First off, thanks for all the support and well wishes in the thread last week. Often times I don't have internet on the weekends so I can't participate in any in-game chatter.
Anyways, it was a tough week last week, as I went 2-4 and dropped over 1.7 units. Just a simple little break with the Montreal or BC overs would've made it a profitable week, but if you start playing that game I'm sure there've been plenty of weeks so far in which I did receive bounces to keep me out of the red. With a sample of 5 games there's going to be some losing weeks. I expect there'll be many to come.
Year to Date: 10-8-1, +2.2655 units
Toronto at Montreal
Seriously, how in the **** do you turn the ball over 7 times? Better yet, how do you turn the ball over 7 times and still win time of possession and execute 17 more plays than your opponent? Toronto botched that game about as hard as you can botch one. Every opportunity to win, every opportunity to cover, and they kept being that mistake prone team that kills you. They're better than Winnipeg in almost every facet of the game; well, every facet except for holding on to the ball. If they continue to turn it over this much, I'll avoid their games on pure principle. Nonetheless, theyre a good team. Their offense is balanced with a good back in Robertson, and they can get first downs. Their defense is pretty astounding when it wants to be as well, arguably the best in the CFL.
Montreal played a clunker last week, but I'm going to brush any doubt about them out of my mind. The passing game was off, and the defense didn't show up. They got trounced, but that'll happen. They still have 4 extremely strong performances under their belt, and a load of experience.
As much as I still love Montreal though, this Toronto team is perfect for being underrated right now. No team can turn the ball over that many times in back to back games, can they? If you're one to play the motivational factor, this may be one to stay away from, because you know Montreal won't be happy after the loss last week. However, Toronto has a lot to play for too, and I do believe they have the talent to make a game out of this. Also have a lean on the under that might be added later on, but probably not.
1.5 * Toronto +14 -110
Saskatchewan at BC
Well, as far as the public is concerned, can BC sink any lower? Starting 1-4 and losing two to the TiCats is a good way to make people think you're a horrible team.
But not all is lost for these guys. They continue to be a very even offense between running and passing. They’ve got a good QB in Pierce and a decent to good running back in Mallett. Overall, the passing attack, and in turn the offense, has had 3 real good games and 2 pretty awful ones. They may not be putting up a lot of points, but turnovers have been a factor, as well as their defense keeping the other team on the field.
I expect a lot of points in this one, but that number of 59 is too high. Saskatchewan is pumping out these high totals because their games involved a lot of points through the first four weeks. But those point totals were largely fluky, and a lot of them came off weird plays, turnovers, and added points at the end of games. The overall numbers for the team suggest they don't deserve to be getting these high totals, and it showed last week when they undershot the number by a full 14 points.
As far as the side is concerned, Saskatchewan has only had one game all year in which it outgained it's opponent on a yard/play basis, and that was week 1 against these very Lions. But BC has improved more than the Riders have since that point, and they have home field in this one. It's a tough one to gauage, since the line is fairly close to what I have it, but I'm going to take a small shot with BC.
1.5 * Under 59 -105
.5 * BC -1 -111
Anyways, it was a tough week last week, as I went 2-4 and dropped over 1.7 units. Just a simple little break with the Montreal or BC overs would've made it a profitable week, but if you start playing that game I'm sure there've been plenty of weeks so far in which I did receive bounces to keep me out of the red. With a sample of 5 games there's going to be some losing weeks. I expect there'll be many to come.
Year to Date: 10-8-1, +2.2655 units
Toronto at Montreal
Seriously, how in the **** do you turn the ball over 7 times? Better yet, how do you turn the ball over 7 times and still win time of possession and execute 17 more plays than your opponent? Toronto botched that game about as hard as you can botch one. Every opportunity to win, every opportunity to cover, and they kept being that mistake prone team that kills you. They're better than Winnipeg in almost every facet of the game; well, every facet except for holding on to the ball. If they continue to turn it over this much, I'll avoid their games on pure principle. Nonetheless, theyre a good team. Their offense is balanced with a good back in Robertson, and they can get first downs. Their defense is pretty astounding when it wants to be as well, arguably the best in the CFL.
Montreal played a clunker last week, but I'm going to brush any doubt about them out of my mind. The passing game was off, and the defense didn't show up. They got trounced, but that'll happen. They still have 4 extremely strong performances under their belt, and a load of experience.
As much as I still love Montreal though, this Toronto team is perfect for being underrated right now. No team can turn the ball over that many times in back to back games, can they? If you're one to play the motivational factor, this may be one to stay away from, because you know Montreal won't be happy after the loss last week. However, Toronto has a lot to play for too, and I do believe they have the talent to make a game out of this. Also have a lean on the under that might be added later on, but probably not.
1.5 * Toronto +14 -110
Saskatchewan at BC
Well, as far as the public is concerned, can BC sink any lower? Starting 1-4 and losing two to the TiCats is a good way to make people think you're a horrible team.
But not all is lost for these guys. They continue to be a very even offense between running and passing. They’ve got a good QB in Pierce and a decent to good running back in Mallett. Overall, the passing attack, and in turn the offense, has had 3 real good games and 2 pretty awful ones. They may not be putting up a lot of points, but turnovers have been a factor, as well as their defense keeping the other team on the field.
I expect a lot of points in this one, but that number of 59 is too high. Saskatchewan is pumping out these high totals because their games involved a lot of points through the first four weeks. But those point totals were largely fluky, and a lot of them came off weird plays, turnovers, and added points at the end of games. The overall numbers for the team suggest they don't deserve to be getting these high totals, and it showed last week when they undershot the number by a full 14 points.
As far as the side is concerned, Saskatchewan has only had one game all year in which it outgained it's opponent on a yard/play basis, and that was week 1 against these very Lions. But BC has improved more than the Riders have since that point, and they have home field in this one. It's a tough one to gauage, since the line is fairly close to what I have it, but I'm going to take a small shot with BC.
1.5 * Under 59 -105
.5 * BC -1 -111
