will be prepare for him. The Raiders also don't score fast, since they chew up a lot of time just pounding the rock. I just see a grinding game here. I think Broncos will focus more on trying to establish the run, like they went great lengths to in the Jets game.
Under 41.5 Loser

Y.T.D Record 7-0 Point spread
3-4 Totals


1-1 Game Over

[Dark Horse]

Game was over after five minutes. Nice call, but the way they played they would have lost against a college team.

[frostno98]

Sunday October 31, 2010

Broncos vs 49ers in London
I'm rolling with the Broncos here. If they 49ers had David Carr starting, then I would lean their way. No way I'm betting on a team with a QB that's is essentially a rookie in Troy Smith, who's hasn't started a game in 3 years. I think the Broncos offense are still potent enough to put up points against this 49ers team, and they should be able to outscore this Troy Smith lead offense. I also like the Broncos playing better after being complete embarrassed by the Raiders.
Broncos +1

I like this game going over, pending any unforeseen wet weather in London. The Broncos defense has too many injuries, so the 49ers should be able to put up a few point. I also like the Broncos revitalizing that passing game and put at least 3 touchdowns in this game.
Over 41.5

Y.T.D Record 7-0 Point spread
3-4 Totals

[dwang0725]

BOL, I like this play. Here's to 8-0 ATS!

[onacloud]

Hope I don't jinx you by following this play!

[EXhoosier10]

is the over too obvious of a play? the NFL doesn't send a game to London to have a 10-7 or 21-14 type of game, do they? I really want to pound the over...

[DIRTYDIRTY]

thanxs for the input frost u da man

[zmas13]

[frostno98]

Hope I don't jinx you by following this play!

Hopefully I don't pull a Cliff Lee myself this Sunday

[NFL-Addicted]

Good job Frostno keep your picks, it is winning play.

[dodger33]

Interesting game this weekend. KC sucks on the road.

[frostno98]

Broncos vs Chiefs


Broncos +1
I think Denver having two weeks to recoup and prepare for the Chiefs will work in their favor at home. Regardless of the Broncos record, these two teams has always play each other tough, and they rarely sweep each other. The Broncos were humiliated last year by the Chiefs and now the Raiders. If this team has any kind of heart it's going to show this Sunday, and I like them taking the 1st match up between the two.

Over 42
I don't think the Broncos will be good enough to contain the Chiefs rushing attack, so they will be able to move the ball at will and score a few points. Jason Campbell managed to take advantage of Chiefs secondary, so I'm expecting no less than 3 Touchdowns from the Broncos. Brandon Lloyd and Eddie Royal are speedy receivers that should be able to replicate what Jacoby Ford did to KC in Oakland.


Y.T.D Record 7-1 Point spread
3-5 Totals

[GunShard]

Interesting prediction for Week 10, but I still believe that the Chiefs are going beat the Broncos. But the ATS could go in favor for the Broncos.

[GunShard]

For Week 10, my lean is on Kansas City because on my local news that DJ Williams is charged with DUI and most likely not to play this Sunday, he is the Broncos main defense player since Broncos main defensive player Elvis Dumervil was injured for the season before this season started. Not only that, but many important players have left the Broncos roster before the season started.

Broncos are out of the bye week @ home, but the Chiefs are similar to the Raiders, strong run offense against Broncos poor run defense.

[frostno98]

For Week 10, my lean is on Kansas City because on my local news that DJ Williams is charged with DUI and most likely not to play this Sunday, he is the Broncos main defense player since Broncos main defensive player Elvis Dumervil was injured for the season before this season started. Not only that, but many important players have left the Broncos roster before the season started.

Broncos are out of the bye week @ home, but the Chiefs are similar to the Raiders, strong run offense against Broncos poor run defense.

With or without Williams, Denver not going to win this game with defense anyways. If Orton can't get lead the Broncos to 3 touchdowns, they don't win period!

[frostno98]

Broncos vs Chiefs


Broncos +1 Winner
I think Denver having two weeks to recoup and prepare for the Chiefs will work in their favor at home. Regardless of the Broncos record, these two teams has always play each other tough, and they rarely sweep each other. The Broncos were humiliated last year by the Chiefs and now the Raiders. If this team has any kind of heart it's going to show this Sunday, and I like them taking the 1st match up between the two.

Over 42 Winner
I don't think the Broncos will be good enough to contain the Chiefs rushing attack, so they will be able to move the ball at will and score a few points. Jason Campbell managed to take advantage of Chiefs secondary, so I'm expecting no less than 3 Touchdowns from the Broncos. Brandon Lloyd and Eddie Royal are speedy receivers that should be able to replicate what Jacoby Ford did to KC in Oakland.

Game Over 2-0 Today

Y.T.D Record 8-1 Point spread
4-5 Totals

[dodger33]

Great call!

[frostno98]

Monday Night Football

Broncos at Chargers


Broncos +9
With no running game and a gimpy Antonio Gates, I don't see the Chargers running away with this game. The Broncos is more than capable offensively to hang with the Chargers defense who has struggle mightily against passing Quarterback. This should be a 3 point game.


Over 50
This should be similar to the Patriot/Colts game yesterday. Both QB's are the NFL leading passers in yards. The Broncos secondary is terrible, and the Chargers should be able to score at will. While Orton should be able to do the same.


Y.T.D Record 8-1 Point spread
4-5 Totals

[dodger33]

Good Luck!