Curious stat

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • phil_abuster
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 03-28-16
    • 506

    #1
    Curious stat
    i was revisiting a thought ive had before,
    how do favs fare in week 17?
    many road teams have something extra to play for in week 17
    but does that necessarily result in a win or ats??

    i only looked back as far as the 2010 season
    as i always consider the most recent stats to be
    much more significant than way bygone yrs

    so, over the past 6 yrs (2010-2015) - based on CLOSING line only

    HOME favs: 36-33-1 ats

    ROAD favs: 8-17-1 ats

    the ROAD favs have failed cumulatively in week 17
    in 5 of the last 6rs - ats

    over these past 6 seasons they went 20-7 su however!

    heres the specific breakdown (su in parenthesis)

    2015 - 2-3 (2-3)
    2014 - 2-1 (3-0)
    2013 - 2-3 (4-1)
    2012 - 0-3 (1-2)
    2011 - 1-4 (4-1)
    2010 - 1-3-1 (6-0)
    source: vegasinsider/sbr

    today, 7 teams r listed as ROAD favs (4 in meaningful games)

    could b a totally useless stat. disregard as u wish.
    but i havent been on this board since last yr and
    wanted to contribute more than the common one sentence posts
  • phil_abuster
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 03-28-16
    • 506

    #2
    Originally posted by phil_abuster
    i was revisiting a thought ive had before,
    how do favs fare in week 17?
    many road teams have something extra to play for in week 17
    but does that necessarily result in a win or ats??

    i only looked back as far as the 2010 season
    as i always consider the most recent stats to be
    much more significant than way bygone yrs

    so, over the past 6 yrs (2010-2015) - based on CLOSING line only

    HOME favs: 36-33-1 ats

    ROAD favs: 8-17-1 ats

    the ROAD favs have failed cumulatively in week 17
    in 5 of the last 6rs - ats

    over these past 6 seasons they went 20-7 su however!

    heres the specific breakdown (su in parenthesis)

    2015 - 2-3 (2-3)
    2014 - 2-1 (3-0)
    2013 - 2-3 (4-1)
    2012 - 0-3 (1-2)
    2011 - 1-4 (4-1)
    2010 - 1-3-1 (6-0)
    source: vegasinsider/sbr

    today, 7 teams r listed as ROAD favs (4 in meaningful games)

    could b a totally useless stat. disregard as u wish.
    but i havent been on this board since last yr and
    wanted to contribute more than the common one sentence posts

    in addition, as far as game totals go

    the UNDERS went 45-34-1 ~57%
    Comment
    • phil_abuster
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 03-28-16
      • 506

      #3
      live action bet after Patriots score to go up 7-0,
      miami +11.5
      Comment
      • phil_abuster
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 03-28-16
        • 506

        #4
        so w/ 2 of the 3 road favs failing to cover in the early games

        week 17 ROAD favs: 9-19-1 ats past 6+ yrs
        Comment
        Search
        Collapse
        SBR Contests
        Collapse
        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
        Collapse
        Working...