Why are PACKERS favored @ BALT?

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  • ezmoney
    SBR MVP
    • 09-26-09
    • 1564

    #1
    Why are PACKERS favored @ BALT?
    Line opened @ GB-3 and 1/2, now down to 3, 2 and 1/2, and even 1 at some books.
    Didn't RAVENS win Superbowl last Feb? Isn't Clay Matthews out this game?
    I was all over GB last Sun when they demolished Det@ HOME, (my TOP play) but don't trust the Pack on the ROAD as a favorite.

    EZ

  • OTL
    SBR MVP
    • 03-08-10
    • 2433

    #2
    Because GB is and always will be a huge public favourite, and Baltimore is not quite the same team that won the Superbowl last season. I don't trust the Pack on the road either....
    Comment
    • packer4
      SBR MVP
      • 09-16-13
      • 1480

      #3
      Cause they are a better team they will win
      Comment
      • 2daBank
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-26-09
        • 88966

        #4
        Originally posted by packer4
        Cause they are a better team they will win
        you know your "guy" gonna be on them right?
        Comment
        • slacker00
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-06-05
          • 12262

          #5
          Not only is Clay Matthews out, but Brad Jones is out and so is his backup Robert Francois. GB doesn't have the LB depth they've enjoyed in years past with the departure of guys like Bishop, Walden, Zombo, DJ Smith, Moses, etc last offseason. Jamari Lattimore is next up, but to this point in his career he's been purely a special teams guy, this will be his first ever start at LB in his 3 year career.
          Comment
          • 2daBank
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-26-09
            • 88966

            #6
            balty hasnt gotten much respect this yr, they were home dogs to hou as well.. .
            Comment
            • blankoblanco
              SBR MVP
              • 11-18-11
              • 3507

              #7
              GB have lost both their road games vs competitive teams so far, this will be a 3rd, yet they are favored? The Packers' 2 HOME wins vs Redskins and a Lions team missing their best player are practically irrelevent to this match-up. Ravens are a very good home team and the Packers don't even have a remotely impressive win yet. You're right to wonder why GB is favored

              Getting 3 pts on Balt here was a gift if you were able to grab it in time. It was the one game on the board that jumped out at me immediately
              Comment
              • Big Bear
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 11-01-11
                • 43253

                #8
                Well gueys let me say this and tell me if yall agree

                i would say the public has had a pretty good start to the season
                in NFL and in college


                anyone else think this a good weekend to fade the public?
                Comment
                • GenosPicks
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 08-24-11
                  • 939

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Big Bear
                  Well gueys let me say this and tell me if yall agree

                  i would say the public has had a pretty good start to the season
                  in NFL and in college


                  anyone else think this a good weekend to fade the public?
                  My book/buddy says he's been getting killed so this is probably a good a week as any.

                  Butas for Green Bay... I think Rogers is due for one of his blow it up games. Of course maybe I'm saying that because i own him in two FF leagues. GO PACK GO!!!
                  Comment
                  • mikeya2k
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-12-13
                    • 2719

                    #10
                    Originally posted by 2daBank
                    balty hasnt gotten much respect this yr, they were home dogs to hou as well.. .
                    That was when everyone, books included, overvalued Houston...

                    Dont be fooled guys. Arod will get the first road win of the year against the defending super bowl champions.

                    Ravens are terrible team this year.
                    Comment
                    • 2daBank
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-26-09
                      • 88966

                      #11
                      Originally posted by mikeya2k
                      That was when everyone, books included, overvalued Houston...

                      Dont be fooled guys. Arod will get the first road win of the year against the defending super bowl champions.

                      Ravens are terrible team this year.
                      ravens are not terrible..you know what is terrible? gb pass protection, and you know what balty is very good at? rushing the passer..
                      Comment
                      • 2daBank
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-26-09
                        • 88966

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Big Bear
                        Well gueys let me say this and tell me if yall agree

                        i would say the public has had a pretty good start to the season
                        in NFL and in college


                        anyone else think this a good weekend to fade the public?
                        what the hell you talking bout? books have been raping ppl in the nfl all year and trying not to laugh about it..
                        Comment
                        • Big Bear
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 11-01-11
                          • 43253

                          #13
                          Originally posted by 2daBank
                          ravens are not terrible..you know what is terrible? gb pass protection, and you know what balty is very good at? rushing the passer..
                          Green bay still hasnt improved their offensive line?

                          it seems like every year i hear they have a terrible O-line.

                          The Ravens do always play better at home.
                          Comment
                          • BMoreBird
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 10-26-12
                            • 889

                            #14
                            i usually never bet the ravens but vs houston and in this case, cant lay off. does anyone know what baltimores record in the past few years is ats as a dog or straight up winning as a dog? specifically at home... but any info im curious
                            Comment
                            • Big Bear
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 11-01-11
                              • 43253

                              #15
                              Originally posted by 2daBank
                              what the hell you talking bout? books have been raping ppl in the nfl all year and trying not to laugh about it..
                              A ton of favorites have been cashing this year. Both College and Pro
                              Comment
                              • Big Bear
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 11-01-11
                                • 43253

                                #16
                                Originally posted by BMoreBird
                                i usually never bet the ravens but vs houston and in this case, cant lay off. does anyone know what baltimores record in the past few years is ats as a dog or straight up winning as a dog? specifically at home... but any info im curious
                                nope but i know they win / cover at a high clip.

                                Except last year at home vs Broncos they got blown out
                                Comment
                                • 2daBank
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-26-09
                                  • 88966

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Big Bear
                                  Green bay still hasnt improved their offensive line?

                                  it seems like every year i hear they have a terrible O-line.

                                  The Ravens do always play better at home.
                                  they can run block, protect the edge on the pass rush not so much...dont think they gonna have a lot of success trying to pound lacy against balt tho..i dunno, tough gm.. balty as home dogs is always appealing tho...
                                  Comment
                                  • 2daBank
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-26-09
                                    • 88966

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Big Bear
                                    A ton of favorites have been cashing this year. Both College and Pro
                                    dude,,books having one of their biggest years in nfl in a long time..favs and dogs cash each week, all depends which ones..college hell if i know, seems like their teams every year that everyone wins with, doesnt seem to be putting books out of business..
                                    Comment
                                    • DarkNite
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 10-12-09
                                      • 5023

                                      #19
                                      Balty + 3 is my play so far.
                                      Comment
                                      • slacker00
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 10-06-05
                                        • 12262

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by mikeya2k
                                        Ravens are terrible team this year.
                                        This is idiotic. Ravens are 3-2 with one loss @DEN who nobody is beating right now and a hiccup @BUF with Flacco's 5 picks. Flacco should have no trouble at home against one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL especially with GB's #1 and ONLY legitimate pass rusher in street clothes.
                                        Comment
                                        • mikeya2k
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-12-13
                                          • 2719

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by 2daBank
                                          what the hell you talking bout? books have been raping ppl in the nfl all year and trying not to laugh about it..
                                          Comment
                                          • mikeya2k
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-12-13
                                            • 2719

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by slacker00
                                            This is idiotic. Ravens are 3-2 with one loss @DEN who nobody is beating right now and a hiccup @BUF with Flacco's 5 picks. Flacco should have no trouble at home against one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL especially with GB's #1 and ONLY legitimate pass rusher in street clothes.
                                            I do not think Ravens are a good team this year. The Texans are obviously a terrible team, so that win holds no merit.......I watched that game because I backed Texans, and Ravens had like 100 yards of offense going into the 4th Q.....They SQUEEKED by cleveland at home, who does have a good defense.

                                            Green Bay's defense is defiently weak, but they looked solid off the bye last week.

                                            mabye the over is the play here, or GBAY's TT.....but I do not see Rodgers & Co. putting up less than 28 on the Ravens.
                                            Comment
                                            • 2daBank
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-26-09
                                              • 88966

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by mikeya2k
                                              I do not think Ravens are a good team this year. The Texans are obviously a terrible team, so that win holds no merit.......I watched that game because I backed Texans, and Ravens had like 100 yards of offense going into the 4th Q.....They SQUEEKED by cleveland at home, who does have a good defense.

                                              Green Bay's defense is defiently weak, but they looked solid off the bye last week.

                                              mabye the over is the play here, or GBAY's TT.....but I do not see Rodgers & Co. putting up less than 28 on the Ravens.
                                              you really selling balty d short,,i dont think there any way in hell pack score 28 on them..low 20s more likely, right about where they would have been if cincy offense hadnt handed them several scores..balty at home with little bit of crap weather thrown in isnt giving up 4 tds imo..pack d didnt have as much to do with det not scoring as lions own ineptitude on the road and that one guy who didnt play...
                                              Comment
                                              • ontherightside
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 10-05-13
                                                • 30

                                                #24
                                                Rogers could spend a lot of time on his back in this one. I always have a hard time going against the PACK and I loved them last week against a banged up Lions. Baltimore could be a play this week. Very tough card this week.
                                                Comment
                                                • BMoreBird
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 10-26-12
                                                  • 889

                                                  #25
                                                  and lets not forget... clevelands defense is no joke. joe hayden and barkevious mingo are both huge playmakers. any win against a division team is a good win. squeak by or not. they held cincy to 6 points. 6!!! the ravens defense just held miami to 22 rushing yards THE WHOLE GAME on the road. new players... bmore defense starting to gel.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • slacker00
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 10-06-05
                                                    • 12262

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by mikeya2k
                                                    I do not think Ravens are a good team this year. The Texans are obviously a terrible team, so that win holds no merit.......I watched that game because I backed Texans, and Ravens had like 100 yards of offense going into the 4th Q.....They SQUEEKED by cleveland at home, who does have a good defense.

                                                    Green Bay's defense is defiently weak, but they looked solid off the bye last week.

                                                    mabye the over is the play here, or GBAY's TT.....but I do not see Rodgers & Co. putting up less than 28 on the Ravens.
                                                    I agree the over looks pretty good with GB's already weak D missing key players now as well, Ravens should be able to run up the score with Rodgers airing it out trying to keep up. I wouldn't put too much stock in the GB D "looking solid" last week with Megatron in street clothes. CLE(3-2), HOU(2-3) & MIA(3-2) are all quality wins for BAL, HOU will bounce back after the brutal BAL-SEA-SF losses to these very good teams.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • wizard1183
                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                      • 09-26-13
                                                      • 37

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by BMoreBird
                                                      i usually never bet the ravens but vs houston and in this case, cant lay off. does anyone know what baltimores record in the past few years is ats as a dog or straight up winning as a dog? specifically at home... but any info im curious
                                                      SU as a Home Dog since 2007 they're 4-6
                                                      ATS they're 5-5
                                                      O/U they're 5-4-1
                                                      Not good to look at here as a great trend but I'm leaning balty
                                                      Comment
                                                      • packer4
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 09-16-13
                                                        • 1480

                                                        #28
                                                        Yeah your probably right banker I'm not even gonna look at that game I'm taking Packers no matter what GO PACK GO
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 2daBank
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-26-09
                                                          • 88966

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by packer4
                                                          Yeah your probably right banker I'm not even gonna look at that game I'm taking Packers no matter what GO PACK GO
                                                          lol..ok but 2 to 1 says your "guy" loves pack! they might win, i dunno, like i said tough gm, but for me it either balty ml dogs at home or nothing..
                                                          Comment
                                                          • packer4
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 09-16-13
                                                            • 1480

                                                            #30
                                                            I love home dogs also banker in the NFL I guess I'm betting with my heart on this one that's probably not a good thing LOL
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Itsamazing777
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 11-14-12
                                                              • 12602

                                                              #31
                                                              Umm. You guys know that the packers usually beat the ravens
                                                              Comment
                                                              • wildcorndog
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-30-10
                                                                • 1456

                                                                #32
                                                                Modern day football is dominated by the QB position. Ask yourself who has the better QB and you will find the answer my son.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • blankoblanco
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-18-11
                                                                  • 3507

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by wildcorndog
                                                                  Modern day football is dominated by the QB position. Ask yourself who has the better QB and you will find the answer my son.
                                                                  I guess Andy Dalton must be better than Aaron Rodgers by your reasoning. No, of course he's not, but the Packers still lost that game because they weren't at home
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • slacker00
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 10-06-05
                                                                    • 12262

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Itsamazing777
                                                                    Umm. You guys know that the packers usually beat the ravens
                                                                    Packers @ Ravens has happened exactly once, it was in 2005. Result: Ravens 48 Packers 3.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • wildcorndog
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-30-10
                                                                      • 1456

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I didn't say the better QB always wins;however, they are usually favored to win my son.
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