Giants @ Saints (pick and write up)
My biggest problem capping this game is that this is really the first 'real' test that the Giants have faced. If you look at performance this year the two teams are fairly similar. Giants have scored 30 points per game while giving up just barely over 14 points per game, while New Orleans has scored 36 points per game giving up only 16 per game. The main difference in these stats isn't the numbers, its who the numbers came against. Giants have played 5 games, and I would argue they have yet to play a quality opponent. Washington looks horrible, Dallas is barely squeeking by Kansas City these days, Tampa Bay is winless, Kansas City is winless and Oakland is just horrible. The Giants should be 5-0, the only real test was Dallas in week 2, and Romo looked horrible in that game. On the other side of the coin, New Orleans has beat Detroit who isn't great but they are better than most of the Giants competition, Philadelphia, a horrible Buffalo team and the New York Jets. Its a no contest if you look at the dredid "strength of schedule" in this matchup, the problem comes from the fact that I believe the Giants could still be undefeated with a much harder schedule.
A great deal of people are going to point out how much better the Saints defense is this season, but lets look back at that Philadelphia game, this renewed Saints defense gave up a crazy 371 yards passing to Kevin Kolb. If Kevin Kolb is able to throw the ball that well against this defense, why should expect something different from Eli Manning. Fact is its all going to boil down to wether or not the Giant's defense is going to be able to stop the Saints offense. The Giants are going to be able to score, I would guess somewhere in the range of 24-28 points, now can they hold New Orleans to something similar, and we just don't know. The Giants haven't had to face a real passing attack yet this season, thier one test against Romo, turned out to be a dud simply because Romo has turned out to be a dud.
All in all I can't wait to watch this game, I am just not sure I want to bet on the spread....but now lets talk over and under!!!
I am in love with the over here, both offenses are airbound and will put up the points, I am not sure either defense is going to be able to stop the opposing offense. The number is set high at 47 and is the highest of the week, but it should be, if just look at the averages of each team's points allowed and points given, New York Giants are responsible for 22.5 points per game, while New Orleans is responsible for providing 26.5 points per game. It should be a 48 point game using offenses that are worse than these two. I expect a blowout here, they are in the dome in New Orleans so we have no weather to worry about. Look for lots of passing, both QBs will go over 300 yards and the scores may both be over 30 as well.
No bet on the spread from me, but a couple of units on the OVER.
A great deal of people are going to point out how much better the Saints defense is this season, but lets look back at that Philadelphia game, this renewed Saints defense gave up a crazy 371 yards passing to Kevin Kolb. If Kevin Kolb is able to throw the ball that well against this defense, why should expect something different from Eli Manning. Fact is its all going to boil down to wether or not the Giant's defense is going to be able to stop the Saints offense. The Giants are going to be able to score, I would guess somewhere in the range of 24-28 points, now can they hold New Orleans to something similar, and we just don't know. The Giants haven't had to face a real passing attack yet this season, thier one test against Romo, turned out to be a dud simply because Romo has turned out to be a dud.
All in all I can't wait to watch this game, I am just not sure I want to bet on the spread....but now lets talk over and under!!!
I am in love with the over here, both offenses are airbound and will put up the points, I am not sure either defense is going to be able to stop the opposing offense. The number is set high at 47 and is the highest of the week, but it should be, if just look at the averages of each team's points allowed and points given, New York Giants are responsible for 22.5 points per game, while New Orleans is responsible for providing 26.5 points per game. It should be a 48 point game using offenses that are worse than these two. I expect a blowout here, they are in the dome in New Orleans so we have no weather to worry about. Look for lots of passing, both QBs will go over 300 yards and the scores may both be over 30 as well.
No bet on the spread from me, but a couple of units on the OVER.
