TNF: Cowboys vs Eagles Predictions

SBR Andy · 09-02-25, 02:19 PM

SBR's Gary Pearson shares his early Cowboys vs Eagles prediction:

Eagles -7.5 (-105 Caesars)

"While the Eagles struggled as the betting favorite in covering significant spreads last season (3-4 with spreads of 5.5 points or more), the headwind against the Cowboys resembles a hurricane.

The Parsons situation was the perfect embodiment of a train wreck. It's not just the fact that they lost their All-Pro edge rusher to the Green Bay Packers, which shook up NFL futures betting markets, but it was the way in which he departed the Lone Star State.

No matter how resilient and upbeat, team morale must be as low, if not lower, as it was when Dak Prescott injured his hamstring last season.

They now face the daunting prospect of facing one of the Super Bowl odds favorites on the road with first-time head coach Brian Schottenheimer at the helm.

Prescott will be under center for the first time in a competitive game since last year's Week 9 season-ending injury. It might take some time to readjust, which could present a nightmare situation against an Eagles team that had the best defensive DVOA last season.

And while nobody is quite sure how the new-look Eagles secondary will perform, Vic Fangio will take solace knowing his defense is facing a team that should be predictable to scheme against.

Dallas will be over-reliant on the passing game, as Javonte Williams, who had just 513 yards for Denver last season, spearheads what is expected to be a lackluster ground attack."

Hawkeye94 · 09-02-25, 05:50 PM

Taking the under 47.5. Both QBs took 0 snaps in preseason. That is favorable to the under, rusty.
Don't know if morale will be as low as people think.

SBR Andy · 09-03-25, 07:32 AM

SBR's Matt Jacob has three player prop bets lined up for Thursday night:

Jalen Hurts to score a touchdown (-145 DraftKings)

"Jalen Hurts has played in 37 regular-season and playoff games since the start of the 2023 season. Number of times in those 37 contests that the Ealges' dual-threat quarterback crossed the goal line at least once: 25.

Yep, over the last three years, Hurts has cashed his anytime TD prop in two-thirds of his starts (67.6%). That includes a pair of ground scores in his lone meeting last year against the Cowboys — the same Cowboys who allowed an NFL-high 25 rushing TDs in 2024."

Dak Prescott Over 247.5 passing yards (-115 BetMGM)

"Dak Prescott didn't face the Eagles last year, as he suffered a season-ending hamstring injury one week before Dallas' first meeting with Philly. However, the Cowboys quarterback carved up the Eagles in the previous four head-to-head battles, throwing for 271, 295, 347 and 374 yards.

In fact, Prescott has amassed at least 265 passing yards in seven of his last nine games against Philly — never once throwing for fewer than 238 yards."

Saquon Barkley Under 96.5 rushing yards (-105 bet365)

"Eagles running back Saquon Barkley became the ninth player in NFL history to clear the 2,000-yard rushing barrier last year — and he did it in his final regular-season game, when he gashed Dallas for 167 yards (on 31 carries).

Impressive. Also impressive: Prior to that game, the Cowboys had held Barkley to 81 rushing yards or fewer in eight consecutive meetings (including 66 yards or fewer seven times)."

SBR Andy · 09-03-25, 02:30 PM

SBR's Gabe Henderson is also going with the home squad:

Philadelphia -8 (-110 Caesars)

"Brian Schottenheimer must go on the road to one of the league's toughest environments and win a divisional duel against the league's best ATS team from last season. Oh, all of this in his NFL coaching debut. Forgive me, but I don't see it happening. I think the Eagles roll for a third consecutive contest against the Cowboys."

Str8Mush4Life · 09-04-25, 02:41 AM

Pound the Cowboys ML to death.

As Bill would tell you last year that no QB wearing #1 had ever won the SB and no team that lost to TB during the regular season had ever won the SB, but now that those two things occured then that simply means that no QB wearing #1 that lost to TB during the regular season who actually did win the SB has won a home opener against Dallas on Thursday Night Football. EVER!!

Pound the Cowboys ML and kill the books!!!!!!!!!!

SBR Andy · 09-04-25, 08:53 AM

SBR's Dustin Saracini thinks Dallas can hang around tonight:

Dallas +8 (-105)

"The Eagles have had trouble covering large spreads, as Nick Sirianni and Jalen Hurts are just 7-13-2 ATS when favored by 6.5 points or more. The Cowboys' overall offensive numbers last year are skewed as Dak Prescott missed a handful of games, but he's now back with a revamped offense highlighted by the addition of George Pickens. This game will be closer than you think, and while the Eagles may ultimately win, I have the Cowboys covering."

He also likes Dak to air it out:

Dak Prescott Over 248.5 passing yards (-115)

"Dak has gone over this number in five of his last six previous starts against the Eagles, and game script is screaming 40-plus attempts for the Cowboys QB. Look for Philly to force the Cowboys to the air, and for a potential shootout on Thursday Night Football."

SBR Andy · 09-04-25, 01:54 PM

Looking to add a TD scorer to your SGP? Isaiah Sirois shares his best Cowboys vs Eagles anytime touchdown scorer bets:

George Pickens to score anytime TD (+220 via FanDuel)

"The Cowboys retooled their receiving room by adding George Pickens to be the second option to CeeDee Lamb. After Lamb led the NFL in red-zone targets in 2023 with 31, he ranked just 22nd last year with 16, of which only nine were caught and just three went for touchdowns.

Meanwhile, Jalen Tolbert notched 13 targets and caught eight for seven touchdowns. Pickens’ 6-foot-3 frame makes him a better boundary option than Lamb, whose 46.2% slot snap rate likely means lots of matchups with Philadelphia’s star nickel cornerback, Cooper DeJean."

Saquon Barkley to score anytime TD (-195 via DraftKings)

"Barkley led the Eagles in red-zone carries with 55 to Jalen Hurts’ 49 last season, and the latter even tallied 13 carries inside the five. The tush push simply wasn’t as effective without Jason Kelce. Hurts scored 13 times on 16 carries inside the five in 2023, but only managed 11 scores on 18 carries the following season.

The Cowboys swapped pass rusher Micah Parsons for interior defensive lineman Kenny Clark this offseason, which Jerry Jones hopes will help them up the middle. It won’t help them with outside runs, which is a strength of Barkley’s game.

Further, Jones’ confidence in Clark may be misplaced because the veteran defensive tackle ranked 83rd of 219 interior defensive linemen in run defense grade, per PFF. Trust Barkley to find paydirt on the first drive, last drive, stack your bonus bets, or take a risk and trust the below option to do so for Philadelphia."

A.J. Brown to score anytime TD (+160 via DraftKings)

"Brown’s absence from four games may explain some of that downtick, as do the nagging injuries. But he enters the 2025 campaign healthy, and he remains the best boundary and jump-ball weapon in Hurts’ arsenal. Further, with Dallas opting to prioritize its run defense over the pass rush, Hurts should have more time to throw, potentially creating more opportunities for him to connect with Brown on a deep ball.

The Cowboys may have ball hawks at cornerback, but they don’t have good coverage guys on the boundary. Trevon Diggs ranked 121st of 222 corners in pass coverage last year with a 60.3 coverage grade. On the other side of the field will be Kaiir Elam, a former first-round pick who couldn’t get on the field with the Bills. His career coverage grade of 66.4 is bad, and his forced incompletion rate of 5% is even worse."