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  • The Wiz
    Restricted User
    • 11-08-09
    • 312

    #1
    NFL Plays
    Boy did i suck eggs going 0-3 in the damn colleges.. Hope to recoup.

    New Orleans at Tampa Bay

    Vegas has struggled setting a number in any game involving New Orleans lately and the one against a feisty Tampa Bay team seems to be too high once again. New Orleans has struggled to put mediocre teams away and they will be flat in this match-up also.

    The Saints have too many injuries that they have to deal with. The Buccaneers have played really well since Freeman took over, and because this is a divisional matchup, I'm really liking all of the points.
    The Buccaneers will bring it against the hated Saints. New Orleans, meanwhile, could be caught looking ahead to its Monday night battle against the Patriots.
    OK, here we are with the first of the old "home team getting more than 7 points against a divisional opponent." This yields 67% winners when taking the underdog. Sure, New Orleans is a far superior team, maybe a Super Bowl participant, but they don't cover every week and this is a proven play,like i mentioned. These two have not met this season, which plays to Tampa's hand. The Saints are likely to win, but only by a narrow margin.

    Tampa Bay+11

    Indianapolis at Baltimore

    This line jumps out to me that Vegas could be setting a trap as the Colts are without a doubt the better team on a neutral field. Coming off an emotional win and facing a desperate Ravens team is a tough spot, but if anyone can pull his team together in a tight spot it is Peyton Manning.
    The Colts have a double-barrel advantage statistically here. They lead the league in points allowed at 15.8 per game and are 4th in scoring at 28 ppg. The Ravens check in at 17.1 and 24.7. As much as the Ravens like playing at home, where they are 3-1, this is a really tough spot, because they are overall 5-4 and trail both the Bengals and Steelers in the division.

    Making matters worse is that the Colts have won the last 4 meetings - three of them in Baltimore - and the Raven defense is not getting any younger. Until the Colts lose, which could happen any week, they are still the pick. Besides, despite winning, they haven't covered the line in 3 weeks. They're due.

    Colts-1


    San Diego at Denver

    Don't worry!! The Chargers are going to be favored here, it's just a question of by how much. If Kyle Orton plays it may be only 3 or 4 points. If Chris Sims is the starting QB for Denver, make it an even 7. Either way, the Chargers, looking for their 5th straight win and sole possession of first place in the AFC West, should win this one by three scores, and, even if those are a safety and two field goals, the 8 points should more than cover the line. This is a different San Diego team than in seasons past. They're healthy, motivated and over .500. At 6-3, they look like the last team anyone wants to play right now.
    The Broncos are reeling and the Chargers are playing with fire. The former once held a three-game lead, while the latter was dismissed by many as having no chance to win the AFC West. Hmm... when has this happened before?

    San Diego-5.5
  • The Wiz
    Restricted User
    • 11-08-09
    • 312

    #2
    Watch out for these underdogs!!!!


    Arizona at St. Louis +10 (5 Dimes)

    Yeah, I know, the Rams didn’t win last week you say, well they did in my book, and every other sports book. As you well know, the winners don’t always win in this game. The Rams have been awesome on the ground, running on everyone lately – that has to continue for them to have a chance, but the Cardinals are known to throw up a stinker form time to time – and Steven Jackson can keep the Rams close.


    Pittsburgh at Kansas City+12 (5Dimes)

    I can’t believe I’m getting 12 for the Chiefs in KC. That’s awesome. The Steelers have blown two teams out this year, and the Chiefs (while only winning two of their last 5) have covered 4 games in their last 5 chances. The short passing game of the Chiefs should cut down on the Steelers explosive blitzes, I think the Chiefs cover their 5th in 6 games.

    Washington +12 at Dallas (5 Dimes)

    I like the Redskins here. What can I say, their defense is too good to get 11 from Dallas, and this is a big Rivalry game. The Redskins may be 3-6, 2-6-1 ATS, but they’ve had some close games against good teams, and they won last week, beating up on the Broncos. I believe! an I say, their defense is too good to get 11 from Dallas, and this is a big rivalry game. The Redskins may be 3-6, 2-6-1 ATS, but they’ve had some close games against good teams, and they won last week, beating up on the Broncos. I believe!
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