RLM

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  • jon13009
    SBR MVP
    • 09-22-07
    • 1258

    #141
    Nothing in regards to RLMs this week in the NFL for Week 8 that I can see as well....
    Comment
    • Totolover1409
      SBR MVP
      • 06-14-08
      • 1400

      #142
      I think I found an RLM.

      Rams and Lions game. Only 3800 bets down and 63% of public on the Lions with a line movement from -5.5 to -4.
      Comment
      • jon13009
        SBR MVP
        • 09-22-07
        • 1258

        #143
        RLM monitor NCAA week 9 / NFL Week 8:



        Source: http://www.nflindex.com/rlm.html
        Comment
        • GGPLAYER
          SBR MVP
          • 03-26-09
          • 2981

          #144
          Originally posted by Totolover1409
          I think I found an RLM.

          Rams and Lions game. Only 3800 bets down and 63% of public on the Lions with a line movement from -5.5 to -4.

          I saw that too and was waiting for some more bets before posting. On Bet Tracker they are reporting 4,160 bets and 64% of the bets being placed on Det. It has a big enough line movement but do we need at least 10,000 bets to make this a play?
          Comment
          • daneblazer
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 09-14-08
            • 27861

            #145
            I see some on the Browns
            Comment
            • Totolover1409
              SBR MVP
              • 06-14-08
              • 1400

              #146
              Not necessarily 10,000. But I definitely will wait to see if it will go up to at least 6k
              Comment
              • GGPLAYER
                SBR MVP
                • 03-26-09
                • 2981

                #147
                Originally posted by daneblazer
                I see some on the Browns

                It is only half a point (.5). In fact on some books (5 Dimes) it went up to 14. Not sure if this is enough to say it's a true RLM play.
                Comment
                • antkim003
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 10-21-09
                  • 11

                  #148
                  does denver not count as RLM?
                  Comment
                  • GGPLAYER
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-26-09
                    • 2981

                    #149
                    Ok can anyone clear this up for me? On SBR Live Odds it says the line opened -16.5 for SD and 70% of the action is on Oakland but there is no change on the line. But on Bet Tracker they have an opening line of -13.5 and 63% of the bets being on SD with the line moving to -16.5. Which is right? Is there a better source for me to check?
                    Comment
                    • Indecent
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 09-08-09
                      • 758

                      #150
                      The SBR consensus is 5Dimes only, whereas BetTracker uses multiple books (not sure which ones)
                      Comment
                      • Totolover1409
                        SBR MVP
                        • 06-14-08
                        • 1400

                        #151
                        Originally posted by antkim003
                        does denver not count as RLM?
                        No, the Denver game does not have RLM because the betting percentages are 51/49
                        Comment
                        • OReilly7
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 10-29-09
                          • 15

                          #152
                          Quick!

                          Browns are at 29% and the line has moved from +13.5 to +12.5!

                          Also, GB has moved up to 3 to 3.5 and they only have 32% of the bets.
                          Comment
                          • Totolover1409
                            SBR MVP
                            • 06-14-08
                            • 1400

                            #153
                            Lol, both the browns and GB failed to be successful RLMs. Glad I didnt take any this weekend. Big loss on the Indy game.
                            Comment
                            • Mr Parlay to you
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 04-21-09
                              • 62

                              #154
                              RLM for week 9 seems to be Tennessee. Anybody liking Tenn at +4? I think it's a good line as I see a win for Tenn or at worst a 3 point loss.
                              Comment
                              • Sidetracked
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 09-21-09
                                • 751

                                #155
                                im down with Tennessee, if you guys believe in RLM check out the houston vs tulsa game in NCAA football....looks like a potential play of the year in my book
                                Comment
                                • Totolover1409
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 06-14-08
                                  • 1400

                                  #156
                                  Honestly, don't like to touch RLM in NCAA
                                  Comment
                                  • Totolover1409
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 06-14-08
                                    • 1400

                                    #157
                                    Good find on the Tennessee game. Hate to bet against my ninerz. Also, RLM with Carolina against New Orleans.
                                    Comment
                                    • Sidetracked
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 09-21-09
                                      • 751

                                      #158
                                      RLM lookin like its gunna sprout in the dallas philly game, get dallas at +3 while u can
                                      Comment
                                      • GGPLAYER
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-26-09
                                        • 2981

                                        #159
                                        Numbers as I see them on Bet Tracker as of right now:

                                        SF opened -5.5 with 13,000 bets so far and 72% of the action on SF the line has moved to -4. RLM movement 1.5 point.

                                        NO opened -14.5 with 6,000 best so far and 65% of the action on NO the line has moved to -13.5. RLM movement 1 point.

                                        I don not see any RLM yet on the Dal/Philly game.
                                        Comment
                                        • GGPLAYER
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-26-09
                                          • 2981

                                          #160
                                          Originally posted by Sidetracked
                                          im down with Tennessee, if you guys believe in RLM check out the houston vs tulsa game in NCAA football....looks like a potential play of the year in my book

                                          Wow there is some crazy RLM with that game. I don't like RLM on college football either but I may have to make a play on this one.

                                          Hou opened at -3 with 6,000 bets and 91% of the action on Hou the line has moved all the way to +1.5. That is a 4.5 point swing!
                                          Comment
                                          • Sidetracked
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 09-21-09
                                            • 751

                                            #161
                                            its back to -1.5 for houston....cant decide what i wanna do with that game
                                            Comment
                                            • jon13009
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-22-07
                                              • 1258

                                              #162
                                              Friday (11/6/09) Week 9 NFL

                                              No home NFL teams with RLMs this week that I can see.

                                              Once again an RLM is when:
                                              1. The team has less than 40% of bets
                                              2a. The line moves from negative to MORE negative (-2 to -3....)
                                              2b. or...THe line moves from postive to a smaller number +4 to +2 .... +1 to 0..... +1 to -1....
                                              Comment
                                              • jon13009
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-22-07
                                                • 1258

                                                #163
                                                Originally posted by GGPLAYER
                                                Numbers as I see them on Bet Tracker as of right now:

                                                SF opened -5.5 with 13,000 bets so far and 72% of the action on SF the line has moved to -4. RLM movement 1.5 point.

                                                NO opened -14.5 with 6,000 best so far and 65% of the action on NO the line has moved to -13.5. RLM movement 1 point.

                                                I don not see any RLM yet on the Dal/Philly game.
                                                RLMs for visiting teams are in the games as noted above (with the team having the RLM as listed below):

                                                TEN (32% of 17008 bets ) +5.5 to +4 (RLM 1.5)
                                                CAR (33% of 9808 bets) +14.5 to +13.5 (RLM 1.0)

                                                However both of these teams are away games for the RLM.
                                                Comment
                                                • Sidetracked
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 09-21-09
                                                  • 751

                                                  #164
                                                  im on tennesee already, cant take carolina saints are my team this will be a no play for me
                                                  Comment
                                                  • marabdl86
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-06-09
                                                    • 1067

                                                    #165
                                                    The cards are +3 with about 70% of people on them and yet the line stays the same. Chicago is playing at home. Line smells fishy, I'm taking the Bears
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Jonah
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-21-09
                                                      • 4042

                                                      #166
                                                      How bout the Bengals/Ravens game?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • dmolition
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 10-10-08
                                                        • 106

                                                        #167
                                                        Is denver a RLM it has come down to +1 on pinnacle and over 65% are on the steelers, some places still have it at +3 though.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • marabdl86
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-06-09
                                                          • 1067

                                                          #168
                                                          ^^^^^^ Yes sir

                                                          I'm taking Denver ML
                                                          Comment
                                                          • brodaad
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 03-01-09
                                                            • 3

                                                            #169
                                                            According to Bet Tracker this morning, possible away team play with Washington @ Atlanta.

                                                            http://www.****************.com/bettracker.htm

                                                            73% of bets on Atlanta, line moves opposite way for 1.0 points.

                                                            I always like making "football sense" out of RLM plays, instead of just blindly following the RLM. Anyone have any guesses as to how WSH can keep this close / what the sharps are seeing?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BrownTown
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 10-06-09
                                                              • 624

                                                              #170
                                                              Originally posted by brodaad
                                                              According to Bet Tracker this morning, possible away team play with Washington @ Atlanta.

                                                              http://www.****************.com/bettracker.htm

                                                              73% of bets on Atlanta, line moves opposite way for 1.0 points.

                                                              I always like making "football sense" out of RLM plays, instead of just blindly following the RLM. Anyone have any guesses as to how WSH can keep this close / what the sharps are seeing?
                                                              I see the under being the play here ... in which case Wash should hang around. Their defense has played great this year and their offense is bad.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Totolover1409
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 06-14-08
                                                                • 1400

                                                                #171
                                                                Hope you guys took Titans and Carolina as I said.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • mcbaseball10
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-11-09
                                                                  • 2866

                                                                  #172
                                                                  Titans were my only play with the early RLM
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • marabdl86
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-06-09
                                                                    • 1067

                                                                    #173
                                                                    so Denver it is?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Totolover1409
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 06-14-08
                                                                      • 1400

                                                                      #174
                                                                      I'm taking Denver!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Sidetracked
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 09-21-09
                                                                        • 751

                                                                        #175
                                                                        crazy early RLM in the chicago 49er game
                                                                        Comment
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