well, on the week now we are up 2.2 units with vig. and on the season we are up 79.65 units all together. congrats whoever followed me through our 6th winning week even though it wasn't pretty.week 7 is looking good early on.
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jump on it!!! i would bet colts here up to -20 lol. blowoutComment -
chime in guys, what are you thinking on these games?you know im gonna give you my picks. pedro?Comment -
chargers -4.5 4UComment -
p.s. 98% is on sandiego so this will change fastComment -
eagles will be out for blood after being upset by a much inferior team. plus, have the redskins actually played anybody good this year? big wakeup call for washington here eagles by 7 is the play
eagles -7 3UComment -
Kev, I'm looking at the GB/CLE game and this is what I'm seeing:
GB has been defending much better past few games, on ground and air. Passing game has been getting more efficient and more consistent. GB causing TO’s from bad teams. CLE run game has been improving recently but pass game is horrible. CLE Run/pass defense have been bad all season long, consistently giving up 140+ on ground. GB top 10 pass DEF will keep CLE to 150 yds pass; CLE bottom 10 pass D will give GB 260+ yds and Rogers should have great day with big play chances all game long; GB average rush D will hold CLE to 105+ yds rushing; CLE bottom 3 rush D will give GB below average rush attack 110+ yds; GB has one of worse O-lines and will give up sacks, but CLE has below average D-line and won't be able to fully take advantage. GB takes care of the ball and limits TO’s, CLE is averaging over 2 TO per game. CLE returner Cribbs might take one back for 6 and set up some good field position but I can't see CLE hanging within 10 of GB in this game.
Your thoughts Kev?Comment -
Kevin I just wanted to say awesome job last week with the money management. While everyone else was losing money you keep things in check with good bets and came out on top. That was very impressive.
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pedro.
From a different perspective the browns d line is awful against the run. We all know that if you give A rodgers time in the pocket he will find one of his talented WRs downfield. the problem i see here is the woes in the packers offensive line right now. And you couple that with the fact the browns have been getting to the qb this year, believe it or not 12 times. Plus detroit got 5 on GB. So this might not bode well for the packers arial attackComment -
not to mention the packers might be looking ahead to playing their old qb at lambeau field next week. they might not take the inferior browns seriouslyComment -
falcons +4 2U
Pats -14.5 5U
Vikes +4 3UComment -
i am currently taking arguments for either side on the bears bengals game. at first i loved the bengals, then liked them, then im confused after looking deeper into this matchup.Comment -
Panthers
We have no line for this game yet, we don't know who the qb for the bills is gonna be.
Last week we saw D. Williams and Jonathan Stewart run all over tampa bay. This is something the panthers have lacked all year. The problem why..easy, they have not gotten carries! Jake Delholme still sucks, might cost us a cover, but i feel they might actually stick to their strong suite two weeks in a row. The good news for us is Buffalo is currently ranked dead last in ypg on the ground defensively. In fact they just allowed 310 yards to the jets on the ground.
The bad news for us is carolina is ranked 29th defensively against the run. Lynch is only averaging 3 yards per carry and i doubt they will stick with jackson 4.2 ypc over the big name LYNCH, i hate the guy.
Either way, doesn't matter, the bills qb will struggle against a very good secondary that carolina has, vise versa for dellhome but i gotta go with the up and coming panthers who will/should dominate the rushing attack and time of possesion. I hope trent edawards starts because we should get a point or two better and it shouldn't matter in the game. i expect this lin to be around -6 panthers which we will bet accordingly, but if it is -4 or better this will be a BIG play.Comment -
I read in the paper today that half of clevlend has the flu it didn't say what players but that might help the packers out. The line moved 2 points today now its at -9 +100Comment -
well, i had MR.S talk to me into my senses. i have been doing great (not being boastfull) and i have to stick with my own gut feelings. I have had a wake up call looking at a losing week last week, thank god we came out ahead. Because of this i am getting back to where i started and just picking winners, by my time invested, dedication, and love for this game. The picks i have already given i feel great. The rest of these games have been very well studied as well.
I had been feeling this bengals team matching up against the bears. This game is not up for discussion any more. I am following my instincts here and taking the bengals at -1. the only reason this game is not more than a field goal is the injurys to cincy's defense. they have lost their run blocker (forte is struggling anyway) and their premier pass rusher (the secondary will hold up).
There are many big touts going hard on chicago here. the bengals will not roll over, they should bring 110% in the absence of their injured stars. As many times before i am going against the grain and remember, were up 80 units, this game looks good to me.
bengals -1 3UComment -
i heard something about injuries to oline for the bengals. something like they had to take someone off the practice squad. is that true?? if so that is no good!Comment -
gg, one could also say there is rlm (in a way) for the dolphins. with 95% on the saints and this line is holding steady. if they wanted equal action on both sides they would have compensated to 7 pts or 7.5 or 10? the play will be on the fins and i like this game a lot. the public is pounding the saints, like the fins will roll over and die at game time.
We will also be taking the 49ers and panthers. i think this will be a small card this week because i don't like some of the other matchups. don't bet em if you dont have a 55% chance of winning or better.Comment -
by the way...in practice the saints were practicing the wildcat so their defense could practice for it against the fins. the funny thing here is that reggie bush actually broke shitload of long runs. this doesn't look good for a well oiled miami wilcat.
this will be a big playComment -
Recap. Recap. Recap.Comment -
we do not have all our picks in yet sibelius.....we are waiting on a few key numbers for our spreads before we do.
I am also gonna up a couple of current selection, this week keeps looking better and better the more i study some of thes matchupsComment -
Ok guys, i am taking the 49ers now. I wanted to get 3.5 pts but i wont hold up this money train any longer. we are also taking the panthers,(betting the spread accordingly). and the dolphins like i promised.
49ers +3 4U
panthers -7 1U
Dolphins +6.5 7U
Dolphins ML 1U to win 2.4UComment -
i also want to point one thing out. When these plays were released by me, i took the current spread. Some of these games have moved in my favor since i made these selections. Most cappers are not this honest.
I feel very confident about this week. At the same time we need to excersize money management. yada yada yada, i've said it every week, there will be a week at somepoint that we are not in positive numbers (not this week) but the more you % of your bankroll you risk the more this becomes a gamble and less of an investment.Comment -
just for fun
browns +9.5 zeroU
raiders +6.5 zeroU
Vikes ML zeroUComment -
GLComment -
geeeez! that viking game looked fixed. Oh well, were doing great today!
We are up 16 units through the noon games.Comment -
Saints are mounting a furious comeback, we need that Miami D and the wildcat to rip some plays off for usComment -
kevin - you are crushing it this season and i believe you've been the best nfl capper here YTD. i have mad respect for you cause you back up your plays with analysis, and you dont b/s others with weird lines etc. good stuff - keep it up.Comment
