MY Record is 5-1-1 Against and With the spread. I bet one game A week, I never bet spreads over 10, never a road team, getting 7 more points, never home steam giving up 7 more points ...I work off a spread sheet, weather,Injures, Power Ratings,Defense and Offence Analyzes, Team Coaches Comparisons and what Team has Lot Players with Flu//lol just kidding on .After doing a total Analyzes of all NFL Games for week #8, Game Day Sunday and My 1st Push Last Week. I studied A Little Harder and went through lot's of spread sheet's to come up with this game. So This is My Analyzes Of The Game??? and also I feel its best bet ,using my betting system After Reviewing All The NFL Games this Sunday For Week #8 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The New York Jets Do Not Welcome Miami to Giants Stadium in week eight of the NFL season hoping to further their return to winning ways. The Jets started the season 3-0 before losing their next three games in a row, only turning it around last week by thrashing league whipping-boys Oakland 38-0 to move to 4-3. Miami’s fortunes also reversed last week, their two game win-streak snapped by a loss at home to New Orleans as they fell to 2-4.The Dolphins (2-4) lost to New Orleans 34-46 at home in Week 7 and now sit last in the AFC East. QB Chad Henne made 18 of 36 passes for 211 yards with two interceptions; overall he’s thrown for 659 yards with three TD passes and three interceptions in four games for a 76.5 passer rating. RB Ricky Williams had nine carries for 80 yards with three TD’s, while RB Ronnie Brown had 16 carries for 48 yards with a TD. WR Brian Hartline made three catches for 94 yards. The Dolphins picked off three interceptions and sacked Saints QB Drew Brees five times. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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Miami’s fourth ranked rush defense is going to have to watch out for the now best ranked running game in the league . The Jets have a 29th ranked passing game that should even out against the Dolphins 22nd ranked pass defense. They don’t air out the ball often with their 25th ranked pass game and probably won’t against the Jets fourth ranked pass defense. Miami has played very well at times this season, but a brutal schedule has left them with a firm hold on last place in the AFC East. If the Dolphins are to defend their AFC East title, they must get on a roll soon -- starting with the Jets. -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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Coach Rex Ryan prides himself on his defensive schemes, but the Dolphins' Wildcat formation completely confused the Jets defense in Week 5. Rex Ryan will no doubt have some fresh ideas in place to stop the Dolphins' unique attack , but whether they will work remains to be seen. Their defense is ranked 10th overall with a seventh ranked pass defense and 22nd ranked rush defense. If they can’t slow down the league’s second best running game, it’s going to be a long day for the Jets defense. Not to mention their offense will see little time on the field. Rookie RB Shonn Green had an impressive showing last week filling in for the injured RB Leon Washington, but that was against the Raiders, this is the first time he will face a defense that game plans for him. The Jets average 21.7ppg and give up 14.9ppg, while averaging 17.7ppg at home and allow 14ppg. They are 4-3 ATS and 3-4 over/under.--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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The Dolphins had an upset win over the Saints in hand but ultimately couldn't match up with all of Drew Brees' weapons. Mark Sanchez has neither Brees' experience or arsenal, so this one comes down to who controls the line and runs the football better: the Jets, who have rushed for more than 300 yards in two straight games, or the Dolphins with Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams and the Wildcat formation. The Fish haven't traveled well to New Jersey recently, it's a field-goal advantage for the Jets Give me the half-point and Iam going with the underdog --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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**NOTE** Wide receiver Ted Ginn Jr.'s struggles were perhaps the worst aspect of last week's disastrous second half against the Saints. Ginn dropped two critical passes -- one of which became an interception returned for a touchdown -- and his coaches seem to be losing patience. Expect the Dolphins to decrease Ginn's repetitions while increasing them for rookie Brian Hartline. If the Dolphins' receivers don't improve, it will be easier for the Jets to halt Miami's potent ground attack.--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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**NOTE**. Rookie cornerbacks Vontae Davis and Sean Smith, who had been sharing time at a cornerback spot, will both start after veteran Will Allen's season-ending knee injury. Both players have shown improvement throughout the season, but neither has been put under as much pressure as they'll face Sunday. They'll have to learn to communicate without Allen's veteran leadership to help them out. Nobody can complain about how Miami's running backs have performed this season. Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams have become possibly the greatest one-two punch in the NFL, and the Dolphins will need to ride that success if they're going to beat the Jets again. Three weeks ago, the Dolphins ran out of the Wildcat more than ever. Since the Jets might have a better way to stop the package this time around, the running backs must be prepared to be just as productive out of the base offense
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**NOTE**. At least slow down the Wildcat. After the Dolphins averaged more than 6 yards per play with that formation in their first meeting against the Jets, it may be a bit much to ask New York to shut it down. But if the Jets can do a better job of getting off blocks and staying with their individual assignments, Miami will face more unfavorable down-and-distance situations, forcing them to use their base offense.--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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**NOTE**These are two teams very familiar with one another and it should be another close game as games between these two usually are. In a game like this I like the 1/2 point in the spread and if you are going with the dog, it is probably a good idea to make sure you get it--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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The point spread is set at 3.5 points, just a field goal, making the Jets Favorite at -3.5 points and the Dolphins underdogs at +3.5 points. So far, betting against the spread had been far more even, with 55% backing the Jets to cover. Last time the sides met was in week five of this season, and the Dolphins delivered the second defeat of the Jets’ season by winning 31-27 in Miami.So far this season the Dolphins have been as uninspiring against the spread as they have on the field, covering at 2-4, the same as their win/loss ratio.
The Bottom Line:The Dolphins know how to beat the Jets,
The Jets are the ones who don’t know how to beat the Dolphins.New York have also covered in every win and failed in every loss,standing at 4-3 against the spread. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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Henne is the real deal and still developing as he goes. Miami has the best run game in the league. Miami is undefeated in the division, to this point, and needs another division win if they want to stay competitive. The Jets are determined not to let the Dolphins burn them with the wildcat offense again, but losing both defensive tackle Kris Jenkins and running back Leon Washington hurts The Jets.. The New York Jets are 6-2 against the spread in their last eight following a cover but they are just 1-4 against the the spread in their last five against AFC East teams and 2-7 against the spread in their last nine games as a favorite. Miami is 4-0 against the spread in their last four games against AFC East teams but they are just 1-6 against the spread in their last seven games as an underdog.
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Jets are determined not to let the Dolphins burn them with the wildcat offense again, but losing both defensive tackle Kris Jenkins and running back Leon Washington hurts. Miami is the underdog to most, they are 2-4,However this win is more important to the Dolphins. My Pick Only Pick This Week Dolphins+3 1/2 Over The Jets Make Sure You Get The 1/2 Point> {{ Dolphins 28, Jets 24 At Home}}
