MY Record is 16-4-1 Against and With the Spread, After the 1st week of the NFL Wildcards. I bet one game A week, I never bet spreads over 10, Never a road team, getting 7 more points, Never home steam giving up 7 more points[ also added two Thursday Night Games.. I bet two play- Off Games a Week Up To SuperBowl. I work off a spread sheet, Weather,injures, Power ratings, Defense and Offence analyzes, Team coaches comparisons and What team has lot players with flu//lol !!!Just Kidding Of Course//lol.. Last Week Playoffs Wins with Dallas -3 1/2 And Jets+3
The problem for the Ravens is that from that perspective, the Colts may have a significant advantage in the match ups, particularly when Indy goes to its spread formation. Indianapolis’ receiving corps features both top-end talent (No. 1 receiver Reggie Wayne(notes) and tight end Dallas Clark(notes)) and quality depth (running back Joseph Addai(notes) and wide receivers Pierre Garcon(notes) and Austin Collie(notes)). Conversely, Baltimore’s secondary is starting its third weakside cornerback in Carr and using safety Tom Zbikowski(notes) as the dime defensive back.
This is an offense that truly knows its strengths and weaknesses, and coordinator Cam Cameron is doing an excellent job of playing to those strengths. The Ravens have staple run plays they believe in -- mostly between the tackles -- and they come right at you with sound blocking schemes. They utilized 52 run plays last week to dominate New England and will do more of the same this week against an active but undersized Colts defense. The Ravens' blockers get to the second level and just wear you down. , keep the Colts offense on the sidelines, protect a less-than-healthy Joe Flacco and set up some excellent play-action opportunities. We all knew that Baltimore was good, but this good? Well, to be fair, the Patriots weren't playing their top game on Sunday, so that opened up a great opportunity for the rowdy
Ravens to pounce early and stay ahead, which is essentially how they pulled off the win. Now, they move on to face Peyton Manning and the domineering Colts, who had the weekend off to rest and practice for the all-important divisional games this weekend.This game has already moved down to -5.5 at one book, and it’s slowly getting lower and lower everywhere else, as only one of the major books I “shop at” holds this game as the Colts favored by a touchdown. So far, 51% of the total bet coming in are on Baltimore to cover, but I see a couple books still show a huge public percentage taking the Colts, between 65 and 70% at some major books. With the spread shrinking and the public bet still staying close to 50%,
I'm liking my Ravens pick +6 1/2
