Why Denver -8 is the right play

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  • Husker36
    SBR MVP
    • 12-02-08
    • 3846

    #1
    Why Denver -8 is the right play
    Public is on San Diego. Public is looking at the scores from the last 2 matchups (golly gee..... Denver lost to the Chargers at home just a few weeks ago.... I'm taking the points! San Diego might win again!) NOT GOING TO HAPPEN GUYS! AT San Diego Denver jumped out to a 21-6 halftime lead and held on to win 28-20. San Diego beat Denver at home 27-20. Short week. Welker was out. Peyton has had 2 weeks to prepare for San Diego. He will be able to pick them apart and once Denver jumps out to a 2 touchdown lead San Diego wont be able to play their "run the ball and keep the ball away from Manning game". Chargers beat a crappy Cin team whos head coach had never even won a playoff game. The final game of the season, a game they NEEDED TO WIN..... the Chargers went to OT against the second string players of KC. Denver is focused and will win this game by 2 tds. The over/under kinda scares me. I'm thinking Denver 35 - San Diego 17-24
  • nj1035
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-19-09
    • 902

    #2
    Windy and cold. Not Peyton's kind of weather.

    I like SD.
    Comment
    • Husker36
      SBR MVP
      • 12-02-08
      • 3846

      #3
      Originally posted by nj1035
      Windy and cold. Not Peyton's kind of weather.

      I like SD.
      December 8th 2013 was one of the coldest games in Denver's history.... Peyton was 39-59 for 397 yards and 4 tds (0 int) against Tennessee in a 51-28 win. 4 days later... the weather warmed up.... 35 degrees.... and Denver lost to San Diego. THIS WEEK THE WEATHER FORCAST IS 54 degrees for Sundays matchup. I don't consider that cold.
      Comment
      • DoubleR90
        SBR Sharp
        • 11-12-11
        • 308

        #4
        So your telling people not to look at past scores but then half your reasoning for why denver crushes is because of san diegos past scores......I don't see any stats or actually substantial information to back up your play besides wes welker was out.

        Its not just about Manning, its about can SD move the ball on Denvers mediocre defense and keep it close. San Diegos win at mile high says they can at least do that even if they don't win. And if they keep it close that's all I care about, I've got SD +17 as the last leg of a teaser and I feel damn good about it.
        Comment
        • Easy-Rider 66
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 02-14-12
          • 36873

          #5
          Have SD +11 in some parlays. Think SD can keep it close against that Denver D. The fact that Denver lost to Balt in Divisional round last year should provide extra motivation, but then again all the pressure is on them. Should be a good game.
          Comment
          • ChrisInTheMist
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 10-03-13
            • 537

            #6
            Originally posted by DoubleR90
            So your telling people not to look at past scores but then half your reasoning for why denver crushes is because of san diegos past scores......I don't see any stats or actually substantial information to back up your play besides wes welker was out.

            Its not just about Manning, its about can SD move the ball on Denvers mediocre defense and keep it close. San Diegos win at mile high says they can at least do that even if they don't win. And if they keep it close that's all I care about, I've got SD +17 as the last leg of a teaser and I feel damn good about it.
            Me too sd is not getting embarrassed here


            Showing Wagers 1 - 1 of 1
            Ticket Accepted Date Risk To Win Status Wager
            1/7/14 7:56am $800.00 $1,576.67 Pending 4 Team Parlay

            Pending 1/12/14 4:40pm NFL Football 117 San Diego Chargers +17½ -345* vs Denver Broncos

            Win 1/7/14 10:15pm ATP Tennis 101 Juan Martin del Potro -650* vs Nicolas Mahut
            1/7/14 8:05am

            Win 1/11/14 4:35pm NFL Football 112 Seattle Seahawks -370* vs New Orleans Saints
            1/8/14 10:45am

            Win 1/8/14 7:00pm College Basketball 748 Virginia -8 -175* vs Wake Forest
            Totals: $800.00 $1,576.67
            Showing Wagers 1 - 1 of 1
            Comment
            • 2daBank
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-26-09
              • 88966

              #7
              Reason number 1 is "public is on sd".???. Let's just forget the fact that not only does it mean jack shit but also find it real hard to believe there arnt a million assholes that fawn over Peyton and are betting donks no matter the number , I've seen tons if threads with post saying things such as "last time welker wasn't healthy", "sd isn't beating the great Peyton twice", ect ect. In fact I see them in your opening post, so are u not the "public"? So not only do those percentages ppl love to pull out of thin air have no relevance on the outcome who's to say how accurate they are anyway? And for last time I really wish that some1 betting a side talking about "public on other side" would explain to me what they think they are?

              Far as actually capping the game unless welker playing defense the reason sd has held donks to their lowest 2 totals of season is cause they keep the ball away from Peyton. That not gonna change as sd is the best in the league in time of possession. Now they gonna limit Peyton's possessions and the pressure will mount on a guy who historically doesn't play as well in the playoffs.. Chargers proved the 1st meeting even if they do get down they will still continue to play keep away and bleed the clock, no idea what u have seen to assume if sd gets down they will change their approach as they have continually proven otherwise..,that alone makes it tough to cover a large number. Donks probably win but I'd say chargers have a better shot at winning then den does of covering..

              Oh and 2 weeks to prepare really isn't that big of a advantage when u playing a div opponent for the 3rd time IMO..
              Comment
              • Husker36
                SBR MVP
                • 12-02-08
                • 3846

                #8
                Originally posted by DoubleR90
                , I've got SD +17 as the last leg of a teaser and I feel damn good about it.
                .
                I think +17 is a safe bet. Denver wins this game.... guaranteed. Denver, the #1 offense in the NFL, has all of their weapons ready and healthy in this game. San Diegos pass defense ranked 29th in the league. Denvers run D ranked 7th (most of that is probably more of teams having to stop running after falling so far behind). Manning and company won by 8 on the road. They will cover this at home. I'm telling you all.... don't worry about the Thursday night loss. (Short week and no Welker) Manning has had 2 weeks to watch the game film from that game over and over. He will pick that 29th ranked pass D apart.
                Comment
                • nj1035
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 11-19-09
                  • 902

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Husker36
                  December 8th 2013 was one of the coldest games in Denver's history.... Peyton was 39-59 for 397 yards and 4 tds (0 int) against Tennessee in a 51-28 win. 4 days later... the weather warmed up.... 35 degrees.... and Denver lost to San Diego. THIS WEEK THE WEATHER FORCAST IS 54 degrees for Sundays matchup. I don't consider that cold.
                  The weather is forecast for 37 degrees (29 windchill) with 20 mph winds at game time. If you can't read a weather report I'm not sure you should be gambling.
                  Comment
                  • Husker36
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-02-08
                    • 3846

                    #10
                    Originally posted by nj1035
                    The weather is forecast for 37 degrees (29 windchill) with 20 mph winds at game time. If you can't read a weather report I'm not sure you should be gambling.
                    That is not windy nor cold.
                    Comment
                    • TiredPro
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 01-17-12
                      • 672

                      #11
                      Rivers is due for one of those games where he single-handily loses the game for the Chargers. He plays on emotion and calm heads prevail in this game. I'm counting on at least two interceptions from him and I've got Denver winning 38-17.
                      Comment
                      • navyblue81
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-29-13
                        • 4143

                        #12
                        Originally posted by nj1035
                        The weather is forecast for 37 degrees (29 windchill) with 20 mph winds at game time. If you can't read a weather report I'm not sure you should be gambling.
                        If that's the weather forecast, that's not that bad. Hell, I was in Tampa last week and it was 37 in the afternoon there. Plus Peyton is not someone who throws the long ball. He's more dink-and-dunk, which eliminates the wind factor.
                        Comment
                        • greypimps
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-13-13
                          • 2175

                          #13
                          I hope river got his diapers on tbis game. I need denver to win and cover. You guys ever seen that gay looking river guy try to run? Its like he got a wet diaper on.
                          Comment
                          • nj1035
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 11-19-09
                            • 902

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Husker36
                            That is not windy nor cold.
                            20mph is pretty windy. And that's what you should be paying attention to, more than the cold.
                            Comment
                            • juanitodelfuego
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 09-12-09
                              • 514

                              #15
                              Originally posted by TiredPro
                              Rivers is due for one of those games where he single-handily loses the game for the Chargers. He plays on emotion and calm heads prevail in this game. I'm counting on at least two interceptions from him and I've got Denver winning 38-17.
                              That is what is on my mind. Has he had any classic meltdowns this year?
                              Comment
                              • Walulu
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-20-10
                                • 1123

                                #16
                                I wouldn't be counting on a Rivers meltdown. Based on Banks comments and watching first two games SD did not need him to be a hero to keep it close or win before. Today will be no different as they'll look to do what they do and that is ball control not Rivers gambling on big plays.
                                Comment
                                • ebelisle22
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-27-11
                                  • 4726

                                  #17
                                  Public is not on sd dumbfukk
                                  Comment
                                  • SoonerC
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 12-03-11
                                    • 437

                                    #18
                                    I'm with you, Denver wins this game by 13-17 points.
                                    Comment
                                    • kurt_06518
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 09-24-10
                                      • 402

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Husker36
                                      Public is on San Diego. Public is looking at the scores from the last 2 matchups (golly gee..... Denver lost to the Chargers at home just a few weeks ago.... I'm taking the points! San Diego might win again!) NOT GOING TO HAPPEN GUYS! AT San Diego Denver jumped out to a 21-6 halftime lead and held on to win 28-20. San Diego beat Denver at home 27-20. Short week. Welker was out. Peyton has had 2 weeks to prepare for San Diego. He will be able to pick them apart and once Denver jumps out to a 2 touchdown lead San Diego wont be able to play their "run the ball and keep the ball away from Manning game". Chargers beat a crappy Cin team whos head coach had never even won a playoff game. The final game of the season, a game they NEEDED TO WIN..... the Chargers went to OT against the second string players of KC. Denver is focused and will win this game by 2 tds. The over/under kinda scares me. I'm thinking Denver 35 - San Diego 17-24


                                      Public is on san diego? Sounds like wishful thinking or ur sources r off cause 70% is on denver
                                      Comment
                                      • suicidekings
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 03-23-09
                                        • 9962

                                        #20
                                        Look at how many games San Diego has lost by 8+ points this season... They don't get blown out. Denver might win, but laying 8 is foolish.
                                        Comment
                                        • CaDDyy
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 11-30-08
                                          • 407

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by ebelisle22
                                          Public is not on sd dumbfukk
                                          is this real life
                                          Comment
                                          • OTL
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-08-10
                                            • 2433

                                            #22
                                            Well somebodys on SD, cause the ML and +10 got tagged down in a hurry. BTW, Chris Berman has the Chargers winning SU, and this guy is 15-1 with his NFL playoff picks dating back 2 years.

                                            I want to see which Manning and Rivers show up before I wager anything, so Ill be watching and live betting if I lay anything on this.
                                            Comment
                                            • SoonerC
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 12-03-11
                                              • 437

                                              #23
                                              Manning is just not going to be stopped today, it's not happening.
                                              Comment
                                              • kurt_06518
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 09-24-10
                                                • 402

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by OTL
                                                Well somebodys on SD, cause the ML and +10 got tagged down in a hurry. BTW, Chris Berman has the Chargers winning SU, and this guy is 15-1 with his NFL playoff picks dating back 2 years.

                                                I want to see which Manning and Rivers show up before I wager anything, so Ill be watching and live betting if I lay anything on this.
                                                boring, grow some balls and make a fuuckin bet. there are only 4 nfl games left, why wait on anything, stop being such a pussy
                                                Comment
                                                • OTL
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-08-10
                                                  • 2433

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by kurt_06518
                                                  boring, grow some balls and make a fuuckin bet. there are only 4 nfl games left, why wait on anything, stop being such a pussy
                                                  Im very content to sit on the sidelines if I cant find an edge. I dont need action on every game.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • SoonerC
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 12-03-11
                                                    • 437

                                                    #26
                                                    People getting ready to see what a week off means for veterans like the Broncos have. Broncos win by 2 td.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ChrisInTheMist
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 10-03-13
                                                      • 537

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by ChrisInTheMist
                                                      Me too sd is not getting embarrassed here


                                                      Showing Wagers 1 - 1 of 1
                                                      Ticket Accepted Date Risk To Win Status Wager
                                                      1/7/14 7:56am $800.00 $1,576.67 Pending 4 Team Parlay

                                                      Pending 1/12/14 4:40pm NFL Football 117 San Diego Chargers +17½ -345* vs Denver Broncos

                                                      Win 1/7/14 10:15pm ATP Tennis 101 Juan Martin del Potro -650* vs Nicolas Mahut
                                                      1/7/14 8:05am

                                                      Win 1/11/14 4:35pm NFL Football 112 Seattle Seahawks -370* vs New Orleans Saints
                                                      1/8/14 10:45am

                                                      Win 1/8/14 7:00pm College Basketball 748 Virginia -8 -175* vs Wake Forest
                                                      Totals: $800.00 $1,576.67
                                                      Showing Wagers 1 - 1 of 1
                                                      .
                                                      Comment
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