imgv94 NFL Week 4 YTD 27-21 +3.82 Units PICKS HERE

**Checkerboard** · 09-26-06, 08:50 PM

I'm Not With You on This One . . .

Hi imgv94, I was with you on CLE hosting BALT and I was with you on MNF taking NO as well. But this one, I don't like.
You're right on when you say OAK is a bad team and I generally follow the rule 'never bet a bad team' so I don't think
I'll be taking OAK but I also don't like CLEV. The Browns haven't been a road favourite in I don't know how long. Not
all of last season anyhow and the Black Hole isn't exactly
the place I'd want to be taking on that kind of a role for the first time in a while. CIN (week 2) was interstate, so this is
really CLE's first road game. Plus OAK had the bye. True
that the bye could work against them as it's not easy to sit
around all week in your hometown listening to your fans and
media trash you but the bye could also potentially work
for them. Shell's a proud man and he looked profoundly unhappy after the MNF opener loss to SD. He probably was
equally dismayed over the BALT result in week 2. Now he's had the bye week to do something about it. Basically I don't
like either team here ~ I think I'll lay off this one. I'll be rooting for the Browns on your behalf though . . . GL! (P.S.
Last year for what it's worth, Dec 18th, CLE @ OAK -3,
CLE 9-7 win.

**imgv94** · 09-26-06, 09:16 PM

I understand what you are saying, and the points you bring up is the reason why I only have 2 units on Cleveland. GL to you this week..

**josebla89** · 09-26-06, 11:20 PM

i am also thinking i'm going to stay away from this game, if i were to bet though it would be on the browns. If the raiders cant win this game though i dont see them winning a single one. Cleveland plays well at home but tend to suck on the road hard to say which team is going to show up

**imgv94** · 09-26-06, 11:31 PM

ADDING:

2* Chicago Bears -3 -120 @ matchbook
I follow Seattle very closely and I am in belief that last weeks win was a fluke, The Giants coming off a miracle emotional win having to travel 3k miles obviously contributed to them coming out flat.. Seattle is not the same team on the road as they are @ Home. Seattle has no running game and playing the Bears will not help at all. The Bears should have control of this game and win by 7 or more.. I wish Alexander was playing, if he was this would of been a 4 unit cause the line would of been PK or ML +110 or something. I would of killed that line.. I love having the better defensive team @ Home playing a team that is struggling running the ball.. Love it...

**imgv94** · 09-26-06, 11:40 PM

ADDING:

1* 5.5pt Teaser +102 @5 Dimes
Falcons -1.5
Bengals -0.5

Alot of value here

**lid73** · 09-27-06, 08:44 AM

IMGV:

Don't like the chargers here. The Ravens are being undervalued after a tight rivalry game. I think they are a live home dog, and I will have some ML action on them.

Also don't like Chicago pick. I love the Bears and will be rooting for them to win, but I think the line should be a pick for this game. Therefore, I will take Seattle plus points. Maybe 3.5 or 4 by game time.

I can't argue with Cleveland. Oakland's new uniforms will feature skirts and a matching purse for them to carry their lipstick in.

An an aside, what criteria do you use ofr your teasers? I had tracked a bunch of numbers and played two teamers for 6 points. (used to be even money at Canbet, don't know if it still is). I ended up making about a 2% profit after 100+ bets. Just not enough of a winner to justify playing.

**Checkerboard** · 09-27-06, 09:06 AM

When the Traffic Gets Noisy, I Shut My Window . . .

Originally posted by imgv94

I understand what you are saying, and the points you bring up is the reason why I only have 2 units on Cleveland. GL to you this week..

juice eats Ws ~ gotta keep my traffic down . . . GL img!

**Checkerboard** · 09-27-06, 09:16 AM

I Just Can't Bring Myself to Lay Brown Road Chalk . . .

Originally posted by josebla89

i am also thinking i'm going to stay away from this game, if i were to bet though it would be on the browns. If the raiders cant win this game though i dont see them winning a single one. Cleveland plays well at home but tend to suck on the road hard to say which team is going to show up

agreed josebla89 . . . this game with CLE's road record and
OAK's state of affairs . . . CLE hasn't laid road chalk in I don't
know how long ~ all of last season for certain and now
favourites in
the Black Hole? I just dunno . . . I wish imgv94 well here.
I hope CLE does it ~ I've always had a soft spot for them with their licorice all-sorts helmets. I try to avoid games that
I perceive as iffy to keep my traffic down. I won't be shocked if CLE wins here but I won't be shocked if OAK wins either . . .

**showme$$$** · 09-27-06, 12:50 PM

Is San Diego game one of those too good to be true? Very tempting to take the pts.

**Peyton2MarvinN06** · 09-27-06, 01:02 PM

Just a few thoughts on some posts I have read...

IND -9 I believe that Colts win this game by 13 or 14. Not a great showing for us last week against Jacksonville, but a solid win against their defense. I think Manning and company will bounce back strong. Yeah the Jets beat Buffalo, but so what?! Also, I believe the OVER is a good bet for this game. Colts will put up a lot of point and probably give up a decent amount as well. We gave up 24 to the Texans, if that is any indication.

Jacksonville -3 Taking the Jags all the way here. Not convinced by Washington's demolition of the lowly Texans last week. I was @ the Colts/Jags game last weekend and their defense is definitely for real this year. Portis will be limited by their run D that is very strong. Brunell won't complete a million passes in a row like he did last week.

I need to win BIG this weekend! Any thoughts on other games are welcomed!

**McBa1n** · 09-27-06, 06:43 PM

I agree with you on both accounts, mostly, Peyton2Marvin
I think Indy's performance last week was more because the Jags played brilliant tactical football... Not them stinking.
The line in the Indy game seems fishy, though. The Jets D has a LOT of heart and will battle. Not to mention, the Jets are a great late-in-the-game ninja-cover the spread team (or have the potential). Indy is going to have to run the ball -and I don't see it against the Jets. They are very well coached.
The Jets, fairly, can't be -9 if the Jags were -7... Even though I like the Jets to stay in the game, that line seems too soft.

Also, I'm on the Jags already (great price at -3). The Skins are not good enough to sustain more than a couple of drives in the game IMO. Who knows with the Skins, though. They are pretty streaky at times. Who knows which team shows up? I still think the Jags can play 'good' and win no matter what.

----
In other games I agree with -
I'm buying up the Bears probably too much between -3 and -3 1/2, depending on price.
I'm also waiting to get in on the Chargers. I'm surprised the line hasn't moved in either direction and neither has the price...Well, at least not as much as I had thought:> Ravens are a hot hot team.

**imgv94** · 09-27-06, 07:12 PM

ADDING:

0.5* 17pt Teaser -120
San Diego Chargers +14½
San Diego Chargers/Baltimore Ravens over 16
Atlanta Falcons +9½
Miami Dolphins +13½
Cincinnati Bengals +11
Jacksonville Jaguars/Washington Redskins under 51
Cleveland Browns +14.5
Green Bay Packers/Philadelphia Eagles under 65

**Gamehendge** · 09-28-06, 12:37 PM

gl this week

**imgv94** · 09-28-06, 05:56 PM

Thank you Gamehedge. Kill the cocksuckers yourself..

**imgv94** · 09-28-06, 06:01 PM

Adding:

2* Sd -2.5 -105

**imgv94** · 09-28-06, 06:06 PM

RECAP ALL PLAYS:

SIDES:

2* Sd -2.5 -105
2*Cleveland Browns -2.5
2* Chicago Bears -3 -120 @ matchbook
1* ARIZ/ATL Under 40.5 -108

PARLAY/TEASER

3* 3 Team 10 point Teaser
Indy +1
Dal +0.5
Phi -1

1* 5.5pt Teaser +102 @5 Dimes
Falcons -1.5
Bengals -0.5

1* Teaser
Dal -2.5
Ariz/Atl Under 47

0.5* 17pt Teaser -120
San Diego Chargers +14½
San Diego Chargers/Baltimore Ravens over 16
Atlanta Falcons +9½
Miami Dolphins +13½
Cincinnati Bengals +11
Jacksonville Jaguars/Washington Redskins under 51
Cleveland Browns +14.5
Green Bay Packers/Philadelphia Eagles under 65
__________________

**imgv94** · 09-28-06, 06:17 PM

ADDING:

1* ARIZ/ATL Under 40.5 -108

**imgv94** · 09-28-06, 06:47 PM

1* Teaser
Dal -2.5
Ariz/Atl Under 47

**bmac** · 09-28-06, 07:22 PM

one over, two dogs, a two birds and a tiger

Jax/Wash: over
saints +7.5
Browns +2.5
Falcons -7
Eagles -11
Bengals -6

your thoughts?

**imgv94** · 09-28-06, 07:29 PM

I see 4-2 my man.. Which one is your favorite?

**bmac** · 09-28-06, 07:42 PM

i am split between the falcons -7 and the over as my favorite.

**bmac** · 09-28-06, 07:43 PM

which two don't you like?

**imgv94** · 09-28-06, 07:45 PM

The ones I don't like...

Jax Over
Eagles -11

**Bulldog** · 09-29-06, 04:27 PM

Hey IMG, I have a question dude...
Im playing an office pool where the SEA @ CHI line is 3.5...
Would you take the Bears even -3.5...
Cause Im leaning Seahawks...
(I, well I think everyone loves +3.5 and hates -3.5)
Thanks for the advice IMG and everyone...

**McBa1n** · 09-29-06, 04:34 PM

If you like Sea, then take Sea.
The worst thing you can do is go against your gut.
You win some and lose some - but in the end, if you do your homework, you will win, bulldog.

BTW, dog, can you call up your boys down in ATL and ask them to lay down against Houston?
Hehe... man, that'd be real funny.

also - I always like your picks, IMG - you always get your money in good.

**Bulldog** · 09-29-06, 04:38 PM

Originally posted by McBa1n

If you like Sea, then take Sea.
The worst thing you can do is go against your gut.
You win some and lose some - but in the end, if you do your homework, you will win, bulldog.

BTW, dog, can you call up your boys down in ATL and ask them to lay down against Houston?
Hehe... man, that'd be real funny.

also - I always like your picks, IMG - you always get your money in good.

Hey **, I wanted to see if IMG and others would take CHI even at -3.5 and also CLE at -3 cause those are the lines I got to chose from...
And about the Braves laying down, I dont think so...
But why in the world would you want your Mets to face HOU instead of STL???

**imgv94** · 09-29-06, 05:01 PM

Originally posted by Bulldog

Hey IMG, I have a question dude...
Im playing an office pool where the SEA @ CHI line is 3.5...
Would you take the Bears even -3.5...
Cause Im leaning Seahawks...
(I, well I think everyone loves +3.5 and hates -3.5)
Thanks for the advice IMG and everyone...

I must say that -3.5 is a shit line. I would still give the bet a 54% chance of winning. GL whatever you do..

If I liked Seattle I would take the ML..

**McBa1n** · 09-29-06, 05:03 PM

lmao I know - the Mutts would be dominated...
But still... It'd be funny to watch all those 'I know everything about baseball' dickwads in StL (apologies to those that do know baseball and cheer for StL - you're in the massive majority) cry...
I know the Braves won't. After seeing the Mutts at Shey got dominated by the Braves the past 13-15 years (The Mutts are 0-20something when I see them play the Braves at Shey --- No shiz). Cox is the best manager to not get any play in history (Love the GM, too, but I can't spell his name - he's probably the best in the game).

ANYHOW - The way I look at lines is this... If I have to give up a half a point - I have to give it up. 90-95% of the time I'm in the clear (either as a winner or loser clear-cut). It's rare that 1/2 point matters in the NFL, in my experience. It's usually 1-2 points that hurts.:>

For the Bears? If you like them, that 1/2 point MOST LIKELY (90%+... to me, that's good as gold, as a bettor/card player) will be meaningless. I'd prefer it be 1/2 point the other way, though, just to be safer...:> But I think you're good.

On the Cleveland line? I think you're at worst a push with that one at -3. I'm seriously considering selling points on the game to get better odds... In that game, I'd almost put everything I own on that 1/2 point not being the difference. It's not going to matter either way.

That's my opinion, though... I am ready to push a LOT on a small edge. In the Bears game, it's a small edge.
In the Cleveland game - you're 60% or better safe.
If you do tie the spread in the Cleveland game - if you're in Vegas, the beer is on me.

**imgv94** · 09-29-06, 05:07 PM

Originally posted by McBa1n

also - I always like your picks, IMG - you always get your money in good.

Let's make that money baby

**HAPPY BOY** · 09-29-06, 05:12 PM

love me Atlanta -7 this week (see my prick picks)
I will also play the following NFL pics
Raiders +2 1/2 Yeah you saw right Raiders
Vikes + 1.5
K.C -7
Love the dirty birds -7

any thoughts on these pics IMGV????

Gl To all

**imgv94** · 09-29-06, 05:13 PM

Why do you have the Raiders? and why do you have only +2.5 ?????? I hope you haven't made that bet yet I would do whatever I can to get +3.. Hit me up...

**HAPPY BOY** · 09-29-06, 05:24 PM

Haven't dropped the doe yet cris & ff gottem at 2.5. u suggest buy 1/2 pt or wait see if it jumps ( i think theyll win out right bro) comming off the bi and changing QB's might be the potion the silver and black need at home to win. Cleveland is a team thats hurting and there offensive cordinator is taking alot of heat. Just think timming is everything and theyll edge out the Brownies at home. Whats your take on Falcons dude??

**imgv94** · 09-29-06, 05:42 PM

I like the Falcons to win in a low scoring game. I really like the Under in that game.. Actually I love the Under in that game.. Never was a big fan of Warner on the road always liked him better when he was @ Home.. Everything I have read mentions that ATL is extremely angry over last weeks debacle. You know they will play 100 times better this week considering no more hostile enviroment and the fact this a must win game.. Falcons 21 Cards 10

**imgv94** · 09-30-06, 09:44 PM

ADDING:

1* Buffalo Bills -1 -103
I am not going to lie to you this is a line movement play.. Public is all over the Vikings in here and rightfully so. On paper the Vikings look like they should be favored but there not.. WHY?? Makes me wonder for sure.. Buffalo recently lost at home and losing 2 in a row @ Home would make them a terrible team. I am taking a chance here.. On paper I like Minnesota but instinct tells me to take the Bills.. GL

imgv94 NFL Week 4 YTD 27-21 +3.82 Units *PICKS HERE*

imgv94 NFL Week 4 YTD 27-21 +3.82 Units PICKS HERE