Raiders (+6) VS Jets

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  • Sharkl11
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-23-08
    • 636

    #1
    Raiders (+6) VS Jets
    The line opened up at Raiders(+6.5), but after news that NT Jenkins is out, the line had dropped to (+6). Here is my thoughts on why I am going to side with the Raiders this week.

    1) Raiders play better at home.

    2) Raiders play better at home as underdogs.

    3) Sanchez is struggling bad. Playing in a hostile environment in Oakland will not help against a defense that will apply a lot of pressure.

    4) Oakland has recorded 10 sacks compared to Jets 5. Without Jenkins(who demands to be double teamed), Russell has more time to throw, more gaps to run,
    and less likely for him to **** up.

    5) Raiders Duo of DE R. Seymour & DE G. Ellis have recorded 4 sacks each are playing great.

    6) Raiders finally have momentum to work with and that is huge for this team. They definitely needed a morale booster and this will give them more confidence against the Jets.

    7) WR Jerricho Cotchery hopefully stays hurt, but if he plays won't be completely healthy.

    With Jets losing 3 straight and Sanchez finally taking his slice of humble pie, why are they still +6 favorites?

    1) J. Russell sucks, but I would rather bank on him this game then this Rookie Sanchez, playing on the road, who threw 5 picks last game and will be pressured all game.

    2) Raiders have been susceptible to blow-outs.

    3) The public likes Jets more than Raiders.

    4) People are still thinking Jets will be like the team who beat Texans, Patriots, and the Titans. They are just in a funk and who better to play then the Raiders to get out of a funk.

    We need a reality check of how bad the Raiders are and how good the Jets are and what direction they are going in.

    In this case, let's specifically look at how the Raiders fair at home, since this is where the game is taking place

    1st game: First game against the Chargers, they easily cover and Chargers barely escaped with a win.

    2nd game: Losing 3-23 against Broncos. Well ****, Broncos are ****ing good. It took 5-6 games for everyone to finally believe it, but they are top notch.

    3rd game: Oh yesss, the game that you probably needed to finish that parlay or teaser you had. Upset city as the Raiders Beat the Eagles 13-9.

    How do the Jets fair when compared to these teams?
    Maybe even with Chargers
    Worse than Broncos
    Worse than Eagles

    Jet's only wins were against teams that had bad defense/or had something missing on offense.

    1st win: Texans has shitty defense. They improved slightly since.
    2nd win: Patriots without Brady's main guy during blitzes, Wes Welker
    3rd win: Titans, no need to say more.

    Raiders have good defense and will keep them in the game. The offense will do better now since Jenkins is out and that will be huge. I only bet on underdogs if I think they have a good chance of winning outright, and in this game I will gladly take +6 and home field advantage.

    Good Luck and God Speed
  • HoulihansTX
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 02-12-09
    • 30566

    #2
    Way to much to read, but you obviously did your homework.

    I already played it Raiders +6.5. Raiders are more talented than they have shown, just JaMarcus sucks so bad he brings down morale of team. But at home, Raiders are a live DOG.
    Comment
    • 2daBank
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-26-09
      • 88966

      #3
      jenkins being out for the year kills the jets who were overrated anyway that 3-4 doesnt have nearly the same feel w/o a bigtime disruptive force in the middle
      Comment
      • 2daBank
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-26-09
        • 88966

        #4
        just hope oak keeps that stuff gmen said about them on the locker room wall 1 more week
        Comment
        • Sharkl11
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 09-23-08
          • 636

          #5
          Underdogs against a rookie QB is enough reason. That is disrespect.
          Comment
          • Dexter
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 12-24-08
            • 25829

            #6
            nice analysis
            Comment
            • HoulihansTX
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 02-12-09
              • 30566

              #7
              Originally posted by Sharkl11
              3rd game: Oh yesss, the game that you probably needed to finish that parlay or teaser you had. Upset city as the Raiders Beat the Eagles 13-9.
              Man did you hit that right on the money. I was chillin the Sportsbook, while Eagles were killing everyone teaser. I've never heard soo many four letter words, and ripping of tickets.
              Comment
              • Sharkl11
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 09-23-08
                • 636

                #8
                Majority on Jets, I will wait til game time to hopefully get better line. Was I dreaming or did R. Seymour said Raiders are gonna make it to the playoffs? **** the playoffs, make sure you just whoop Sanchez and the Jets this week.
                Comment
                • hoopster42
                  Restricted User
                  • 02-12-08
                  • 6099

                  #9
                  you can write hundreds of lines of analysis, but the oakland raiders are NOT worthy of anyone's backing ATS just based on their recent history of the last 3 season and how they looked THE THREE WEEKS prior to philly get blown at hm by denver, blown out at houston, and blown out at the ny giants. taking less than 7 w/a shitty team is not a way to make money betting football, sir
                  Comment
                  • HoulihansTX
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 02-12-09
                    • 30566

                    #10
                    Originally posted by hoopster42
                    you can write hundreds of lines of analysis, but the oakland raiders are NOT worthy of anyone's backing ATS just based on their recent history of the last 3 season and how they looked THE THREE WEEKS prior to philly get blown at hm by denver, blown out at houston, and blown out at the ny giants. taking less than 7 w/a shitty team is not a way to make money betting football, sir
                    It is still the NFL, and everyone covers a few times a season.

                    Raiders at home

                    Raiders a foot outside of their field
                    Comment
                    • Deceptive
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 10-15-07
                      • 40

                      #11
                      HEY SHARK opinions dont win or make solid predictions for games facts do, we are still talking about the raiders here j. russell no passing game no run game and by the way the raiders did not win last week as much as philly flopped, i will take rex ryan his blitzing defense and the jets superior run game vs a raider team that is undisciplined and will as any bad teams does not show up after they win the week before stats count not opinions look it up run offense vs run defense avg yds per run vs avg yds given up per run
                      Comment
                      • BigdaddyQH
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 07-13-09
                        • 19530

                        #12
                        Nice analysis, but wagering on the most dysfuntional teamin the NFL with the worst QB is way too much of a risk. I do not see any value in wagering this game at all. Both of these teams are 3-3 ATS, and that spells loser.
                        Comment
                        • Sports Cruncher
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 12-10-08
                          • 98

                          #13
                          By my rescored rankings, it's the Jets' #3 rush offense versus the Raiders' #29 rush defense, and the Raiders' #27 rush offense versus the Jets' #13 rush defense, so even without Jenkins Sanchez won't have to do much for the Jets to win by 7-10. 20+mph winds not forecast in Oakland either, lol, so don't expect him to throw 5 interceptions again.
                          Comment
                          • IanKnapp
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 10-16-09
                            • 69

                            #14
                            Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                            Way to much to read, but you obviously did your homework.

                            I already played it Raiders +6.5. Raiders are more talented than they have shown, just JaMarcus sucks so bad he brings down morale of team. But at home, Raiders are a live DOG.
                            russell is exaclty the kind of qb you dont want in the nfl- one thats not accurate. and its not to say he cant connect with the deep ball but it hurts on those 10 -20 yard patterns.
                            Comment
                            • IanKnapp
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 10-16-09
                              • 69

                              #15
                              jets by 3.
                              Comment
                              • Sharkl11
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 09-23-08
                                • 636

                                #16
                                All the facts in the world are cool n all, but shouldn't be heavily considered in factoring your ultimate decision. Lots of intangibles to account for.
                                Comment
                                • reno cool
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 07-02-08
                                  • 3567

                                  #17
                                  Like the Jets at -less than a td.
                                  bird bird da bird's da word
                                  Comment
                                  • Rio DiNero
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-03-08
                                    • 2010

                                    #18
                                    I see both teams playing very conservative and keeping the ball on the ground. It will be a tight defensive game, I'd lean under.
                                    Comment
                                    • Glitch
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 07-08-09
                                      • 11795

                                      #19
                                      good points but the raiders are a bad team. beat the eagles, kept it close with the chargers....beat the chiefs if you wanna count that.......thomas jones is a bad bad boy- and now they got braylon edwards.....their defense can hold it down and i think the jets have a linebacker core that can control russell from running all over.

                                      this game came down to the wire last year.....hope the jets win, think they will....they Can lose.
                                      Comment
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