Capy's NFL 2014 (back for a fourth season, for better or worse!)

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  • Capybara
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-17-08
    • 11803

    #106
    Originally posted by Capybara
    Sorry for lateness, only have my phone working this morning. Here's what I'm on:

    Pitt -3, -120 (1.5x)

    NYG 1H -0.5, -110 (1.5x)

    Browns/Bills 1H u21, -120 (1.5x)
    2-1, +1.20x from the early games... and...
    Comment
    • Capybara
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 08-17-08
      • 11803

      #107
      Originally posted by Capybara
      Just added:

      Carolina regular season wins under 7.5, +100 (8x)

      Anyone else play any of these and feel confident? I love this one.
      Count it! Eight more units in the books. Believe that gets us to 30x!
      Comment
      • Capybara
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 08-17-08
        • 11803

        #108
        Okay, the tally:

        Week 1: 4-2, +2 units
        Week 2: 5-6, -1 unit
        Week 3: 9-2, +9 units
        Week 4: 5-4, +1.35 units
        Week 5: 8-5, +2.65 units
        Week 6: 1-5, -6.18 units
        Week 7: 5-1, +4.92 units
        Week 8: 3-5, -1.37 units
        Week 9: No action
        Week 10: 13-5, +4.55 units
        Week 11: 8-6, -
        2.70 units
        Week 12: 6-4, +7.60 units
        Week 13: 6-3, +9.40 units

        Total: 73-48, +30.22 units

        30 units, Boys!! Hope I can keep this up, I've ended up at about +20x two out of the last three seasons... last year I finished about even.

        Plays to come soon!
        Comment
        • Capybara
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-17-08
          • 11803

          #109
          Vikings -6, -110 (2x)

          Jets coming off a physical Monday night division game, could see them coming down some and not being too up for this one, especially on a short week. Vikes are building something and have some good momentum. Played the Packers very tough and then beat up the Panthers.

          As for tonight's game, not too sure. Tough call on the side, though I do lean toward the over 51. Wondering if it could drop by game time if it's really cold.
          Comment
          • Capybara
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 08-17-08
            • 11803

            #110
            Damn, did not get my usual study time this weekend, little too busy. Hopefully that does not result in my doom because I just added the following plays:

            Steelers/Benglas over 47.5, -102 (1.5x)
            Giants -2.5, -115 (1.5x)
            Texans -6.5, -110 (1x)

            Guess I got an awful early line on the Vikes. I don't get the RLM on the Jets, QB play is awful, can't stop the pass, coach on way out, played a tough Monday game, players ready to golf, what am I missing? Almost want to add more at -4...
            Comment
            • Capybara
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 08-17-08
              • 11803

              #111
              Fukk it, adding the Phins at home against banged up Ravens, even though I much prefer the coaching staff over in B'more.

              Dolphins -3, -110 (1x)
              Comment
              • Capybara
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 08-17-08
                • 11803

                #112
                Little lucky to get that push, but it would have been a f'n win if I'd had a better number. Hopefully someone tailed that with -5.5 or below!

                So early games went 3-1-1, +2.90 units.

                Up to 33 units on the season now!
                Comment
                • Capybara
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 08-17-08
                  • 11803

                  #113
                  Pats -4, -105 (1x)

                  Me and everyone else, little scary. But you gotta like the Pats off a loss, plus the spending the week together on the west coast -- it's the whole "business trip" deal, can never fade that.
                  Comment
                  • BayArea888
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 02-03-11
                    • 870

                    #114
                    Originally posted by Capybara
                    Pats -4, -105 (1x)

                    Me and everyone else, little scary. But you gotta like the Pats off a loss, plus the spending the week together on the west coast -- it's the whole "business trip" deal, can never fade that.

                    I think the -4 is too high for comfort. I think the Bolts score enough to keep it close, however, do you think enough to push the over?
                    Comment
                    • Capybara
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 08-17-08
                      • 11803

                      #115
                      Originally posted by BayArea888
                      I think the -4 is too high for comfort. I think the Bolts score enough to keep it close, however, do you think enough to push the over?
                      Yeah, fukk this stupid 4, but I do think the Pats should cover it in most scenarios. And yup, I do lean toward the over but decided to refrain. May try to grab a lower live number if it starts slow.
                      Comment
                      • BayArea888
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 02-03-11
                        • 870

                        #116
                        Originally posted by Capybara
                        Yeah, fukk this stupid 4, but I do think the Pats should cover it in most scenarios. And yup, I do lean toward the over but decided to refrain. May try to grab a lower live number if it starts slow.
                        Exactly what I had in mind! Let me know when, Capy.
                        Comment
                        • Capybara
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 08-17-08
                          • 11803

                          #117
                          Originally posted by BayArea888
                          Exactly what I had in mind! Let me know when, Capy.
                          Eh, they've still got it at 50.5, and since both teams are running it a fair amount, I'm standing pat for now. Good luck if u play it, it will probably still end up hitting.
                          Comment
                          • Capybara
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 08-17-08
                            • 11803

                            #118
                            And as soon as I post that, fumble for six.
                            Comment
                            • Capybara
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 08-17-08
                              • 11803

                              #119
                              4-1-1, +3.90 today. Glad I laid off that over tonight. Hope you did too, BA!
                              Comment
                              • Capybara
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 08-17-08
                                • 11803

                                #120
                                Sup, fellas? The tally:

                                Week 1: 4-2, +2 units
                                Week 2: 5-6, -1 unit
                                Week 3: 9-2, +9 units
                                Week 4: 5-4, +1.35 units
                                Week 5: 8-5, +2.65 units
                                Week 6: 1-5, -6.18 units
                                Week 7: 5-1, +4.92 units
                                Week 8: 3-5, -1.37 units
                                Week 9: No action
                                Week 10: 13-5, +4.55 units
                                Week 11: 8-6, -
                                2.70 units
                                Week 12: 6-4, +7.60 units
                                Week 13: 6-3, +9.40 units
                                Week 14: 4-1-1, +3.90 units


                                Total: 77-49-1, +34.12 units

                                Fukk, been crazed today, boys... what do we do with this game? Need to keep the winning ways going but haven't been able to break anything down...
                                Comment
                                • Capybara
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 08-17-08
                                  • 11803

                                  #121
                                  All right, drinking so I cannot speak to the reasonableness or lack thereof of the following plays, but they are locked:

                                  Rams 1H -3.5, -108 (1x)

                                  Rams/Cardinals 1H u20, +100 (1x)
                                  Comment
                                  • Capybara
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 08-17-08
                                    • 11803

                                    #122
                                    Good afternoon, Boys. Let's continue the money-making today!

                                    Pats -9, -102 (1.5x)

                                    Miami TT under 19.5, -110 (1x)

                                    Texans/Colts 1H under 24.5, -110 (1x)

                                    More to come... Anyone want to share any favorite plays today?
                                    Comment
                                    • Capybara
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 08-17-08
                                      • 11803

                                      #123
                                      Just added this 2-tm 6-pt teaser, ties win:

                                      Bengals +7/ Colts -1.5, -105 (1.5x)
                                      Comment
                                      • Capybara
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 08-17-08
                                        • 11803

                                        #124
                                        4-0 for another 5 units today, boys. Brings the thread to +39.04! Hope some of y'all are tailing for cash moneyz.

                                        Debating other plays here, but don't like F'ing w perfect days.
                                        Comment
                                        • Capybara
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 08-17-08
                                          • 11803

                                          #125
                                          Okay, takin my shot at a 5-0 day and 40 units on the season with this:

                                          Dallas 1H +3, -115 (1x)
                                          Comment
                                          • Capybara
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 08-17-08
                                            • 11803

                                            #126
                                            Originally posted by Capybara

                                            Pats -9, -102 (1.5x)

                                            Miami TT under 19.5, -110 (1x)

                                            Texans/Colts 1H under 24.5, -110 (1x)

                                            Bengals +7/ Colts -1.5, -105 (1.5x)

                                            Dallas 1H +3, -115 (1x)
                                            5-0 day, +6 units.

                                            Thread: 83-50-1, +40.04 units.

                                            Comment
                                            • Capybara
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 08-17-08
                                              • 11803

                                              #127
                                              How the crap are you supposed to bet this game tonight between two shitty, dysfunctional teams? I'm all ears, folks. Hmm, maybe a prop? ... I want to keep this roll going, but at the same time I don't really feel like throwing darts!
                                              Comment
                                              • Tommy Karate
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 10-12-13
                                                • 13445

                                                #128
                                                Originally posted by Capybara
                                                Sup, fellas? The tally:

                                                Week 1: 4-2, +2 units
                                                Week 2: 5-6, -1 unit
                                                Week 3: 9-2, +9 units
                                                Week 4: 5-4, +1.35 units
                                                Week 5: 8-5, +2.65 units
                                                Week 6: 1-5, -6.18 units
                                                Week 7: 5-1, +4.92 units
                                                Week 8: 3-5, -1.37 units
                                                Week 9: No action
                                                Week 10: 13-5, +4.55 units
                                                Week 11: 8-6, -
                                                2.70 units
                                                Week 12: 6-4, +7.60 units
                                                Week 13: 6-3, +9.40 units
                                                Week 14: 4-1-1, +3.90 units


                                                Total: 77-49-1, +34.12 units

                                                Fukk, been crazed today, boys... what do we do with this game? Need to keep the winning ways going but haven't been able to break anything down...
                                                great work capy! the best kept secret on SBR..

                                                what do you lean tonight?
                                                Comment
                                                • Capybara
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 08-17-08
                                                  • 11803

                                                  #129
                                                  Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                                  great work capy! the best kept secret on SBR..

                                                  what do you lean tonight?
                                                  Thanks, bro! I should probably just lay off tonight and preserve a perfect weekend... But my gut says the Saints will be the more focused, slightly less dysfunctional team tonight. I have to fade Cutler and this Bears team, I just have to. Here goes nothin:

                                                  Saints 1H -2.5, -110 (1x)

                                                  Saints -3.5, +100 (1x)
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Capybara
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 08-17-08
                                                    • 11803

                                                    #130
                                                    Originally posted by Capybara

                                                    Saints 1H -2.5, -110 (1x)

                                                    Saints -3.5, +100 (1x)
                                                    Add two more winners, bringing Week 15 to 8-1, +7.92 units! And the season to 42 units, baby...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Capybara
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 08-17-08
                                                      • 11803

                                                      #131
                                                      Train keeps-a-rollin'...

                                                      Week 1: 4-2, +2 units
                                                      Week 2: 5-6, -1 unit
                                                      Week 3: 9-2, +9 units
                                                      Week 4: 5-4, +1.35 units
                                                      Week 5: 8-5, +2.65 units
                                                      Week 6: 1-5, -6.18 units
                                                      Week 7: 5-1, +4.92 units
                                                      Week 8: 3-5, -1.37 units
                                                      Week 9: No action
                                                      Week 10: 13-5, +4.55 units
                                                      Week 11: 8-6, -
                                                      2.70 units
                                                      Week 12: 6-4, +7.60 units
                                                      Week 13: 6-3, +9.40 units
                                                      Week 14: 4-1-1, +3.90 units
                                                      Week 15: 8-1, +7.92 units

                                                      Total: 85-50-1, +42.04 units

                                                      Comment
                                                      • tailingcuzisuck
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 11-11-14
                                                        • 118

                                                        #132
                                                        Capy been a fan from your ncaa bb threads for a few years now. Can't believe I missed this thread. Great season man congrats! I bet saints first half too just on gut feeling but I would have put more on it had I seen this.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Capybara
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 08-17-08
                                                          • 11803

                                                          #133
                                                          Originally posted by tailingcuzisuck
                                                          Capy been a fan from your ncaa bb threads for a few years now. Can't believe I missed this thread. Great season man congrats! I bet saints first half too just on gut feeling but I would have put more on it had I seen this.
                                                          Thanks, buddy! Let's keep killin' it!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Capybara
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 08-17-08
                                                            • 11803

                                                            #134
                                                            I've hit eight plays in a row, fellas. Do I really need to put that streak on the line for this shitfest tonight? Ugh.

                                                            I lean Jags, but giving 4.5?? What say you, good people?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • 2daBank
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-26-09
                                                              • 88966

                                                              #135
                                                              nice job homie.. no idea bout tonight, i leaned jags but line starting to look like lambs line last week.. who knows , they both suck, i think titans suck more at the moment but dunno bout laying points with the jags, just dont feel right..
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Capybara
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 08-17-08
                                                                • 11803

                                                                #136
                                                                Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                                nice job homie.. no idea bout tonight, i leaned jags but line starting to look like lambs line last week.. who knows , they both suck, i think titans suck more at the moment but dunno bout laying points with the jags, just dont feel right..
                                                                Thanks, bro. Yeah, same feeling here. Game is just not bettable IMHO except for purely action plays. However, since I have no other plans I'm gonna start watching it, and as soon as I feel comfortable with any play I'll get on it live. Or possibly something for the 2H. If not, I'm disciplined enough to skip a day. :-)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Capybara
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 08-17-08
                                                                  • 11803

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Live bet: Tennessee over 20.5, -115 (1x)

                                                                  Live bet: Tennessee -2, -110 (1x)

                                                                  Looks like I'm a degenerate after all. Tenn looks like they want this one.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Capybara
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 08-17-08
                                                                    • 11803

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Looks like I made too much of that first 10 minutes, huh? Titans go through them like butter and then never see the end zone again. SMH. So much for my big win streak... But time to start a new one!

                                                                    Still up ~40 units, let's get to 45 this weekend. What are people liking for Sat and Sun so far, let's discuss...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Capybara
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 08-17-08
                                                                      • 11803

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Niners -1.5, -109 (1.5x)

                                                                      Chargers/Niners over 40.5, -105 (1x)
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Capybara
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 08-17-08
                                                                        • 11803

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Those two look pretty good. Let's go for a third:

                                                                        SF 2H over 10, +100 (1x)
                                                                        Comment
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