MNF: Buccaneers vs Texans Predictions

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  • SBR Andy
    Administrator
    • 02-09-22
    • 4876

    #1
    MNF: Buccaneers vs Texans Predictions
    The first game of the Week 2 Monday Night Football double-header features Tampa Bay and Houston at 7:00 PM ET on ABC/ESPN. SBR's Gary Pearson breaks down the action in his Buccaneers vs Texans prediction:

    Texans ML (-135 DraftKings)

    "Inept, listless, inefficient, ghastly. Pick your favorite of those four words, and you have a perfect embodiment of the Texans' Week 1 offensive performance. There is some good news, though. First, they get to play at home, which makes snap counts easier at the very least.

    And second, the Buccaneers' pass defense struggled against Atlanta Falcons QB Michael Penix Jr. in the opener, allowing 298 yards while receiving the same 21st-ranked pressure grade (61.9) it did last season. That should present an ideal opportunity - even with center Jake Andrews unavailable - for Stroud and his receivers to gain confidence and source some productivity.

    The most crucial facet for the Texans to win, though, is the state of the Buccaneers' offensive line. Offensive tackle Tristan Wirfs is still out, and right tackle Luke Goedeke is questionable after injuring his ankle in Week 1. It means Cody Mauch could be the only offensive lineman playing in his original position.

    That is a catastrophic recipe against such a formidable Texans' defensive line, which had the best pressure grade in Week 1 (81.9) and was a top-10 unit last season. If the Texans can consistently pressure Baker Mayfield, I believe they will win ugly. With DraftKings' -135 odds, I'm willing to take them on the moneyline."


    Will Anderson Jr. Over 0.25 sacks (-129 DraftKings)

    "Will Anderson Jr. will be licking his lips at the prospect of facing a banged-up Buccaneers offensive line. He'll almost assuredly face backup linemen, providing the chance to wear them down and showcase his superiority. Even if he's double-teamed, it's unlikely backups will prevent him from getting his mitts on Mayfield for the duration.

    Anderson had a sack on Rams QB Matthew Stafford in Week 1 and obtained at least half a sack in his last four games at NRG Stadium. With the prospective mismatch, I expect him to extend that streak to five. If you think he'll get a sack or more, lock in the -104 odds at DraftKings.

    I'm taking the buffer just in case he requires some assistance bringing Mayfield down, who was sacked just once against Atlanta."


    Buccaneers vs Texans Best Odds:

    Click image for larger version  Name:	image.png Views:	1 Size:	13.1 KB ID:	29900843

    Who comes out on top tonight? Post your picks below.​
  • JAKEPEAVY21
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 03-11-11
    • 29408

    #2
    Texans might win but their oline worries me. I need to see 2-3 more weeks from them before I can confidently bet them. Good luck
    Comment
    • SBR Andy
      Administrator
      • 02-09-22
      • 4876

      #3
      SBR's Dustin Saracini shares his best Buccaneers vs Texans player prop bets:

      Nick Chubb Under 50.5 rushing yards (-110 via DraftKings)

      "This play has more to do with the Tampa Bay run-stopping unit and less to do with Nick Chubb's ability to run the ball.

      We all saw what Atlanta Falcons running back Bijan Robinson and the Falcons' offensive line did to the Minnesota Vikings in prime time last night - they repeatedly gashed Minnesota's front-seven for big runs while creating holes a truck could drive through. Well, Atlanta tried that against the Bucs in Week 1, too, and Tampa's rush EPA per play allowed was -0.51.

      Overall, the Bucs allowed just 2.9 yards per carry against one of the best running backs in football. Chubb may be in for tough sledding tonight against one of the best run-stopping units in the NFL.

      Make sure you head to DraftKings to get 50.5 rushing yards, as you'll find 48.5-49.5 everywhere else."


      Bucky Irving anytime touchdown scorer (+134 via FanDuel)

      "Buccaneers running back Bucky Irving is a touchdown machine.

      Not only did he find the end zone in Week 1, but since taking over full-time duties in the Tampa Bay backfield, he's scored in eight of 13 games - that won't change tonight.

      The Bucs also owned one of the best red-zone offenses in football in 2024, scoring a touchdown on 66% of their trips inside the 20, which was good for fourth-best in the NFL. The reincarnation of Doug Martin's "Muscle Hamster" is alive and well, expect Bucky to hit pay dirt tonight.

      The value at FanDuel for this wager is phenomenal compared to the +110 you'll find anywhere else."


      Baker Mayfield Over 251.5 passing + rushing yards (-115 via BetMGM) ​

      "Baker Mayfield is easily one of the more entertaining quarterbacks in all of football. He'll put his body on the line for a win, and that's why we're backing his passing + rushing numbers tonight.

      While he only threw for 167 yards against a strong Atlanta defense in Week 1, he still ran for 39, and went over this number 11 times last season - throwing for 300-plus yards six times. Take away his rushing yards, and he still went over this total 10 times alone. Mayfield is the ultimate gamer and a guy who is a prop darling."
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