Originally Posted by 2daBank 
pats/colts ov 55 (2x).. they cant make this total high enough imo. i said 56 above but that was just a guess where it was set, if im saying what i think these teams combine to score at the end of the night im going significantly higher. dont think either team has any problem cracking 30, my best guess is around 68-72 when the clock hits zero.. we know pats gonna score and continue to score here, after taking out the off season on everyone in their path they finally get the team that snitched them out. what you think they gonna do? they coming to prove a point and that point gets proven by brady throwing 5 tds.
i dont expect for this to be the ass kicking many are calling for tho and here is why. i fully expect luck to play and i expect him to be the luck we all used to not the one from the 1st couple weeks. i actually think that luck's absence the last few weeks was really good for this team as they were forced to establish a offensive identity that wasnt having luck sit back and get killed with everything on his shoulders, this helps in several ways, obviously the fact they figured out they can in fact run the ball a little will help keep him protected and open up the play action shots down field, the other is i think it was good for him to see that his team can actually win games where he isnt doing everything (or anything at all in this case, lol). not only has gore became involved last week they got andre johnson going as well and all a sudden i think this offense is one all world qb away from looking like many envisioned when they were making these off season moves.
neither defense is equipped to deal with these offenses. ratings gonna be insane. this has all the makings of everything the nfl wants and it gonna be a video game! luck has seen enough of hoodies defenses at this point and now he seeing it with more weapons at his disposal while the elite players from last years pats unit are gone. that all im gonna say, get ready cause even my old school defense liking ass is kinda excited for this one as i have a feeling it gonna be epic fun as colts unexpectedly give pats everything they can handle and this thing won by whoever has the ball last. 38-34 somebody (i think pats but i also feel like we ripe for a few absolute burials that kills ats, teasers, ml paralys, everything, it coming just dunno if it here)..
bills+3 (1.5x).. this the first time this year i will be against the bungals, clearly i like cincy but this a bad spot for them coming off the big comeback over sea last week and going on road to face a bills team that matches up well...you can run on this cincy d and teams been doing it to the tune of 4.8 ypc, we all know rex's team is gonna run the football. id have rather seen carlos williams back however shady will play and between him dixon and herron i dont think bills will have much problem churning out yards on the ground. im not as worried about ej after talking with a few guys i respect from the buffalo area that all say he has made a lot of progress since last time he was starting games, he should have watkins back and cincy is banged up in the secondary. this play really comes down to me thinking while improved dalton current form just isnt sustainable and buf a good place for a qb to lay a stinker. i think fat boys d will confuse him into a couple of mistakes and the offense will limit bungals chances by pounding the rock. i like bills to win outright but will take the 3 which is more points than bills got at home against the pats, i like the bungals and all but im not ready to say they should be laying more road wood than the pats.. . 23-20 bills.
minny -3 (-125) (1x).. i just cant leave the hook on this game even tho i dont think it will come into play, for 15 bucks extra on my $100 bet i just dont see the point in risking losing by it. that said once again i feel vikings being sold short by the books as this number several points low imo. forgetting about charles for a minute i already had minny as 2-3 points better than kc on a neutral field so i have a real hard time understanding why they only laying 3.5 at home? do they not have the standard 3 point home field adv? imo we still benefiting from that week 1 monday night ass kicking min got at the hands of the shitbag 49ers, ever since that game i been playing minny on what i felt were short home lines and getting too many points on the road and they been covering them all.
from a x's and o's standpoint this game pretty simple. since zimmer has arrived the vikings pass d has been a improving unit, they will get after smith and force some bad decisions against a terrible kc oline, i dont expect kc to convert many 3rd downs as smith will be on his ass most the day. this where no charles does come into play, captain checkdown missing the best check down back in the league is gonna struggle. offensively this a great game for teddy b to have a nice day, off a bye week and facing a miserable kc secondary. i like wallace to pick up where he left off vs the donks and shred this defense (really cheap in dfs this week, he in a ton of my lineups as is the minny d). kc rush defense has been solid but ap is ap and will do what he does. vikings control this game wire to wire and teddy b makes all the plays to keep drives moving that smith will not. 24-17 vikings.
hou/jags ov 43 (1x).. jags overs are starting to become a bit of a theme for me and i think for good reason as this offense continues to grow together. most likely no yeldon this week but robinson should be back and while he isnt the type of back yeldon is he is explosive. another week for thomas in the offense i think will continue to improve the jags red zone efficiency and i love the 2nd year wrs robinson and hurns...hou has thrown more passes than any team in the league and while i think that starts to change as foster gets back into the flow of things it certainly doesnt hurt here as the defense continues to be awful and forces the offense to air it out to hopkins. both defenses are beyond suspect at this point and dont think either team has any problems reaching 20 and beyond.. i was eyeing this total all week, my biggest concern is some fairly strong wind being forecast which is the only reason this just a 1x play. latest forecast shows less than 20mph tho so im willing to take a shot as i made this 46-47..
Lol good winnin banker!