NFL Season Props

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  • Jimmy Proffett
    SBR MVP
    • 10-20-09
    • 2729

    #1
    NFL Season Props
    Wanted to know what everyone was on for the season-long props. Here are mine:

    Chiefs Under 10.5 wins (-125)
    - I feel they regress defensively losing Eric Berry and Justin Houston. You can't replace 2 players with that ability and leadership with troublemakers like Mathieu and Clark.
    - Offense has to regress also. Running game will take a huge step back with Damien Williams starting.
    - Division (besides Raiders) will be tough. They play the NFC North also.

    Falcons Over 8.5 wins (-130)

    - Got rid of Sarkisian. Huge upgrade, even if the new O-Coordinator is a George Foreman grill
    - Defense hopefully will stay healthy. Can't be worse than last year.
    - Saints/Panthers are trending down
    - Only play 3 games outside (their Achilles Heel) and no cold weather games at all

    49ers Under 8.5 wins (-130)

    - I can't find 6 wins for them, let alone 9. That's all I have to say about that.

    JuJu Smith-Schuster Under 1349.5 receiving yards (-115)

    - This year he's the man. It won't be that easy racking up 160+ targets when he's not primarily in the slot. He'll face every team's #1 cover man and sometimes double-teams. He's tied for 2nd in the Toughest Schedule for No. 1 WR's (courtesy ESPN+ Fantasy F-ball article)
    - All of the Steelers' Nov and Dec games are outdoors except for 1 (@ Cardinals). None of them are in warm weather. He's from Long Beach, CA and only played in warm weather up until the Steelers drafted him.
    - Other than the outlier Broncos game from last year when he had a 97-yard TD, in 5 games he averaged 5 catches for 59 yards per outing in Nov/Dec in colder weather. This year he has 8 games in those conditions.

    That's all. Remember..... responsible gambling
  • The J-Dizzle
    SBR MVP
    • 03-09-10
    • 1089

    #2
    I've actually peaked at JuJu under as well. But the total was something like 1400 then. I like the under, Big Ben had a huge amount of pass attempts last year with a tough schedule. This year, he's the one who's being double-teamed.
    Good writeup for the bet!

    Also, agree that the Saints will not win as many games, but due to regression.
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