Will wait to bet Pats in the second half
Pats and Indy both gain about the same number of yards per game. They also both allow about the same number of yards per game. But the Patriots score a lot more points per game, and allow a lot less points per game.
The question is are the Patriots just lucky that they can complete drives making it on 3rd down and not commiting turnovers?
The Washington blowout was the result of Washington taking a lot of risk, throwing into coverage, etc. etc., because this is the only way they figured they could win. The risk did not work out for them. But as you watched New England go through that Washington defense like a knife going through butter, you couldn't help think maybe the line of -16 wasn't big enough, especially for a team like New England that doesn't have any interest in turning conservative in the second half to preserve a lead.
Indy is the second best team in the league. The league is suppose to offer parity, but I can remember a lot of superbowls that turned into blowouts. Generally there is parity, but this year one team seems to be standing very high above the others.
My gut feeling is this is just going to be another New England blow out, but I will wait to bet New England in the second half if they cover the spread in the first. I want to see how they do in the first half, and how much luck is a factor if they are way ahead. If they are dominating Indy left and right, I will put a lot on them in the second half, and the public and hedge bettors will give me a line much better than the first half line as they usually do.
Pats and Indy both gain about the same number of yards per game. They also both allow about the same number of yards per game. But the Patriots score a lot more points per game, and allow a lot less points per game.
The question is are the Patriots just lucky that they can complete drives making it on 3rd down and not commiting turnovers?
The Washington blowout was the result of Washington taking a lot of risk, throwing into coverage, etc. etc., because this is the only way they figured they could win. The risk did not work out for them. But as you watched New England go through that Washington defense like a knife going through butter, you couldn't help think maybe the line of -16 wasn't big enough, especially for a team like New England that doesn't have any interest in turning conservative in the second half to preserve a lead.
Indy is the second best team in the league. The league is suppose to offer parity, but I can remember a lot of superbowls that turned into blowouts. Generally there is parity, but this year one team seems to be standing very high above the others.
My gut feeling is this is just going to be another New England blow out, but I will wait to bet New England in the second half if they cover the spread in the first. I want to see how they do in the first half, and how much luck is a factor if they are way ahead. If they are dominating Indy left and right, I will put a lot on them in the second half, and the public and hedge bettors will give me a line much better than the first half line as they usually do.
