Black Friday Bears vs Eagles Picks & Predictions

SBR Andy · 2025-11-28T14:33:12+00:00

SBR's Gary Pearson breaks down the matchup in his Bears vs Eagles prediction:

Over/Under pick: Under 44.5 (-110 via FanDuel)

Game prediction: Bears +7 (-108 via DraftKings)

"The Bears are actually good. Their ease of schedule, however, should prevent anyone from saying they're elite. They've won eight of the previous nine and four straight, but only one of those victories, against the 6-5 Pittsburgh Steelers, came against a team that is currently above .500.

That said, the Bears have an uncanny knack for playing in tight contests, with just three of those nine games decided by more than five points. Six of Chicago's previous eight games were decided by an average of 2.67 points.

The Eagles are in a similar boat, consistently playing up or down to their opponents' level. Only one of the Eagles' eight victories has come by more than seven points, against the two-win New York Giants at home in Week 8.

Take that victory out of the equation, and the Eagles' winning margin averages 5.14 points.

With that 18-point triumph, the Eagles' average winning margin is still just 6.75 points. Two of their three losses came by four points or fewer. At +1.5 per game, Chicago has the best turnover margin in the NFL. Even if they don't win the turnover battle, I'm not confident Philly can break it open.

In addition, wind gusts of up to 35 mph could wreak havoc on the field goal kickers, making it even more challenging to gain separation."

Best prop bet: Saquon Barkley Over 76.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel)

"Barkley has endured the most precipitous drop in level and production since last season.

However, he has hit the Over on this total in consecutive home games and is facing a Bears team with the sixth-worst defensive rush DVOA. It allows the third-most rushing yards per attempt (5.2) and the fifth-most rushing yards per game (138.1).

I'd be surprised if the Eagles don't try to exploit that poor run-stop unit, especially in what should be blustery conditions. Even if the wind is a non-factor, Philly will attempt to dictate time of possession with a heavy dose of Saquon."

Bears vs. Eagles best odds

Bears vs. Eagles betting trends

️Bears vs. Eagles weather

The temperature will be a cool and crisp 43 degrees, and the wind is expected to gust to 35 mph. While there is only a 2% chance of precipitation, expect the blustery conditions to impact both offenses and each team's kicking.

SBR Andy · 2025-11-28T14:36:21+00:00

SBR's Dustin Saracini has his best Bears vs Eagles player prop bets ready to go:

Jalen Hurts Under 211.5 passing yards (-115 via FanDuel)

"After firing off three straight games of under 200 passing yards, all the talk surrounding the Eagles was about their struggling offense. Hurts had answers in Week 12 - for both the media and A.J. Brown - completing 27 of 39 passes for 289 yards and a passing touchdown. However, I think we see him shift back to the norm in this one. The weather won't allow passing to be a big part of the game plan on Black Friday (it'll be cold, windy, and raining), and the Bears' front seven is depleted, so I'm expecting Saquon Barkley to handle the offensive load."

Caleb William Under 206.5 passing yards (-111 via BetMGM)

"Yes, this could be an ugly game that lives between the 20s and on the ground. The weather in Philadelphia on Friday won't be conducive to passing, leaving a mixture of D'Andre Swift and Kyle Monangai to be the focal point of the offense. Not to mention Williams will be going up against one of the best defenses in football. We'll be looking for a sloppy game on Friday afternoon, which should help keep it close."

A.J. Brown Anytime touchdown (+130 via Caesars)

"I've been banging the table on Brown props for a while now, and his complaints about the offense were finally heard a week ago. He's been targeted 21 times over his last two weeks, finally finding the end zone for the first time in over a month a game ago.

The Hurts-Brown connection is alive and well, and it's time to cash in on Black Friday."

SBR Andy · 2025-11-28T14:38:52+00:00

SBR's Esten McLaren shares his Bears vs Eagles anytime TD scorer predictions:

Dallas Goedert, TE, Eagles (+172 via Caesars)

"The Bears have allowed a league-high 84.7% catch rate to opposing tight ends, with five of those catches going for touchdowns.

Dallas Goedert's looking for his first touchdown since October after scoring seven times in a six-game span. He continues to dominate the snap count and has a 73.1% catch rate this season. After getting wide receiver A.J. Brown to break out last week, the Eagles can freely turn focus back to Goedert in a positional matchup advantage."

D'Andre Swift, RB, Bears (+195 via FanDuel)

"D'Andre Swift hasn't yet scored during the Bears' three-game win streak, though he was highly effective in all but last week's outing against the Pittsburgh Steelers. He has five total touchdowns on the season, while averaging 5.3 yards per touch.

The Eagles aren't as stiff defensively against running backs as one might assume, as they've allowed 11 total scores to the position. They also allow a 77.2% catch rate, 8.02 yards per target, and 4.11 yards per carry. Look for Swift's dual-threat abilities to keep him involved throughout the game, even with the Eagles favored by 7 points at home."

Caleb Williams, QB, Bears (+450 via FanDuel)

"Caleb Williams is running less than he did as a rookie, but he's been much more effective with three scores on the ground compared to zero last season. For all the talk about the tush push, the Eagles have been susceptible to "proper" rushing touchdowns by quarterbacks, with four such scores allowed on the year.

These long odds - like with Swift above - are a result of the Bears being a sizeable road underdog. Both players will need to take it upon themself if Chicago stands to cover and maintain its lead atop the NFC North."

Anytime touchdown scorer odds: Bears vs. Eagles

SBR Andy · 2025-11-28T15:21:30+00:00

SBR's Gary Pearson has put together a Bears vs Eagles Same Game Parlay:

Black Friday SGP bets

1st leg: D'Andre Swift 40+ rushing yards (-114)
2nd leg: Saquon Barkley 70+ rushing yards (-166)
3rd leg: Jalen Hurts anytime TD (-110)

Best odds: +474 via FanDuel

D'Andre Swift 40+ rushing yards (-114)
"Swift hit the Over on this total in five of the previous six games, with last week's season-worst 15 yards against the Pittsburgh Steelers the exception. With the potentially blustery conditions, I expect a heavy dose of running from both teams.

The Eagles have a middling run defence across most statistical categories, including defensive run DVOA (13th) and opponent rushing yards per game (18th). Swift should be able to muster at least 40 rushing yards for the eighth time in 11 games, especially as it's his first game against his former team since the Eagles dealt him in 2023."

Saquon Barkley 70+ rushing yards (-166)
"I also backed Barkley to have a productive game in my Bears vs. Eagles prediction. He faces one of the NFL's worst run defenses and enjoyed solid performances the last two times he played at home, registering 150 yards against the Minnesota Vikings and 83 versus the Detroit Lions.

The Lions have the sixth-best defensive rush DVOA, which dwarfs Chicago's sixth-worst unit. Minnesota, meanwhile, has the 14th-ranked defensive rush DVOA."

Jalen Hurts anytime TD (-110)
"Hurts has three rushing TDs in the last two games and eight overall. With the Bears' vulnerabilities in stopping the run, Hurts is a prime candidate anywhere within the red zone.

He's also got the push tush to work with, which is all but guaranteed if they're within two yards of the goal line. As long as they can avoid the more tightly called false start, that is."