Capy's NFL 2014 (back for a fourth season, for better or worse!)

Capybara · 12-21-14, 12:36 PM

Sorry I'm late this morning, fellas, having technical issues. :-(

Anyway, let's make more money!!

Carolina -5.5, -107 (2x) -- f'n late to the party on this number, I suck.

Atlanta +6.5, -108 (1x)

More to come...

Capybara · 12-21-14, 02:07 PM

Live bet, New England -6.5, -115 (1.5x)

Capybara · 12-21-14, 02:34 PM

Carolina 2H -2.5, -110 (2x)

Capybara · 12-21-14, 02:41 PM

Fukk, I didn't realize Manziel had gotten knocked out. Shit, would not have made that 2H play at all, hope I survive but FUKK.

Capybara · 12-21-14, 02:58 PM

Live bet, Jets +7.5, -115 (1.5x)

Really surprised this was still the live number and had to take it, maybe I can get that middle, plus losing a little faith in my Pats play anyway.

Capybara · 12-21-14, 04:01 PM

Giants/Rams under 43.5, -108 (2x)

Capybara · 12-21-14, 07:45 PM

Sorry, boys, looks like my first losing week in a while. Guess it was coming. I mean Rams give up no TDs ever and then get punked by the Giants. Okay, sure.

Hard to justify the following plays but my gut tells me Zona will be crazy jacked up and that Lindley may surprise. Not sure I advise tailing, lol.

Cards +9.5, -105 (1.5x)

Cards 1H +5.5, -105 (1x)

Capybara · 12-21-14, 08:30 PM

Okay and decided to toss a unit on

Hawks/Cards 1H under 18.5, -105 (1x)

Possible burial for me this weekend. Shoulda listened to JJ and skipped the holidays, haha!

Capybara · 12-22-14, 08:23 PM

So this will be the thread's first losing week in five weeks (and only fifth on the year). Ain't nothing I can do about that now. But making the only play I halfway like tonight to try and get a couple of units back. Either way, we'll get back at em next week.

Broncos/Bengals 1H under 24, -120 (2x)

Capybara · 12-26-14, 04:59 PM

The tally:

Week 1: 4-2, +2 units
Week 2: 5-6, -1 unit
Week 3: 9-2, +9 units
Week 4: 5-4, +1.35 units
Week 5: 8-5, +2.65 units
Week 6: 1-5, -6.18 units
Week 7: 5-1, +4.92 units
Week 8: 3-5, -1.37 units
Week 9: No action
Week 10: 13-5, +4.55 units
Week 11: 8-6, -2.70 units
Week 12: 6-4, +7.60 units
Week 13: 6-3, +9.40 units
Week 14: 4-1-1, +3.90 units
Week 15: 8-1, +7.92 units
Week 16: 4-11, -12.82 units :-(

Total: 89-61-1, +29.22 units

Ugly last weekend, but still up nearly 30 units and plan on getting back to the W's. Let's begin with these two:

Pats 1H -3, -115 (4x)

Starters should be in there for the first half, and they'll be determined to get some solid work in since it will be a while before they're back on the field. Buffalo will also be without their top two defensive players, and it's a little hard to see them super up for this one since it's meaningless and they nearly had a meaningful one.

Falcons -3, -115 (2.5x)

They look mostly back to themselves now that their o-line is healthy and stabilized. Ryan was set to have a great year if that unit had maintained any integrity at all. The Panthers have had moments and have some pieces but just aren't a good enough team to go into Atlanta and get this one in my opinion.

Capybara · 12-28-14, 01:03 PM

Added:

Bears +7, +100 (1x)

Saints -6, -102 (1x)

Capybara · 12-28-14, 01:31 PM

Live bet, Jets/Dolphins under 43.5, -105 (1x)

Capybara · 12-28-14, 04:26 PM

Seahawks -11, -105 (1x)

Niners -6, -108 (1x)

Capybara · 12-28-14, 05:59 PM

Lions 2H -1, -110 (3x)

Seahawks 2H -7, -120 (3x)

Capybara · 12-29-14, 02:13 PM

The tally:

Week 1: 4-2, +2 units
Week 2: 5-6, -1 unit
Week 3: 9-2, +9 units
Week 4: 5-4, +1.35 units
Week 5: 8-5, +2.65 units
Week 6: 1-5, -6.18 units
Week 7: 5-1, +4.92 units
Week 8: 3-5, -1.37 units
Week 9: No action
Week 10: 13-5, +4.55 units
Week 11: 8-6, -2.70 units
Week 12: 6-4, +7.60 units
Week 13: 6-3, +9.40 units
Week 14: 4-1-1, +3.90 units
Week 15: 8-1, +7.92 units
Week 16: 4-11, -12.82 units
Week 17: 3-6, -8.92 units

Total: 92-67-1, +20.30 units

Slumpin', boys.

Somehow lost half my bankroll in the last two weeks of the season, lol.

Well, we're still playing with house money here... my goal is to double this 20 units over the next five weeks and finish back at that 40-unit mark. Let's fukkin do this. As always, happy to hear people's thoughts on the approaching games. Back soon...

Tommy Karate · 12-29-14, 05:47 PM

great reg season capy!

Capybara · 01-03-15, 03:40 PM

Fukk today. I keep going back and forth on both games. Anyone else finding today too annoying to wager comfortably?

Renegades · 01-03-15, 03:49 PM

These games are bad

Renegades · 01-03-15, 03:50 PM

My gut says arz surprises

EvilBettor · 01-03-15, 04:04 PM

Taking Ari +6 and Pit -3. Do it Capy!

Capybara · 01-03-15, 11:58 PM

Originally posted by EvilBettor

Taking Ari +6 and Pit -3. Do it Capy!

Shit, man, hope you went small on those.

I'm perfectly happy to have taken today off. My two leans actually hit (Car spread and Pitt over; did a points parlay with em at least, lol), but there was plenty of wacky shit in those two games, I would not have been happy sweating them out.

For tomorrow, I'm liking Dallas and the over 48 but nothing locked yet. Not sure on the early game.

EvilBettor · 01-04-15, 02:39 AM

Originally posted by Capybara

Shit, man, hope you went small on those.

I'm perfectly happy to have taken today off. My two leans actually hit (Car spread and Pitt over; did a points parlay with em at least, lol), but there was plenty of wacky shit in those two games, I would not have been happy sweating them out.

For tomorrow, I'm liking Dallas and the over 48 but nothing locked yet. Not sure on the early game.

Bad, bad calls in Arizona game, could've covered if it wasn't for refs! I got killed. 2H's as well. I will kill it tomorrow. I won't disclose this time, it seems to always curse it.

Capybara · 01-04-15, 02:45 PM

Bengals/Colts 2H over 24, -115 (1.5x)

Capybara · 01-04-15, 03:03 PM

Live bet, Colts 3Q -0.5, +100 (1x)

Capybara · 01-04-15, 04:27 PM

Dallas -6, -102 (2x)

Detroit/Dallas over 47.5, -108 (2x)

2daBank · 01-04-15, 04:34 PM

i like both as well.. gl to us buddy..

Capybara · 01-04-15, 04:39 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

i like both as well.. gl to us buddy..

Let's get it, bud!

Capybara · 01-10-15, 04:02 PM

Faves today, boys. The cream will rise.

Seahawks -12, -110 (4x)

Pats -7, +105 (4x)

Cowboys/Packers over 51.5, -108 (4x)

Capybara · 01-10-15, 06:14 PM

Patriots 2H -7, -108 (2x)

Capybara · 01-11-15, 02:07 PM

Live bet, Green Bay +3.5, -115 (2x)

Capybara · 01-11-15, 02:18 PM

Live bet, Green Bay +6.5, -105 (1x)

Capybara · 01-11-15, 02:42 PM

Cowboys/Packers 2H over 24.5, -105 (1x)

Capybara · 01-12-15, 12:56 AM

Man, could have been a huge day if that throw to Dez had just been a catch. That was my over and the 2H over right there. Ah well, anyway...

Pats -7, -105 (4x)

Pats aren't going to let a Colts team they've mauled three straight times keep them from a trip to Phoenix. No f'n way. Prob even being overly cautious with the units.

Capybara · 01-18-15, 06:42 PM

Added Pats TT over 29.5, -110 (2x)

Capybara · 01-18-15, 11:30 PM

Originally posted by Capybara

Pats -7, -105 (4x)

Pats aren't going to let a Colts team they've mauled three straight times keep them from a trip to Phoenix. No f'n way. Prob even being overly cautious with the units.

Pats TT over 29.5, -110 (2x)

2-0 today, +6 units. Nice and easy.