The Vegas books are taking a hard hit when it comes to NFL Football, and so are the offshore books. Vegas is having it's worst season ever so far. Since week two, the favorites have covered over 57% of the time, much higher than the 52.5-53% that they normally cover. On top of all that, three teams (Denver, Indy, and New Orleans) are a combined 17-1 ATS, while 5 teams (Carolina, Kansas City, St. Louis, Tampa, and Tennessee) are a combined 7-26 ATS. Accoridng to Vegas books, it is easy to see where the money is going in the past 4 weeks.
The problem is that the bad teams are really bad this year. Teams favored by 10 or more points have a 12-3 ATS record, and the gamblers are jumping all over them. Lines of -14 or higher are not that rare this year, compared to recent years. The parity that the NFL so desperately wanted seems to be gone. "We keep raising the lines, and still take a beating on these teams", one book manager said.
Currently, there are 4 teams that are dogs of 10 or more points this week. Cleveland is a 13.5 dog at the Bears, San Francisco is +12 at Indy, Oakland is a whopping +17 at San Diego, and Atlanta is +10 at New Orleans on Monday.
The problem is that the bad teams are really bad this year. Teams favored by 10 or more points have a 12-3 ATS record, and the gamblers are jumping all over them. Lines of -14 or higher are not that rare this year, compared to recent years. The parity that the NFL so desperately wanted seems to be gone. "We keep raising the lines, and still take a beating on these teams", one book manager said.
Currently, there are 4 teams that are dogs of 10 or more points this week. Cleveland is a 13.5 dog at the Bears, San Francisco is +12 at Indy, Oakland is a whopping +17 at San Diego, and Atlanta is +10 at New Orleans on Monday.
