I believe these two factors pay a very important part in ats betting. Is it profitable to compare a homes teams home turnover margin to an away teams away turnover margin and bet on the team with the better margin. Also would this work for Yards per pass attempt?
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There is no singular most important betting factor. Turnovers are caused by several factors, including weather, injuries, rushing teams vs passing teams, and the opposition. The factors you mention will not be a factor in the first three to four games, which is 1/4 of the season. Not only 1/4 of a season, but the easiest quarter of the season to make money.Comment -
I understand that turnover margin can change significantly for teams over an off-season. but however for the most part yards per pass attempt probably stays relatively close to each other. My main point is could I use just one stat combined with home or away and be profitable? If so do I need to go back myself and look at each game and stats and test my hypothesis or is there an easier way to do it? This is the first year I want to be a very serious bettor unlike most other years.I want any advice I can get. I am looking to do prop bets mostly but want to find profitable trends anyway I canComment -
odasComment -
There is a reason why prop bets have such a low max bet. They are also not as looked into as many other lines. How could they not be profitable when they vary so much between sportbooks and have a lot less effort put into themComment -
I like player props. Made a good profit last year. If you have multiple sportbooks there could be some fantastic middle opportunities. For example last year I got O/U 30.5 yards on one sportsbook and O/U 41.5 yards on another.
But I guess it's easier to call something a sucker bet if you don't like it/don't profit from it yourself. With that said, I have no doubt sportbooks profit a lot from player props, just like any other kind of bet..Comment -
You are correct. Sportsbooks make a huge profit from props. Remember that you will see props like this. "Number of FG's made. Over 3 -120, Under 3 -120". The key of course is the fact that if there are 3 FG's made, the number did not go over or under 3. Kind of like a middle for the book, plus they are getting their vig. Player props always are a bit risky because of the injury possibility. If you play middles, that is the best way to make money, but if you do that on line, odds are that one, if not both books will boot you out unless your losses exceed your winnings. Last years Superbowl netted the Vegas books a huge profit because the game was so low scoring. Another drawback about prop wagers, the vig is high.Comment