I was looking to bet on NFC/AFC conf champs when I realized that betting the MVP might actually be the better bet. The MVP always comes from a winning team so the first thing that needs to be done for selecting the MVP is narrowing the possible 'good' NFL teams this year.
NFC: 10+ wins possibility
RAMS (GURLEY couldn't win with 19 TD's last year, GOFF?)
FALCONS (RYAN)
PANTHERS (CAM)
SAINTS (hard to see Brees winning it with a balanced offense and great team)
PACKERS (RODGERS)
VIKINGS (Cousins won't win it, tougher schedule)
EAGLES (Injury risk with Wentz, team has to digress after losing a lot of personnel)
GIANTS (Eli? yea right)
COWBOYS (Dak/Zeke)
SEATTLE (Wilson)
AFC: 10+ wins possibility (raiders and chiefs might not even win 8 games, but AFC is weak and they might be borderline 9/10 wins)
JAGS (no one will win MVP on team)
PATS (BRADY)
STEELERS (injury prone stars, can't see anyone winning)
TEXANS (WATSON)
COLTS (LUCK)
CHARGERS (RIVERS)
RAIDERS (CARR) , wouldn't bet on him to win it with a gun to my head
CHEIFS (MAHOMES) hard to see a 2nd year player win it
Narrowing both conferences:
NFC:
RAMS (top 5 S.o.S, 2nd year for coach so defenses should improve)
FALCONS (average S.o.S, new weapons, everyone paid, offseason with offensive coordinator, Ryan cut his TD's in half in one year, has to progress!)
PANTHERS (Norv should help Cam a lot)
PACKERS (Rodgers back, better defense, HARDEST schedule)
COWBOYS (should have went to playoffs last year if Zeke didn't miss any games)
SEATTLE (schedule is no joke, best WR already banged up, a lot of question marks on the team)
AFC:
PATS (not betting on b2b MVP's for Brady)
TEXANS (easiest strength of schedule for 2018 season, Watson was going to have incredible season last year)
COLTS (Luck back, 22nd in S.o.S)
CHARGERS (couple players already out for season
Narrowing it down again:
NFC: FALCONS, PANTHERS, COWBOYS
AFC: TEXANS, COLTS
ODDS to win MVP:
CAM 20-1
RYAN 20-1***
Zeke 30-1
Dak 35-1
Watson 15-1
Luck 30-1***
Great Odds for all...My favorite picks are Luck and Ryan, but I'll still wait for the preseason to be over to make my final decision. Let me know your thoughts.
NFC: 10+ wins possibility
RAMS (GURLEY couldn't win with 19 TD's last year, GOFF?)
FALCONS (RYAN)
PANTHERS (CAM)
SAINTS (hard to see Brees winning it with a balanced offense and great team)
PACKERS (RODGERS)
VIKINGS (Cousins won't win it, tougher schedule)
EAGLES (Injury risk with Wentz, team has to digress after losing a lot of personnel)
GIANTS (Eli? yea right)
COWBOYS (Dak/Zeke)
SEATTLE (Wilson)
AFC: 10+ wins possibility (raiders and chiefs might not even win 8 games, but AFC is weak and they might be borderline 9/10 wins)
JAGS (no one will win MVP on team)
PATS (BRADY)
STEELERS (injury prone stars, can't see anyone winning)
TEXANS (WATSON)
COLTS (LUCK)
CHARGERS (RIVERS)
RAIDERS (CARR) , wouldn't bet on him to win it with a gun to my head
CHEIFS (MAHOMES) hard to see a 2nd year player win it
Narrowing both conferences:
NFC:
RAMS (top 5 S.o.S, 2nd year for coach so defenses should improve)
FALCONS (average S.o.S, new weapons, everyone paid, offseason with offensive coordinator, Ryan cut his TD's in half in one year, has to progress!)
PANTHERS (Norv should help Cam a lot)
PACKERS (Rodgers back, better defense, HARDEST schedule)
COWBOYS (should have went to playoffs last year if Zeke didn't miss any games)
SEATTLE (schedule is no joke, best WR already banged up, a lot of question marks on the team)
AFC:
PATS (not betting on b2b MVP's for Brady)
TEXANS (easiest strength of schedule for 2018 season, Watson was going to have incredible season last year)
COLTS (Luck back, 22nd in S.o.S)
CHARGERS (couple players already out for season
Narrowing it down again:
NFC: FALCONS, PANTHERS, COWBOYS
AFC: TEXANS, COLTS
ODDS to win MVP:
CAM 20-1
RYAN 20-1***
Zeke 30-1
Dak 35-1
Watson 15-1
Luck 30-1***
Great Odds for all...My favorite picks are Luck and Ryan, but I'll still wait for the preseason to be over to make my final decision. Let me know your thoughts.