Andrew Luck will have to step it up because the team isn’t getting much from RB Trent Richardson (3.2 yards per carry, one TD). Indy takes care of the ball, tied with Tennessee for the fewest turnovers with five.The key for the Colts will be their secondary, and a big member of that unit looks to be making his return.The Colts secondary has talked since the off season about being one of the league’s best. My SBR members here are some great stats: Indianapolis owns the league’s fifth best passing defense, allowing just 205.7 yards per game, but its run defense has been steamrolled all season, surrendering 132.0 rushing YPG, which is the second-most in the league. Indy has also shined on third-down defense (35.5%, 7th-best in NFL), which is a big reason it ranks fifth in the league in scoring defense (16.3 PPG allowed). The problem for the Colts is they now face a Denver offense leads the NFL in total offense (476 YPG), passing offense (361 YPG), scoring offense (44.2 PPG), red-zone efficiency (82.1%) and third-down conversion rate (57.5%). They will certainly have their work cut out for them in this one however they will win at home or decided by field goal. Manning, who’s fired 22 TD passes in his first six games. Manning will face a strong defense[ the Colts allow just 16.3 points]. The Denver D draws a huge lift from the return of All-Pro LB Von Miller from a six-game drug suspension.On paper my SBR members, it looks like Manning draws a much tougher matchup vs. the No. 5 pass defense, while Luck faces No. 32. The Colts, however, haven't faced a veteran passer of Manning's ilk. It's true the Broncos have been giving up chunks of yards and points, but Von Miller returns just in time to get in Luck's face. My Prediction: Colts Win 34-31 Colts +6 1/2
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