Manning, Colts +5 vs. Patriots
Game Time: 11/04/2007 04:15 PM -
By: Tony George | 10starpicks.com
The New England steamroller that is the Patriots comes to a grinding halt this Sunday at the RCA Dome in Indianapolis. Cash on the Colts plus the points in this big contest.
One game I will not be giving out to my clients, despite a recent streak of winners in the NFL, is "The Game" beween New England and Indianapolis this Sunday. This game is nearly as hyped as a championship game in the AFC, which it just may be in January this year.
While most handicappers will promo this game for sales in terms of public interest, there are better games to bet this week, but not better ones to watch as a fan of NFL football.
Bill Bellichick said it best last week: "They have won 12 in a row and are World Champions and have beaten us three straight. They are the best team in football." I agree with that statement folks. Forget the fact the underdog in this series is 9-3-1 ATS the last 13 games, forget the Colts being at home, and forget they are undefeated since winning the Super Bowl.
The oddsmakers have set the line so the public will lay the wood, and now the line is dropping to 5½ points in some places late Thursday. I bet the Colts at +7 at one book. It's a tricked-up line in my opinion, and now it is showing some sharp player money moving back to earth.
New England is playing a style right now rarely seen in as long as I can remember. Tom Brady has 30 TD passes folks, and an arsenal of weapons envied by all quarterbacks in the NFL. They are playing the best football in recent history, and with all the parity in the NFL, that is saying something.
The Colts are also getting it done and playing solid on defense, in fact better than last year at this point. At home they have allowed an average of 159 yards through the air which is impressive, and with a healthy Bob Sanders at safety playing deep support in a cover-two scheme, they have been solid. Indianapolis allows just 14 ppg at home. Peyton Manning is as good as Brady and has balance and command of the offense for the Colts. Look for Indy to run it this week against the Pats who allow over four yards per carry.
This game boils down to three or four big plays, special teams plays and a crucial penalty or fourth down play. Who can make these plays or have things go their way, so to speak, will win it. This game will not make or break either team until the final game of the season when they have home field advanatge if these two meet again.
I will call the score, and watch with the rest of you. Out on a limb in the eyes of some, and a contrarian play, but I like the Colts' chances this week. Things have come too easy for New England, and the Colts are a stiff test for adversity. Colts-35, Patriots-31.
Free Pick: Colts +5 (-105)
Game Time: 11/04/2007 04:15 PM -
By: Tony George | 10starpicks.com
The New England steamroller that is the Patriots comes to a grinding halt this Sunday at the RCA Dome in Indianapolis. Cash on the Colts plus the points in this big contest.
One game I will not be giving out to my clients, despite a recent streak of winners in the NFL, is "The Game" beween New England and Indianapolis this Sunday. This game is nearly as hyped as a championship game in the AFC, which it just may be in January this year.
While most handicappers will promo this game for sales in terms of public interest, there are better games to bet this week, but not better ones to watch as a fan of NFL football.
Bill Bellichick said it best last week: "They have won 12 in a row and are World Champions and have beaten us three straight. They are the best team in football." I agree with that statement folks. Forget the fact the underdog in this series is 9-3-1 ATS the last 13 games, forget the Colts being at home, and forget they are undefeated since winning the Super Bowl.
The oddsmakers have set the line so the public will lay the wood, and now the line is dropping to 5½ points in some places late Thursday. I bet the Colts at +7 at one book. It's a tricked-up line in my opinion, and now it is showing some sharp player money moving back to earth.
New England is playing a style right now rarely seen in as long as I can remember. Tom Brady has 30 TD passes folks, and an arsenal of weapons envied by all quarterbacks in the NFL. They are playing the best football in recent history, and with all the parity in the NFL, that is saying something.
The Colts are also getting it done and playing solid on defense, in fact better than last year at this point. At home they have allowed an average of 159 yards through the air which is impressive, and with a healthy Bob Sanders at safety playing deep support in a cover-two scheme, they have been solid. Indianapolis allows just 14 ppg at home. Peyton Manning is as good as Brady and has balance and command of the offense for the Colts. Look for Indy to run it this week against the Pats who allow over four yards per carry.
This game boils down to three or four big plays, special teams plays and a crucial penalty or fourth down play. Who can make these plays or have things go their way, so to speak, will win it. This game will not make or break either team until the final game of the season when they have home field advanatge if these two meet again.
I will call the score, and watch with the rest of you. Out on a limb in the eyes of some, and a contrarian play, but I like the Colts' chances this week. Things have come too easy for New England, and the Colts are a stiff test for adversity. Colts-35, Patriots-31.
Free Pick: Colts +5 (-105)
I will also be on the Saints this Sunday. Waiting to see if maybe I can get -3, but will settle for -3.5 if I have too.
