Any reason NOT to hammer SD, CHI and ARZ?

pimike · 10-28-09, 12:13 AM

neither are great teams, lines are higher than normal

jellobiafra · 10-28-09, 12:19 AM

Yeah, but all 3 opponents are AWFUL. That's the theme here. Fade these terrible teams because they are losing by 2 TD over the spread. Last week OAK lost by 38, Cleveland by 30, and CAR got dominated by BUF. The gap between the haves and have nots in the NFL hasn't been this pronounced in 15-20 years.... not since Washington, New York, and San Francisco dominated and the rest were all pretenders.

shantystar · 10-28-09, 06:35 AM

i won some money on zona ml.

HoulihansTX · 10-28-09, 06:50 AM

Originally posted by shantystar

i won some money on zona ml.

Me too

Dexter · 10-29-09, 08:21 PM

good question - is parity a thing of the past in the nfl? maybe, but i say the books adjust with college-esque lines and you see a lot of back door covers as the season goes on.

Limey · 10-29-09, 10:01 PM

Originally posted by jellobiafra

Yeah, but all 3 opponents are AWFUL. That's the theme here. Fade these terrible teams because they are losing by 2 TD over the spread. Last week OAK lost by 38, Cleveland by 30, and CAR got dominated by BUF. The gap between the haves and have nots in the NFL hasn't been this pronounced in 15-20 years.... not since Washington, New York, and San Francisco dominated and the rest were all pretenders.

Carolina really didn't get dominated by Buffalo (and it only finished 20-9!). The Panthers outgained the Bills by over 250 yards, 20 first downs to 9, 4.6 to 1.8 yards per rush, almost double the average gain per offensive play, and greater yards per pass attempt.

Not saying the Panthers aren't capable of going 0-4 in turnovers again, but it's not helpful to your handicapping to think a team dominated a game that they flat out didn't.

As far as the question here.... I'd be amazed if at least one of these three big favourites didn't fail to cover.

DrStale · 10-29-09, 10:05 PM

I like Arizona. Somehow the Raiders beat Philly and the Bears lost last week by a thousand, I'd be wary in those games. Which San Diego team is gonna show up? Last weeks or the one that came within seconds of losing to the Raiders in week 1?

Jshap1515 · 10-30-09, 01:54 AM

Ill be takin the Cards as usual.

DarkNite · 10-30-09, 09:32 AM

I see Cards can cover. Their defends are improved, they can beat Carolina by air or by ground.
As for CHI, it's hard to predict if they can cover unless CLE has swine flu. SD can get the job done.
That's my opinion.

statnerds · 10-30-09, 09:47 AM

i put lots of faith in stats, thus the name. not trying to step on toes being a newbie, but i will be backing the Cats this week. just waiting for the public to push that line up, every .5 pt is added value.

i really don't trust the Cards Pass D at all. yes, jake is completing as many passes to the other team as his own, but he still is completing 59.9% of his passes and Arizona does gives up 6.8 per cmp. you don't accidently end up 29th vs the pass in week 8.

for what it is worth (which prob isn't much) i love the over 41 in this game.

GL

xxxvince · 10-30-09, 11:06 AM

as long as bears can cover the spread.. u should be good. gl

MJT1212 · 10-30-09, 12:01 PM

I'm leaning on the other side of all three of those picks...

BOL to you though!

machete · 10-30-09, 12:14 PM

chicago

, I dont think bears cover.......... but GL to you !!

jellobiafra · 10-30-09, 12:25 PM

I haven't played any of these yet. I was just seeing what the board's opinion is on them. The trend last week was good teams playing the dregs of the league covering big point spreads easily. I'm actually more curious than anything to see if that continues this week.

BigdaddyQH · 10-30-09, 12:31 PM

Remember, last week was the worst single week in Vegas history. Everyone hammered the favorites and they did not disappoint. The Raiders are terrible. That game should be a route. San Diego, Arizona, and Chicago play at home, and must continue to win if they want to entertain hopes of post season play. This is especially true of Chicago, who currently sits in 3rd place in the NFC North, and San Diego, who is down 3 games to Denver with 10 left to play. The lines are inflated, by Vegas's own admission, but they did that intentionally. They can not afford another week like they had last week.

tblues2005 · 10-30-09, 12:31 PM

I like the Cardinals and Chargers this week but the Bears makes me wonder. They played terrible last week and that one is risky.