Week 8 of Thursday Night Football features an AFC matchup between Baltimore and Miami. SBR's Gary Pearson breaks down the action in his Ravens vs Dolphins prediction:
Game prediction: Ravens -7.5 (-110 via BetMGM)
Over/Under pick: Over 50.5 (-110 via FanDuel)
"The Ravens are almost completely healthy, which should come with a warning sign for their forthcoming opponents. Only offensive tackle Ronnie Staley remains a limited participant, with everyone else on the full-participation list, including two-time MVP Jackson.
The mood in the Ravens' locker room must be as good as the aforementioned injury report. It feels like a situation ripe for the visitors to go off, at least offensively.
Jackson will love the fact that he returns to action against the fourth-worst unit in terms of DVOA and EPA per play.
The Dolphins offense, meanwhile, won't fear a Ravens defense that has the 23rd-ranked defensive DVOA and third-worst EPA per play. The weather will be ideal, which should help two of the three most profitable teams to the Over. The Dolphins are 6-1-1 to the Over and Baltimore is 6-1.
Hard Rock Stadium has seen three Overs in as many games this season, with an average of 55 points. While I'm also partial to the Ravens covering, I'm slightly more confident in betting the Over."
Player prop bet: Mark Andrews Over 27.5 receiving yards (-114 via FanDuel)
"Jackson has a favorable matchup against a unit with the fourth-worst defensive pass DVOA. However, the Dolphins are surprisingly effective at limiting opposing wide receivers, allowing the fewest yards per game to that position (107.62).
That unit isn't so proficient at stopping opposing tight ends, who average 63.62 yards per game. Only six defenses allow more yards per game to tight ends, which should open the door for Andrews.
While he isn't having the season he would like, he accumulated 91 yards against the Detroit Lions, Jackson's last complete game.
Despite his overall inconsistency, Andrews hit the Over on this total in two of four games with Jackson under center."
Game prediction: Ravens -7.5 (-110 via BetMGM)
Over/Under pick: Over 50.5 (-110 via FanDuel)
"The Ravens are almost completely healthy, which should come with a warning sign for their forthcoming opponents. Only offensive tackle Ronnie Staley remains a limited participant, with everyone else on the full-participation list, including two-time MVP Jackson.
The mood in the Ravens' locker room must be as good as the aforementioned injury report. It feels like a situation ripe for the visitors to go off, at least offensively.
Jackson will love the fact that he returns to action against the fourth-worst unit in terms of DVOA and EPA per play.
The Dolphins offense, meanwhile, won't fear a Ravens defense that has the 23rd-ranked defensive DVOA and third-worst EPA per play. The weather will be ideal, which should help two of the three most profitable teams to the Over. The Dolphins are 6-1-1 to the Over and Baltimore is 6-1.
Hard Rock Stadium has seen three Overs in as many games this season, with an average of 55 points. While I'm also partial to the Ravens covering, I'm slightly more confident in betting the Over."
Player prop bet: Mark Andrews Over 27.5 receiving yards (-114 via FanDuel)
"Jackson has a favorable matchup against a unit with the fourth-worst defensive pass DVOA. However, the Dolphins are surprisingly effective at limiting opposing wide receivers, allowing the fewest yards per game to that position (107.62).
That unit isn't so proficient at stopping opposing tight ends, who average 63.62 yards per game. Only six defenses allow more yards per game to tight ends, which should open the door for Andrews.
While he isn't having the season he would like, he accumulated 91 yards against the Detroit Lions, Jackson's last complete game.
Despite his overall inconsistency, Andrews hit the Over on this total in two of four games with Jackson under center."