Packers -2.5 vs Vikings

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  • dblock05
    SBR Sharp
    • 12-03-14
    • 271

    #1
    Packers -2.5 vs Vikings
    What am I missing here?

    Seems too good to be true. I'm betting Aaron Rogers will beat Case Keenum and only favored by -2.5?
  • House
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-04-11
    • 7088

    #2
    Originally posted by dblock05
    What am I missing here?

    Seems too good to be true. I'm betting Aaron Rogers will beat Case Keenum and only favored by -2.5?
    I think what you're missing is the books want you to take GB -2.5
    Comment
    • dblock05
      SBR Sharp
      • 12-03-14
      • 271

      #3
      Originally posted by House
      I think what you're missing is the books want you to take GB -2.5
      I hear what you are saying....and now with Diggs out...it just become more enticing.

      Guess we see what happens Sunday
      Comment
      • Ryermkd
        Restricted User
        • 01-11-12
        • 3739

        #4
        Vikings love playing the Cheeseheads, that stadium is going to be rowdy to say the least... Just watch and enjoy!

        Shouldn't be bigger than 1unit on GBats or MINml
        Comment
        • parlayin
          SBR MVP
          • 11-03-07
          • 1091

          #5
          Where are you seeing 2.5? Looks like 3 everywhere
          Comment
          • parlayin
            SBR MVP
            • 11-03-07
            • 1091

            #6
            Double post
            Comment
            • parlayin
              SBR MVP
              • 11-03-07
              • 1091

              #7
              Some reasons to be cautious about taking GB:

              1) GB HOME/ROAD SPLITS

              - GB has been great at home but average on the road
              - 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS at home last 7
              - 6-6 SU and 5-7 ATS on road going back to last year
              - 1-4 ATS as road favorite last 5

              - MIN 4-0 ATS as home dog last 4
              - 15-5 ATS at home since 2015, 3-1 ATS last 4

              2) GB/MIN RECENT MATCHUP HISTORY

              - MIN has won 2 of last 3 vs GB
              - Dec 24, 2016 @ GB: 38-25 GB, 446-348 MIN in yds
              - Sep 18, 2016 @ MIN: 17-14 MIN, 284-263 MIN in yds
              - Jan 3, 2016 @ GB: 20-13 MIN, 350-242 GB in yds

              3) DIVISION RIVALRY/PROXIMITY

              - MIN (stadium) is 4 hours from GB, 30 mins from Wisconsin border

              Granted, Diggs being out and GB improved running game with Aaron Jones favor GB. But the 3 pt line doesn't seem abnormally low. That means GB would be DD favs at home, in which case you prob wouldn't be rushing to bet GB under the same circumstances
              Comment
              • Jnelson1182
                SBR High Roller
                • 09-12-17
                • 134

                #8
                Min can be a tough place to play for any qb an min has done decent in a few of their games an poor in the others so it all depends how they play on sun, with diggs out they are down a off weapon Im interested to see who pick up the slack.
                Comment
                • jm8122
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 03-08-15
                  • 738

                  #9
                  If it looks too good to be true it probably is! Im laying off this game
                  Comment
                  • dblock05
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 12-03-14
                    • 271

                    #10
                    Originally posted by parlayin
                    Where are you seeing 2.5? Looks like 3 everywhere
                    2.5 on 5dimes but it's -130

                    I did -3 for a better payout. Rogers won me money last week vs the cowboys. May as well trust him again.

                    Best QB in the NFL right with Brady
                    Comment
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