Week 10 of Thursday Night Football features an AFC West clash between Las Vegas and Denver.
SBR's Gary Pearson breaks down the matchup in his Raiders vs Broncos prediction:
Over/Under pick: Under 42.5 (-106 via Caesars)
Game prediction: Broncos -9 (-105 via bet365)
"The Raiders have been the worst road team over their last three games while losing by an average margin of 27.3 points and allowing 384 yards of total offense.
Geno Smith, who's consistently near the bottom of our Clutch Factor power rankings, deals with pressure poorly. Only five QBs with at least five starts are worse under pressure, which is reflected in his 42.1 ranking at PFF.
That's a gloomy state considering the Broncos' propensity to pressure the opposing QB. Vance Joseph's defense blitzes the seventh-most (27.4%) and has registered the third-highest pressure rate (28.2%). The unit has tallied 40 sacks, which is a remarkable 12 more than the second-place Detroit Lions.
The Raiders' lack of a ground game is a primary contributing factor to Smith's inability to cope with pressure. They field the worst run unit, according to DVOA and EPA per play. That should represent a perfect storm for Denver's defense, which should resemble a group of sharks detecting plenty of chum to go around."
Best prop bet: Courtland Sutton Over 53.5 receiving yards (-113 via DraftKings)
"The Raiders allow the fifth-most yards per game (165.12) to opposing wide receivers and they've given up 245 passing yards per contest on the road.
Sutton is much more productive at Mile High Stadium, where he averages 74 receiving yards, and he's hit the Over on this total in all four home games.
Bo Nix has also been more formidable through the air at home, averaging 284 passing yards in the previous three."
SBR's Gary Pearson breaks down the matchup in his Raiders vs Broncos prediction:
Over/Under pick: Under 42.5 (-106 via Caesars)
Game prediction: Broncos -9 (-105 via bet365)
"The Raiders have been the worst road team over their last three games while losing by an average margin of 27.3 points and allowing 384 yards of total offense.
Geno Smith, who's consistently near the bottom of our Clutch Factor power rankings, deals with pressure poorly. Only five QBs with at least five starts are worse under pressure, which is reflected in his 42.1 ranking at PFF.
That's a gloomy state considering the Broncos' propensity to pressure the opposing QB. Vance Joseph's defense blitzes the seventh-most (27.4%) and has registered the third-highest pressure rate (28.2%). The unit has tallied 40 sacks, which is a remarkable 12 more than the second-place Detroit Lions.
The Raiders' lack of a ground game is a primary contributing factor to Smith's inability to cope with pressure. They field the worst run unit, according to DVOA and EPA per play. That should represent a perfect storm for Denver's defense, which should resemble a group of sharks detecting plenty of chum to go around."
Best prop bet: Courtland Sutton Over 53.5 receiving yards (-113 via DraftKings)
"The Raiders allow the fifth-most yards per game (165.12) to opposing wide receivers and they've given up 245 passing yards per contest on the road.
Sutton is much more productive at Mile High Stadium, where he averages 74 receiving yards, and he's hit the Over on this total in all four home games.
Bo Nix has also been more formidable through the air at home, averaging 284 passing yards in the previous three."