NFL season thread

[kevindakota00]

well, long story short, this eagles line moved against us. I would like to thin it would have gotten better with the public on the chargers, but i think this is a case of the large bets coming in on philly, not oddsmakers gambling. Anyway. we will take philly now before it gets worse. I do not like the value here nearly as much as what we where hoping for.

Eagles ML +100 9U

bengals + 7 2U

[DJJimGreen]

Congrats on win (SF).
I like a lot DEN, I think this line will move a lot more on Sunday, I think it will go up to -7.

Finally jumped on Denver.. down to -3..

[kevindakota00]

recap...

saints -14 8U

dolphins -9 7U

Ravens -10.5 6U

49ers -3 4U

broncos -4 5U

falcons -1.5 7U

titans -6.5 5U

Cards -8.5 6U

jaguars +7 3U

Cowboys -2.5 4U

chiefs ML +110 2U

Eagles ML +100 9U

bengals + 7 2U

good luck this week gentlemen. excersize money management. Ride these winners to the bank.

[kevindakota00]

i am upping the ravens play to 8U

Also taking

pats +3 1U

[DarkNite]

You are the man, Kevin. I really like your play. Pats+3 is good bet. I like all. SF is already a winner, so we count ONE WIN.
Good luck, guys!!!

[kevindakota00]

ok horrible week. we are down 18.1 units on the day. i apologize. i don't want to say any of these games were fixed but wow. If you had seen some of these finishes, almost all of these games were backdoor covers. vegas won a shitload of money today.

lets go ravens!

[rezkoness69]

the cardinal game was won by a hair though...you gotta have the mindset that you fall 50/50 on either side of those tight games.

[kevindakota00]

for next week

Vikings -11 10U @+100

[kevindakota00]

well we are now down 7.8 on the week including monday night and the 49ers. not so bad anymore. this brings our unit total for the season to 72.25 units of profit on the season.

[kevindakota00]

hop on this game with me. new coach = uh oh. plus the bills are horrendous against the run, and the jags are getting the ball to their roots again (pound the rock)

Jags -8.5 9U

[Danskeren]

What are your thoughts on the matchup between Colts and Ravens?
Line opens at Ravens -1 (!!)

[kevindakota00]

this line is b.s. the colts should be favored by atleast 3-4 pts. the colts banged up secondary will not be able to contain flacco if the ravens can block for him. Ray rice and co. should be able to have success on the ground setting up play action.

My biggest concern is peyton manning. He is unstoppable when he is hot, but since the bye he has struggled. balt doesn't have a great secondary so this could be ugly. The colts won't have much room on the ground but i don't know how effective their pass rush will be. I think peyton will stay off the ground most of the game but he may be forced to throw early or away often.

I don't like this matchup so much but i lean ravens for a S.U. victory given the value, right now we don't have value but with 99% on the colts we "should" get a decent line later. Ravens ML all day

[kevindakota00]

panthers -3.5 7U even money

[Danskeren]

Glad to see you are with me on this one.
Thought i would post my thoughts about this one, to contribute a bit:

Both teams on a short week, but i think this will hurt the Fins most, as they lost, Brown, the keyplayer in their Wildcat and they need to make some changes.
- Panthers are on a roll, and the last couple of weeks they have shown some of the play they managed last season.. That season they were perfect at home, and the crowd will be fired tonight.

The Fins played some shaky ball last week against Tamba, and i think they are ready for a letdown, after that cloose win.

The Panthers are 1st in pass defense, and Henne will have a rough night.
Delhomme has improved, and has limited his amount of interceptions, and now he faces two Rookie Corners.. - by the way he said he felt very comfortable in the no huddle last week.

- The big deal is who can stop the run. Miami is without their keyplayer in the wildcat
I'll give the edge to Carolina.

- Going through the air
I'll give the edge to Carolina.

- Momentum
Last minute win against Tamba, loosing keyplayer >< won against div. rival.
I'll give the edge to Carolina.

Panthers -3

Good luck.

[kevindakota00]

thank you dan, also the home team in thursday night games have been awsome ats

[kevindakota00]

titans +5 10U

[Smogs]

titans +5 10U

Not a slight but the RLM that featured in my post about the Wash/Denver game last week is rearing its ugly head again, line opened at 3.5 with more Tenn action, now the line is up to 4.5 with 58% on Tennessee - not a worrying sign?
I like Houston simply because schaub will give Johnson the chance to get 200 yards in the game - admittedly though i see Tenn's Johnson getting well over 100 yards against the holes in their run D

[kevindakota00]

browns +3.5 5U

steelers -10 3U

cowboys -11 2U

falcons +7 5U

Ravens ml +110 3U

Cards -9 2U

Jets +10.5 1U

Eagles -3 5U even money

[yorksdicks]

cowboys -11 thats scary against the redskins they always play each other very close im leaning towards redskins +10 anyone else agree????

[kevindakota00]

recap...

Vikings -11 10U @+100

Jags -8.5 9U

panthers -3.5 7U even money

titans +5 10U

browns +3.5 5U

steelers -10 3U

cowboys -11 2U

falcons +7 5U

Ravens ml +110 3U

Cards -9 2U

Jets +10.5 1U

Eagles -3 5U even money



money management,
money management,
money management,

[NJrookie]

Good luck kevindakota ! Rooooting for yah !

[kevindakota00]

adding...

Titans 2U ML +160

[kevindakota00]

alright titans! we bounced back this week! we had rough noon games and shaky afternoon, but we won the late game and the big mnf game which put us up 11.4 units on the week. this brings our season total to 83.65 units. congrats to whoever followed me with every pick this week unit for unit.

[Totolover1409]

Good call bro

[kevindakota00]

who wants turkey?

Thanksgiving picks coming up

[Smogs]

Well done dude, excellent work putting the big money on the winners, you won both your 10 unit bets - nice

[kevindakota00]

we gotta get this in now,

dolphins -3 10U

[kevindakota00]

packers -10.5 5U

Giants -6.5 3U

[NJrookie]

liking your picks ..... especially Miami ! Best of luck Kevindakota ..... always checking your thread.

[kevindakota00]

cowboys -13.5 1U

[kevindakota00]

panthers +3 7U

Vikings -10.5 7U

[kevindakota00]

way to go packers, hopefully the giants play like the giants tonight. the line has come down to -4.5. i still like them at 6 pts but 4.5 is better. Vegas trap, the giants are the play!

[kevindakota00]

49ers -3 6U

Saints -2.5 7U

[kevindakota00]

falcons -11.5 2U

Browns +14 1U

seahawks -3 3U

Titans -3 3U

colts -3.5 1U

[kevindakota00]

recap.. There is one game i will add later

dolphins -3 10U

packers -10.5 5U

Giants -6.5 3U

cowboys -13.5 1U

panthers +3 7U

Vikings -10.5 7U

49ers -3 6U

Saints -2.5 7U

falcons -11.5 2U

Browns +14 1U

seahawks -3 3U

Titans -3 3U

colts -3.5 1U