NFL props/futures 2015

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  • trobin31
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-09-14
    • 9854

    #1
    NFL props/futures 2015
    It's about that time again guys, and, this year will be a very lucrative season.

    These are my no bullshit nfl futures and props I will be investing like a jp Morgan mutual fund.

    I'm not just throwing out crap here. This is hours of digging and fact checking and situational knowledge.

    First pick

    Washington Rednecks under 6.5 wins -150

    I'm living in DC for past 7 years so I have seen this team up close and personal for awhile now. Overall, they always seem to win when they are not expected, and, underperform against less talented teams. There are several reasons why I think the redskins might not only go under the total 6.5 wins, but, i would bet them to have #1 draft pick in 2016. Most obvious negative for this team is the RGIII factor. He is not a prototypical NFL QB and unfortunately for h I m he does not have a coach in Jay Gruden who can think out the box. Gruden is the poster child for preferring a stale/vanilla offense with little understanding for gimmicks. RGIII needs gimmick, he needs a creative coordinator who doesn't expect him to drop back and get rid of the ball quickly. RGIII simply is not capable if doing it. Kirk Cousins is wayyy better QB from throwing and understanding this offense. Expect to see him sooner rather than later. While cousins has a great arm, mental stamina is not in his makeup as he continues to throw interceptions like he's Brett Favre's bastard son.
    QB carousel is no winning formula and will be the major obstacle for these foreskins.


    I'll touch on a bright spot for this team. That is the running game. They added a better version of Roy Helu by drafting Matt Jones and grabbed a down and dirty guard in the first round for the trenches. Problem is this, you must be actually winning the game to utilize the running game during the 3rd and 4th quarters. Queue up that RGIII 2minute drill and 3rd down conversion machine. Well, I can assure you the numbers for this team converting 3rd downs is FUGLY.

    Also, you are gonna need a defense to keep the game close to use that running game. Lol. The ONLY player on this defense worth a dam is ryan Carrigan and Dante hall is good for a good game or two. They have no good or even decent linebacker since London retired, safety play is bad since man-beast got murdered a decade ago and pasrushers outside of Carrigan are over the hill.

    This media here is brutal on rgiii. Neither RGIII nor the coach can say anything without it getting blown up into some crazy reality TV drama. One bad streak or slip of the lip and this media will turn this season into more about the drama off the field to avoid facing how much they're losing on the field.

    Lastly, the strength of schedule is middle tier. However, I think it was a down year for the nfc east Giants and Eagles, plus Dallas is not getting any worse. they also face the entire AFC east miami, Patriots and Bills at home, they will be fortunate to win even 1 of those games. I predict the first win of year comes against jets I think week 5 or 6. They could also be fighting for the first win in late November hehe.
  • trobin31
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-09-14
    • 9854

    #2
    In case you missed it RG3 is the worst QB in the nfl, I doubt he even starts the opening game either because he is just that awful or gets hurt.

    if you are a serious sports investor this is the play for you.
    Comment
    • survive
      SBR MVP
      • 01-08-11
      • 2388

      #3
      I have them capped at 4.5 wins. Like the play! Hopefully the odds didn't go up with this concussion
      Comment
      • FlaxMartin
        SBR MVP
        • 08-13-10
        • 2148

        #4
        I think I´ll make a bet of about 500 SEK, that´s about 80 USD at +1000 on the deadskins to get the worst record in the league. But if I had a ton of money, I would smash them and tail your bet!
        Comment
        • trobin31
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 01-09-14
          • 9854

          #5
          Prop # 2

          Indianapolis Colts over 10.5 wins

          I know a lot of pundits are expecting some regression from the Colts since they had a rather m lackluster 2nd half to the 2014 season compared to their standards. There are still questions about the offense line and defense as well. I don't think either one of these defects will stand in the way of Andrew Luck making it obvious to the entire world his legitimacy as the top quarterback in the game and grabbing his fir sd t mvp trophy along with the best record in the AFC and possibly NFL. My overwhelming reason for dropping a dime on this bet it's looking at the Colts schedule this year. It is gawd damn one of the easiest schedules in the NFL compared to other titan teams like broncos, Patriots and Packers. They play Jacksonville and Tennessee twice. In addition, they play the entire NFC south to include the falcons, saints, tampa bucs and panthers.next they play the AFC east including jets, bills, pats and fins. To make it simple, way I project 3, maybe 4 loses to include pats at home, at houston, and at pittsburgh. I beg anyone to show me another potential loss besides at miami. Four loses would mean a12-4 season for the Colts to easily cover the 10.5 total. I wouldn't expect to get anymore value on the Colts to win the AFC title at +325
          But I am sticking with the better bet for now.
          Comment
          • FlaxMartin
            SBR MVP
            • 08-13-10
            • 2148

            #6
            Turns it I had great timing, my redskins as worst record went from +1000 to +800.
            I am also on colts, but a small bet to win SB at +1000.
            Comment
            • adila1401
              SBR MVP
              • 11-16-11
              • 2014

              #7
              Well..Now that Griffin is not starting..they may have a shot to win a few games lol
              Comment
              • FlaxMartin
                SBR MVP
                • 08-13-10
                • 2148

                #8
                Originally posted by adila1401
                Well..Now that Griffin is not starting..they may have a shot to win a few games lol
                Still think they should end up 0-6 in the division games.
                Comment
                • MachoPadre
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 08-28-15
                  • 5

                  #9
                  i'm thinking of putting some small action on Latavius Murray at +3300 to lead the NFL in rushing yards..i'm thinking richardson is not looking good and Murray could be poised for a big year on that raiders team. am i crazy?
                  Comment
                  • adila1401
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-16-11
                    • 2014

                    #10
                    Originally posted by MachoPadre
                    i'm thinking of putting some small action on Latavius Murray at +3300 to lead the NFL in rushing yards..i'm thinking richardson is not looking good and Murray could be poised for a big year on that raiders team. am i crazy?
                    Richardson probably won't make the final 53..It's worth a shot..Jack Del Rio had Jones Drew getting quite a bit of yards for a few years there in Jacksonville..
                    Comment
                    • Barnes & Whine
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-29-11
                      • 3103

                      #11
                      SO that's all you got Trobin?? I could have come up with that much in 10 minutes.
                      Comment
                      • Barnes & Whine
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-29-11
                        • 3103

                        #12
                        Originally posted by adila1401
                        Well..Now that Griffin is not starting..they may have a shot to win a few games lol
                        My thoughts exactly, Miami week 1 was going to be an easy win now not so sure with Cousins. Washington much more dangerous without Griffindor.
                        Comment
                        • trobin31
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 01-09-14
                          • 9854

                          #13
                          Prop #3 Kansas City Chiefs to win AFC west +385

                          Prop #4 Kansas City Chiefs to make playoffs +125



                          One of the tougher divisions here with Denver and Chargers being more highly favored to win the division title Denver/-150, Chargers/+375. But I think the chiefs are simply more balanced offensively and defensively this year than any team in the AFC west. I’ll address the two question marks which are firstly the offensive line and secondly the quarterback. No doubt the chiefs have been inconsistent up front since last year. A closer look however shows the chiefs underwent major revisions at several key positions including left tackle, suffered season-ending injury to their starting left guard, and lost their starting right tackle to a 4 game suspension. This year however, we will see a line who played a season together outside of OG Grubbs from New Orleans who actually helps them solidify the left guard position that so decimated them from injury last year. The left tackle Fischer was moved from right tackle the prior year. He started off sluggish but improved exponentially. Ask anyone who knows and they
                          will tell you changing from right to left tackle entails completely
                          different foot work so we should see a remarkable improvement at the pivotal LT position. I actually like Alex Smith for this offense as he will not make very many stupid mistakes. Don’t forget Smith had some decent weapons in San Franciso the year he left and was able to sustain good offensive drives and doing what was asked, no more. The addition of Maclin at WR is probably the most talent Smith will have to work with the season. The departure of Fasano at tight end means more play for Kelce so look for his utility to expand even further.

                          Defensively the Chiefs rank among the projected highest teams in the league. I don’t see them regressing at all either as they will welcome back Eric Berry, added a first rounder at corner-back and getting one of the most versatile players in the NFL Derrick Johnson back from injury.

                          While their schedule is middle tier in strength, I like that most of
                          their tough non-divisional games occur early against Green bay and
                          Cincinatti. However, they will finish up against Oakland and Cleveland while Denver and San Diego duke out the finale. Lastly, Denver is most likely to experience a significant regression this year and haven’t done much to improve a weakened offensive line who also lost its star left tackle Ryan Clady. Manning showed signs of aging and it might get a bit tougher without protection. I would be surprised to see Manning play a full 16 games this year. The major concern here is San Diego Chargers. They have one of the better offensive lines on the left side to go along with a top 10 QB. The right side remains questionable I suspect teams will expose the weak link easily. I also still don’t see the consistency from this team year-to-year especially when the snow starts to fall.

                          Coaching wise Andy Reid gives an edge while Denver brings in Kubiak whose better suited to coach from the boxes as a
                          coordinator and McCoy remains one of the younger coaches in the NFL in San diego.
                          Comment
                          • FlaxMartin
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-13-10
                            • 2148

                            #14
                            Interesting bet on KC, but I am not putting any money into it. Do you guys there is any value at all in JJ watt getting most sacks at +400?
                            Comment
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