Top 5 NFL Win Total Plays

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  • DavidHessSBC
    SBR Rookie
    • 08-17-15
    • 36

    #1
    Top 5 NFL Win Total Plays
    Ok the NFL's regular season is just a few weeks away and I thought I would share my top 5 NFL Win Total plays. I really can't wait for the regular season to get underway.

    The First one I have is the Vikings over 7.5 wins. I really like this team this year as they have Adrian Petersen back and Teddy Bridgewater is in his second year, plus they have shown in the preseason this year that they have a very god looking defense. They should pick up road wins vs San Francisco, Chicago and Oakland and go at least 6-2 at home, giving them 9 wins on the year. Do not be surprised if you see 10 wins from them though. This is a very underrated team.

    Next on my list is the Jets Under 7.5. Quite simply the Jets just don't have enough offense to put together too many win and both Miami and buffalo have improved their teams a lot. Geno smith will be out 6-10 weeks and Ryan Fitzpatrick will not be able to move this offense all that much. The defense should be solid, but still has some holes to fill. The Juts have a few easy home games, but n the road the only game I give them a chance to win is in Oakland, and even that will not be easy. This is a 6 won team at most.

    Next we head to Tennessee where the Titans really look a mess. I like he Under 5.5 with this team. Mariota looked decent in his first preseason game, but playing the regular season will be different. This team has very little in the way of a running game and their OL is bad, which is not good when trying to protect a rookie QB. The defense will be better than last year, but still it is far from an average unit. The Titans have a shot at winning at Tampa Bay on opening day and at Jacksonville later on, plus home games vs Jacksonville and Oakland should be winnable. The rest of the schedule is tough. 4 wins at most from this team.

    Next is Atlanta Over 8.5 wins. I have the Falcons winning this division and I say they do it with at least 10 wins. The offense for this team is healthy and will put up some points, while the defense should be much improved now that HC Dan Quinn is in town. Remember he was the architect of some fine Seattle defenses the last couple of years. This is a much improved team overall. The road slate has some soft spots, especially late in the year when they travel to Tampa, Carolina and Jacksonville in a 3 games stretch, plus their home slate is not all that tough. This ream should win at least 10 games this year.

    Lastly I will stay in the NFC South and take the Under 6 with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. This tea went 2-14 last year and even though they nabbed Winston and have a solid WR corps I just don't think they have improved by 4 games over last year. Winston has really struggled in camp and also did so in his first preseason game, plus this team just doesn't have the defense to compete much this year. This team may be look at 4 wins at best, with all 4 wins coming at home. I don't see them winning a road game this year.

    There you have it. Have a great season everyone.
  • survive
    SBR MVP
    • 01-08-11
    • 2388

    #2
    I capped my NFC totals yesterday so I'll chime in. I really like Minnesota's roster also but this schedule is rough, I have them capped at 7 wins. The only game that I think they'll be > 3 pt favs in is vs Chicago at this time. I have Atlanta capped at 8.5 wins so pass for me there. Like the Tampa under. Good luck!
    Comment
    • slacker00
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-06-05
      • 12262

      #3
      Be careful with the TEN U5' and TB U6, I know those are two bad teams, but it's also such a very low number. Even bad teams can stumble their way to 6 wins. Part of the issue is that both teams are in bad divisions, it's possible to see them maybe going 2-4 or even 3-3 in division and then you're already skating on thin ice. Also, both teams are facing last-place schedules, which only effects 2 games, but there's another easy opportunity to go 1-1 or even 2-0 facing some other terrible teams. Lastly, the NFL strives to be an 8-8 parity league, there's upward pressure on bad teams as well as downward pressure on better teams built into the system, it's fairly easy for a bad team to get to 6 wins with modestly solid play and overall team health simply due to the NFL scheduling/salary cap/draft structure.

      I like the other 3 picks. Falcons should be revitalized with a new regime and their offense has plenty of upside. Jets look like a disaster already from the locker room chemistry standpoint alone, it's going to take at least a year just to let out the bad blood. Vikings are certainly a team on the rise, incredible upside if AP has another MVP type year in those legs.
      Comment
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