RLM

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  • GGPLAYER
    SBR MVP
    • 03-26-09
    • 2981

    #316
    Originally posted by daneblazer
    got some on the Patriots...though it's tough to tell. More money is falling on the Pats, more bets are falling on the Ravens. Line moved from -4 to -3

    What do you consider a RLM play? Last week you mentioned a bunch of games I did not even consider like the Lions, Rams, etc. Plus Houston did not cover they were favored by 8-9 points and only won by 7 points. But again like the Wash game you could have gotten them at 7 at some point but that still would have been a push. The strongest RLM plays I saw were Buf, Hou, Was and NYJ. No idea how you came up with some of the other games other than at some point during the week they showed RLM. But I thought we determined you really have to wait up till almost game time to call it. Just curious if we're looking at different angles or if I'm missing something.

    For this week the way I'm seeing NE/Balt is..........

    Balt opened at +4 (30,000 bets) 48% market average on them and the line is now +3. That is not a large enough % to say it's a RLM play.
    Comment
    • daneblazer
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 09-14-08
      • 27861

      #317
      I look at them all through out the week. I consider RLM any time the line moves in favor of the public. It's up to you to consider it a play. Everyone has their own thing, but I like looking at it early in the week because (in theory) that is when the "sharp" money is bet. Your leisure and recreational betters tend to place their bets closer to the weekend. With less bets in, its easier to see what could have triggered the line movement.

      Depending on the site used, you are going to get a different percentage. NE and Balt are almost split down the middle, but it is RLM none the less. You aren't going to find that much of it in the playoffs. Sometimes if the public is pounding a line (70% +) and it holds strong, it is just as good as RLM.

      I was wrong & typo'ed on the Rams as a winner btw. The rest were legit depending on when you took them during the week. I mostly used the lines as they were Sunday morning for this thread.
      Comment
      • Totolover1409
        SBR MVP
        • 06-14-08
        • 1400

        #318
        Hey everyone,

        I do not believe the Pats are a play for RLM simply because there is only a half point movement with 48%/52%. There isnt a large discrepancy of betting, therefore I will not be betting that game.

        I will be taking Philly +4, not because of RLM, but just because I think Philly will take this game or cover.


        BOL
        Comment
        • dvb02
          SBR MVP
          • 06-30-09
          • 2941

          #319
          Originally posted by Totolover1409
          Hey everyone,


          I will be taking Philly +4, not because of RLM, but just because I think Philly will take this game or cover.


          BOL
          I like this play also. Good luck.
          Comment
          • Totolover1409
            SBR MVP
            • 06-14-08
            • 1400

            #320
            Best of luck brother.
            Comment
            • Totolover1409
              SBR MVP
              • 06-14-08
              • 1400

              #321
              Disappointing first half. Sorry guys but this play looks like a bust.
              Comment
              • Totolover1409
                SBR MVP
                • 06-14-08
                • 1400

                #322
                No evident RLM this week guys.
                Comment
                • dvb02
                  SBR MVP
                  • 06-30-09
                  • 2941

                  #323
                  Originally posted by Totolover1409
                  No evident RLM this week guys.
                  Oh well. Who are you liking this weekend, total?
                  Comment
                  • terpkeg
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-26-09
                    • 2364

                    #324
                    Originally posted by Totolover1409
                    No evident RLM this week guys.
                    not yet, but huge games as these should see a lot of action sunday morning. i have no idea where the line goes, any ideas? if i had to guess, bet % would be coming in on colts and vikes.
                    Comment
                    • Totolover1409
                      SBR MVP
                      • 06-14-08
                      • 1400

                      #325
                      I kinda like the Under 40 on the Colts game.

                      Kinda worried that Vikings D line is gonna make life pretty rough for Drew Brees. But at the same time, I can see Brees, in the dome, to perform the same way he has been.

                      If i had to pick that game, I would take Saints -4.
                      Comment
                      • DOMINATER
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-10-09
                        • 3698

                        #326
                        i hope thiis is brought up again
                        Comment
                        • dvb02
                          SBR MVP
                          • 06-30-09
                          • 2941

                          #327
                          Originally posted by Totolover1409
                          I kinda like the Under 40 on the Colts game.

                          Kinda worried that Vikings D line is gonna make life pretty rough for Drew Brees. But at the same time, I can see Brees, in the dome, to perform the same way he has been.

                          If i had to pick that game, I would take Saints -4.
                          Total, I hope you are right about the Saints!!! Heading to the game (tailgating first of course) in a few minutes!!!!

                          GO SAINTS!!!!!!!!!!!!!
                          Comment
                          • Sidetracked
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 09-21-09
                            • 751

                            #328
                            lets go saints!
                            Comment
                            • Totolover1409
                              SBR MVP
                              • 06-14-08
                              • 1400

                              #329
                              Originally posted by dvb02
                              Total, I hope you are right about the Saints!!! Heading to the game (tailgating first of course) in a few minutes!!!!

                              GO SAINTS!!!!!!!!!!!!!

                              Best of luck brother.
                              Comment
                              • Totolover1409
                                SBR MVP
                                • 06-14-08
                                • 1400

                                #330
                                Under doesnt look so great anymore.

                                Saints baby!!
                                Comment
                                • Totolover1409
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 06-14-08
                                  • 1400

                                  #331
                                  F***.....sorry guys. Bad calls by me today. I apologize
                                  Comment
                                  • dvb02
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 06-30-09
                                    • 2941

                                    #332
                                    Total, who do you like in the Superbowl?
                                    Comment
                                    • Totolover1409
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 06-14-08
                                      • 1400

                                      #333
                                      Hey DVB. Sorry for the late post.

                                      Wasn't sure if I wanted to stay away from this game or not.


                                      I like the U 57.5 today.


                                      Also, I hope this RLM thread has been favorable for you guys this season. I was overall in the green but I didn't keep a record of my wins/loses.

                                      Best of luck brother.
                                      Comment
                                      • GGPLAYER
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-26-09
                                        • 2981

                                        #334
                                        Originally posted by Totolover1409
                                        Hey DVB. Sorry for the late post.

                                        Wasn't sure if I wanted to stay away from this game or not.


                                        I like the U 57.5 today.


                                        Also, I hope this RLM thread has been favorable for you guys this season. I was overall in the green but I didn't keep a record of my wins/loses.

                                        Best of luck brother.

                                        Yeah it was a good season with the RLM. Enjoyed it...let's do it again next year. I had a tough time with this game too so I did a 3 team teaser yesterday with NO (NBA), SA and the Saints +14.5. If they keep it within 2 TD's I win my teaser! Who Dat!
                                        Comment
                                        • Totolover1409
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 06-14-08
                                          • 1400

                                          #335
                                          Originally posted by GGPLAYER
                                          Yeah it was a good season with the RLM. Enjoyed it...let's do it again next year. I had a tough time with this game too so I did a 3 team teaser yesterday with NO (NBA), SA and the Saints +14.5. If they keep it within 2 TD's I win my teaser! Who Dat!

                                          Was going for the Colts. Really disappointed with that pick.

                                          Oh well, hope you guys cashed on the under.
                                          Comment
                                          • Totolover1409
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 06-14-08
                                            • 1400

                                            #336
                                            Glad you won GG.
                                            Comment
                                            • dvb02
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 06-30-09
                                              • 2941

                                              #337
                                              Cashed on the under and the saints!!! and yes, this thread worked out very nice. I look forward to it next year.
                                              Comment
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