NFL TV GAMES (SNF & MNF Writeups)

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SUNDAY NIGHT

ARIZONA CARDINALS @ NEW YORK GIANTS Giants -7.5 is an interesting line, if we could have seen this game capped BEFORE both teams week 6 games this would be a double digit spread. Giants are coming off a tough loss from New Orleans while Arizona is coming off a defining win against the Seattle Seahawks. What stands out here is the battle between Arizona's passing game and the newly exposed passing defense of the New York Giants. New Orleans marches and throws on everyone, but they made it look very easy last week putting up 369 yards and 4 touchdowns through the air against the Giants secondary.

Now some people may say that the Arizona Cardinals are not the New Orleans Saints, and they are right, the problem with that argument is that Arizona has actually averaged more yards passing per game than New Orleans. The Giants offense suffered against New Orleans last week, but they get to go up against one of the worst passing defenses in the league in Arizona. The 7.5 line here is not worth touching in my opinion. Arizona has a renewed confidence and the one test the Giants have had so far they failed. A touchdown will decide this game, I am just not sure which side the touchdown advantage will be on.

Now that being said, this statistically screams shootout. Both teams will rely on their passing game to win this game. Arizona is stout against the run and will force Eli and his young group of receivers to win the game, on the other side of the ball. Giants run defense has allowed over 110 yards per game, but the Cardinals don't have the running game to exploit them. With both teams passing and the Giants looking to bounce back, look for a quick high scoring game making the OVER 44 look like easy money by half time. Again, I will be staying away from the spread but pounding the OVER 44! Good Luck.

MONDAY NIGHT PHILADELPHIA EAGLES @ WASHINGTON REDSKINS

Will the real Jason Campbell please show up! This game looks like an easy call at first glance, the Eagles have outscored opponents by an average of 7.4 points per game. Putting up a whopping 27.2 points per game, with the Redskins averaging a miserable 13.2 points per game, a 7 point spread just doesn't seem reasonable. But let us look a little closer... The Redskins com into the game with Jim Zorn pretty much fired for all intensive purposes; their starting quarterback was pulled in the middle of last week's loss to a horrible Kansas City team, and a starting running back that isn't practicing due to an injury sustained last week.

Philadelphia on the other hand is coming off a tough loss to a horrible Oakland team that seemed to come out of nowhere to put a halt to what looked like a high powered offense the first 5 weeks of the season. Last week's Eagles game is forcing this line well below where it should be, the idea that you can get this line at -7 +100 as I write this (10/22) is ludacris. Grab it now, it won't stay there long 61% of the public looks to agree with me. That next 0.5 point is a big one.

The facts are simple, Philadelphia isn't as bad as they looked in Oakland in week 6. The Redskins may be worse than they looked losing to Kansas City in week 6.

Taking the Eagles early in the week, will pay off, EAGLE -7 +100 is just too sexy to pass up at this point.

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SAN DIEGO CHARGERS @ KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

I am still not sure how the Chargers were favored last Monday night against the Broncos, but hey it was easy money. Now the Chargers go into Kansas City to take on a miserable 1-5 team that has struggled to score at all this season. The scoring difference looks bigger than it actually is, KC averages 16.3 points per game, but their offense and Matt Cassell is finally coming together, and the SD defense may just be the defense that allows them to shine. San Diego has given up 27.2 points per game. The main concern is whether or not the Chiefs can stop the Chargers offense. Tomlinson is finally looking healthy and they could rely on the run a little more. I don’t see the Chargers blowing this thing wide open and could be a 3 -7 point game. I have a slight lean toward SD giving the small 4.5 points, but no bet for me on the spread here. However…. The total is a different story.

In the past, when the Chargers have struggled than have spent a great deal of energy trying to reestablish the ground game, which will be the case on Sunday against the Chargers and although the KC offense is starting to come around they will too rely on a strong running game in order to open up the passing game. Neither defense is really stout here, but both teams will look to control the game on the ground. UNDER 44 is the play here. Even using the law of averages the two teams only score an average of 40 points combined.

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS @ ST. LOUIS RAMS

A 13 point spread is nothing in this game…Colts and Manning will run all over the poor rams in a rout that will make us think its Saturday College Football. The Rams have been so horrible on offense, they aren’t even scoring double digits with only 9 points per game. The Colts are getting Bob Sanders back as well.

Think of it this way, the Colts have averaged beating opponents by 13.2 points per game, they are nearly covering the 13.5 point spread on just about everyone they have played, and this weekend they get the worst team in the NFL. The only reason that this isn’t a college like 20+ point spread is that the betting public still believes that anything is possible. I don’t’ care that the Colts are on the road, its an EASY PLAY Indianapolis -13.5.

The total on this game isn’t quite as easy, 45 seems a little inflated as it will be a one sided affair. While the Colts are certainly capable of scoring 45 by themselves, I don’t see the Colts running up the score in St. Louis. The Rams will be lucky to put 10 on the board making the Colts responsible for atleast 35 to meet the over. I would lean toward the UNDER but the Colts offense is just too dynamic to put money against at this point.

CHICAGO BEARS @ CINCINNATI BENGALS

Not really sure how the Bengals at home are a PK’em against the Bears. They are very similar teams, but with Cincy at home and coming off a tough loss to Houston, I have to see Cincy as the home favorite here. The value in itself I think is worth a serious look. Cincy hasn’t blown anyone out of the water and I don’t expect them to run away from Chicago, but they should win this game. Statistically speaking they are very very similar teams, its almost scary. Rushing yards per game Cincy has a 23 yard advantage, Passing Chicago has a 14 yard advantage per game. Defensively they are just as close, Rushing yards allowed Chicago has a 8 yard per game advantage while Passing yards allowed Chicago has a 25 yard advantage. All things point to a close low scoring game. The main difference here is the ability for the Cardiac Cats to find a way to win. Small play on CINCY Pk’em.

The Total here seems high at first look, the two teams have held opponents to under 20 points per game while stuggling to score 20 themselves. A total of 42.5 will be tough for these two teams to meet. Cincy will rely on Benson and Benson will look to have a strong game against his old team with plenty of storylines behind the scenes. Chicago will continue to focus on the run as well. A low scoring game resulting in an UNDER play for this better.