When capping a game, how much stock do you put in " trends?"
As an example , you discover that going back 30 years Green Bay coming off a loss on a Monday night game
won their next game 80% of the time. Or in December the dolphins playing a non dome northern team away lost 80% of the time since 1985. So what? Does this really matter? My point is going back more than 5 years ....the entire team is comprised of 80% different players and maybe even an entirely new coaching staff. Isn't it just more of a "common sense" approach? I mean you might expect a team from Miami not being used to playing in freezing temps. No? Or do you only look at more "recent" trends within the past few years?
As an example , you discover that going back 30 years Green Bay coming off a loss on a Monday night game
won their next game 80% of the time. Or in December the dolphins playing a non dome northern team away lost 80% of the time since 1985. So what? Does this really matter? My point is going back more than 5 years ....the entire team is comprised of 80% different players and maybe even an entirely new coaching staff. Isn't it just more of a "common sense" approach? I mean you might expect a team from Miami not being used to playing in freezing temps. No? Or do you only look at more "recent" trends within the past few years?