i know that i've confused a lot of people with the large amount of games i have played each week. i do preach less bets is the way to go, but i have had a plan all along. while i probably should have went lighter on the units during the first 7 weeks (while i was getting a feel for all teams), no harm no foul as im around even for the season. now is when teams play each other for a second time, and i always focus heavily on *revenge angle* plays in any sport - specifically in the nfl where teams must avenge earlier season losses vs divisional opponents to keep pace in such a short season. that time has arrived, and i will now zero in on 5-6 plays per week rather then the 10-12 i was playing.
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(3x) ravens -3.5 - the ravens stand at 3-3 on the season, while the surprising broncos are at 6-0. both teams are coming off a bye, and the ravens just lost a hard fought game at minny (i love playing good teams off a loss when they have 2 weeks to prepare). i look for the ravens to end the broncos winning streak in this huge AFC matchup. the stakes are a lot higher for the ravens at 500.
(4x) packers -3 - the vikings finally got taken down by the steelers and now have to travel to Lambeau and face the high octane offense of green bay. the vikings havent won in gb since 2005, and i dont expect favre to be the difference in this game as the pack will have revenge working in their favor. gb lost 30-23 back on 10/5 @ minny, and i look for them to avenge that loss and keep pace in the nfc north.
(2x) jets -3.5 - another divisional revenge play at work. the jets will be looking to avenge a 4 point loss in the final seconds of the monday night game back on 10/12. the fish had a horrid loss vs new orleans and those are the type of losses that may take a few weeks to bounce back from. the jets are 4-1 su/ats the last 5 home games vs miami.
(5x) titans -3 - the titans are not this bad. they have now had 2 weeks to prepare for this home game vs the jags who embarrassed them by 20 last month in florida. if jeff fisher (a coach i respect) cant get his team amped for this game, the titans may never win a game in 2009. perfect spot for the titans to get their first W.
(4x) over saints 53 - under the lights on MNF i see no reason why the saints wont continue to light up the scoreboard with their wide array of weapons from colston to shockey to bush etc etc. the falcons have the weapons as well to keep pace with a saints team that is not the most stout defensively. high total, but i never let the books scare me with their number. 34-30 saints.
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(3x) ravens -3.5 - the ravens stand at 3-3 on the season, while the surprising broncos are at 6-0. both teams are coming off a bye, and the ravens just lost a hard fought game at minny (i love playing good teams off a loss when they have 2 weeks to prepare). i look for the ravens to end the broncos winning streak in this huge AFC matchup. the stakes are a lot higher for the ravens at 500.
(4x) packers -3 - the vikings finally got taken down by the steelers and now have to travel to Lambeau and face the high octane offense of green bay. the vikings havent won in gb since 2005, and i dont expect favre to be the difference in this game as the pack will have revenge working in their favor. gb lost 30-23 back on 10/5 @ minny, and i look for them to avenge that loss and keep pace in the nfc north.
(2x) jets -3.5 - another divisional revenge play at work. the jets will be looking to avenge a 4 point loss in the final seconds of the monday night game back on 10/12. the fish had a horrid loss vs new orleans and those are the type of losses that may take a few weeks to bounce back from. the jets are 4-1 su/ats the last 5 home games vs miami.
(5x) titans -3 - the titans are not this bad. they have now had 2 weeks to prepare for this home game vs the jags who embarrassed them by 20 last month in florida. if jeff fisher (a coach i respect) cant get his team amped for this game, the titans may never win a game in 2009. perfect spot for the titans to get their first W.
(4x) over saints 53 - under the lights on MNF i see no reason why the saints wont continue to light up the scoreboard with their wide array of weapons from colston to shockey to bush etc etc. the falcons have the weapons as well to keep pace with a saints team that is not the most stout defensively. high total, but i never let the books scare me with their number. 34-30 saints.
) and at the same time the Raven's defense is not what we are used to see.
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