Looking for some serious hedging advice PLEASE

[sleeper]

I have the Rams at +2200 preseason for a Hundo

What would you do in my scenario? Ride it out? Take Saints ML this weekend or saints SB future at +190?

I wanna make some profit out of this

Thank you all for any advice you can help me out with

[RiverDog21]

You obviously thought the Rams had a good shot at winning when you made the bet. Personally I’m leaning Saints to win this weekend. If you like the Rams to win this weekend you could always ride it out. Or if you want to guarantee some profit you could always take Saints money line for $400 or $500 and then if the rams win you could take the other side in the super bowl for $800 or $900, that way you’d be guaranteed a decent profit no matter what happens. If it was my bet and I liked the Rams I’d be greedy an rude it out considering you only stand to lose $100. But it sounds like you want a guaranteed profit and the only way I know to get that is to do what I suggested above. Bottom line is you gotta do what your gut tells you because you don’t want to be kicking yourself for taking someone else’s advice. That being said I think the saints knock the Rams off on Sunday. Good luck with whatever you decide to do.

[sleeper]

Thanks brother. Sadly I’m leaning saints this weekend as well which is my dilemma

[BankrBIG]

Go for the guaranteed win! Make some money! +1500 is still good!

[RiverDog21]

Go for the guaranteed win! Make some money! +1500 is still good!

There is no way to guarantee 1500. If he takes the saints money line for 500 and the rams win he’ll have the same dilemma for the super bowl, but he can guarantee 500 or so.

[BankrBIG]

There is no way to guarantee 1500. If he takes the saints money line for 500 and the rams win he’ll have the same dilemma for the super bowl, but he can guarantee 500 or so.

Thank you, Captain Obvious. I believe everyone with a brain knows that. Guaranteed win does not mean +1500, it means lock some money up.

[RiverDog21]

Thank you, Captain Obvious. I believe everyone with a brain knows that. Guaranteed win does not mean +1500, it means lock some money up.

It must not have been obvious to you since said 1500 is still good. There’s no need for the attitude, I think we’re both just trying to help this guy make some money

[BankrBIG]

It must not have been obvious to you since said 1500 is still good. There’s no need for the attitude, I think we’re both just trying to help this guy make some money

Well, you did insult me. +1500 = spend 500 on a hedge.

[RiverDog21]

Well, you did insult me. +1500 = spend 500 on a hedge.

But the bet is that they win the super bowl. If he hedges with the saints and the rams win the nfc championship then he is faced with the same dilemma again for the super and will have to hedge again and that is why you can’t hedge and guarantee 1500. Not trying to insult you at all. Just making the point that if the rams win this weekend it will require 2 back to back hedges to protect the bet.

[RiverDog21]

Well, you did insult me. +1500 = spend 500 on a hedge.

And I apologize if you took as an insult as it wasn’t intended that way. I’m not one of these guys who comes on this forum looking for controversy though there are several who do. I was genuinely offering advice to the op since that was the topic of this thread. Peace

[Big Bear]

Take the Chiefs

[sleeper]

Take the Chiefs

i'm already on that, just debating a weekend saints ML bet vs a saints SB future

[BankrBIG]

And I apologize if you took as an insult as it wasn’t intended that way. I’m not one of these guys who comes on this forum looking for controversy though there are several who do. I was genuinely offering advice to the op since that was the topic of this thread. Peace

It's cool man. He can hedge two games if it takes that much. That's what I would do.. Rams is like bottom of the pack, to me.

[ZIPPER HEAD]

Ride that pony to the finish line son

[Big Bear]

Ride that pony to the finish line son

Noooo

[Checkerboard]

These hedge threads are always the same. Some say walk the date home and some say hedge to cover the cost of the original wager.

In the end the OP has to make the same decision we all have to in these situations. Know thyself and go with your nature.

Are you generally the safe, conservative type? If so, stay true to your nature and hedge to cover original bet amount, or slightly more for winnings either way. That way you should end up happy either way.

If, on the other hand you're the type who feeds off risk and drama, then let it ride and go for jackpot or bust. If you lose, you won't mind much because you went with your true nature.

Good luck!

[mtofell]

I'm in a similar position with a 20/1 Rams preseason bet. I was fine hedging a bit against DAL since juice was well into the positive. With NO being -150ish it becomes much less appealing. Fwiw, I thought DAL had a legitimate shot last week so it wasn't even so much of a hedge. Anyway, we're in a tough spot for sure. I've yet to make a bet but might do a little something tomorrow before game time. Honestly, I've kind of accepted the fact that LA is the worst of the 4 remaining teams. Hopefully, I'm wrong. If I hedge I'll likely just lay the 3 points and hope like hell I don't get middled.

[Checkerboard]

There's also the live variation on the 'let it ride' approach. My futures is on New Orleans, so for live hedge, I makze decision to let futures bet ride, but then in game, end up putting a LA ml bet in if NO goes up on the early side of things. This way I get the hedge at better value, provided the opportunity arises in game. I have to accept up front that I may not get an opportunity to do that.

[MikeyD323]

And I apologize if you took as an insult as it wasn’t intended that way. I’m not one of these guys who comes on this forum looking for controversy though there are several who do. I was genuinely offering advice to the op since that was the topic of this thread. Peace

Ruined this thread. Sound like two dykes arguing whose on the left side for the scissor. Unbelievable. 15 comments to get through the ladies. Everytime.

[ZIPPER HEAD]

Noooo

Ole zippy