anyone taking Rams +7?

Mr. Jones · 08-25-10, 06:06 PM

+8 now. I'm tempted.

SpreadSniper · 08-25-10, 06:09 PM

Originally posted by Mr. Jones

+8 now. I'm tempted.

Pinny's got it @ -7 (-110) for the NE backers out there.

EastsidaProduct · 08-25-10, 07:05 PM

I bought it at (+8.5)

THE HITMAN · 08-25-10, 07:40 PM

Got in for a smidgeon at +8

gtboy · 08-25-10, 08:46 PM

with the odds moving in NE direction I am getting scared. I already took NE -7 hope it holds. u never know. gl al

thebestthereis · 08-25-10, 08:59 PM

rams

LT Profits · 08-25-10, 09:05 PM

Plenty of +7.5s out there and Rams are the only bettable side here.

SpreadSniper · 08-25-10, 09:06 PM

Originally posted by gtboy

with the odds moving in NE direction I am getting scared. I already took NE -7 hope it holds. u never know. gl al

I wouldn't be... NE is going to beat up on STL... bettors are just playing the line because it is moving in and around the magic number "7"... sharp bettors will play the -7.5 as it is a magical number when it comes to football, but I just don't see STL doing much of anything vs the Pats.... books also don;t mind even action on games like this with this type of spread.
BOL to us both!

B1GER1C828 · 08-25-10, 09:07 PM

crazy...7-8 point dogs in PRESEASON. Hard not to take rams IMO.

LT Profits · 08-25-10, 09:10 PM

Originally posted by gtboy

with the odds moving in NE direction I am getting scared. I already took NE -7 hope it holds. u never know. gl al

How is line moving in NE direction? Rams went from +7.5 to +7 at Pinny, a valuable 1/2 point considering the key number. 5 Dimes has the +8 at -125, and even they opened it at +9 -130.

SpreadSniper · 08-25-10, 09:13 PM

it is the third week of PS eh fellas.... Bradford getting his first start vs a #1 NFL D.... NE 1st team O on the field longer, NE can score points regardless if their #1, #2, or #3 team is out there and Coach Bellichek while I hate him, is a master of the game and doesn't lay down for anybody.... oh, did I mention they are playing in Foxborough?

aman86 · 08-25-10, 11:37 PM

Originally posted by SpreadSniper

it is the third week of PS eh fellas.... Bradford getting his first start vs a #1 NFL D.... NE 1st team O on the field longer, NE can score points regardless if their #1, #2, or #3 team is out there and Coach Bellichek while I hate him, is a master of the game and doesn't lay down for anybody.... oh, did I mention they are playing in Foxborough?

Yes!! I think I actually like NE more than GB, NE has got to be the play for sure. 7pts will be nothing after a first drive td and an abysmal rams team in general and a high powered NE team

LT Profits · 08-25-10, 11:44 PM

Preseason dogs of +6 or more are well over 60% ATS since 2000, and every one of those games probably looked like a mismatch on paper like this one. You just can't lay this many points in preseason no matter how good the favorite looks. Remember that the back door will be open from the mid-third quarter on when the reserves are in.

Grandmaster B · 08-25-10, 11:44 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Plenty of +7.5s out there and Rams are the only bettable side here.

kidkonggolf · 08-25-10, 11:44 PM

Heck no, Pats in a blowout rout! BOL

LT Profits · 08-25-10, 11:46 PM

It's amazing how many guys use regular season logic when betting preseason.

LT Profits · 08-25-10, 11:48 PM

Originally posted by Grandmaster B

Yes, I guess it is hilarious that I am over 60% in preseason the last 10 years.

Grandmaster B · 08-25-10, 11:48 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

It's amazing how many guys use regular season logic when betting preseason.

NE scored a TD every quarter last week in preseason

the only way they dont smash the Lambs is if they decide to lay down tomorrow (highly unlikely with Bill still coaching)

any season...could be a pick up game at the local park

GunShard · 08-25-10, 11:48 PM

Rams are so bad, do they even have receivers?

Grandmaster B · 08-25-10, 11:50 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Yes, I guess it is hilarious that I am over 60% in preseason the last 10 years.

please dont try and sell me anything....your credibility went to the shitter IMO when you backed CW for 2 years

that being said I have seen you pick winners...but any man with half of a brain dosent bet the STL Lambs in 2010

LT Profits · 08-25-10, 11:50 PM

Rams are actually 4-2 in preseason under Spagnolo (or however you spell his name), they know they suck so they get their jollies by winning in preseason. Same thing with Lions, they are on 8-2 preseason run SU.

bretb27 · 08-25-10, 11:53 PM

when you said "brady's been terrible" i though you meant Tom haha, but we all know that couldn't be further than the truth.

LT Profits · 08-25-10, 11:53 PM

Originally posted by Grandmaster B

please dont try and sell me anything....your credibility went to the shitter IMO when you backed CW for 2 years

that being said I have seen you pick winners...but any man with half of a brain dosent bet the STL Lambs in 2010

Yeah, I got burned by CW, but that has nothing to do with my preseason record. Just read my preseason articles right here at SBR.

raiders72002 · 08-26-10, 12:36 AM

You either had to take NE -7 or Rams +7.5 or higher. Bradford is going against a 1st string defense. Although Bradford's stats looked bad he played in horrible weather last week.

LostBankroll · 08-26-10, 01:57 AM

Dont play this game an your a winner. Why bet this game unless you have an angle?

LT Profits · 08-26-10, 02:05 AM

The spread itself is an angle. Preseason underdogs of +7 or more are 63% since 2000.

Also, while it is true the starters will play longer, the Pats want to give Maroney a lot of work here after he hardly played the first two games, so more running = a shorter game that favors bigger dogs.

HoulihansTX · 08-26-10, 02:45 AM

I'm taking your word on this LT.

Quality, and trustworthy poster. Plus he is sharing info, that none of the other sharp bettors care to share.

jjgold · 08-26-10, 05:05 AM

Rams are one of 3 worst teams in nfl

golden rule in any sport

NEVER BET BAD TEAMS

THE PROFIT · 08-26-10, 05:11 AM

I will be playing NE small

neutronz · 08-26-10, 05:49 AM

im thinking the best bet is to take New England first half only which is around 3.5-4 pts which is totally doable for NE considering Tom Brady will be playing for the first half only and sitting out the rest.

so im going NE first half 2 units. the over might be a good parlay as well.

best of luck!

fults400 · 08-26-10, 10:07 AM

Im all over NE first half as well. I think they will have a 7-10 point lead at the half and then STL might close that in in the second. Im also thinking about the over too.

zanman822 · 08-26-10, 10:59 AM

Hey LT profits I was thinking about taking NE -6 for just the first half when the starters are in. Does that seem like a good play?

Fischnasty · 08-26-10, 11:01 AM

Is nomar playing tomorrow?

B1GER1C828 · 08-26-10, 11:17 AM

Originally posted by neutronz

im thinking the best bet is to take New England first half only which is around 3.5-4 pts which is totally doable for NE considering Tom Brady will be playing for the first half only and sitting out the rest. so im going NE first half 2 units. the over might be a good parlay as well. best of luck!

where are you finding pats 1st half -3.5, -4? its -6.5 almost everywhere