About a 59% win rate

[doubledime]

First of all I can not take credit for this,but I did read it and it really makes logical sense, so I thought I would post the games when they meet the criteria.

The Criteria: If an NFL team is out gained by 250 yards or more, the next week bet the

1. under
2. the team
3. the team under of the team they are playing.

This has hit almost 59% over the years, or so says the the article I read. The logic is that a team beaten so bad on defense, has a tendency to stress defense in the next week's practice sessions. It may only happen a hand full of times a season, so I thought I would post them, when a team qualifies.

Last week the Giants got out gained by 252 yards so the plays this week are:

NYG +4
NYG/KC under 44
KC team total under 24

That's it, good luck
DD

[Dtown66]

Will keep an eye on it...

[Renegades]

This is a typical contrarian angle. I like it. Thanks for sharing

[doubledime]

It's been a couple of weeks since the criteria of being out gained by 250 or more total yards has happened. Last week there was still no team out gained by 250 or more yards, however 2 teams were were out gained by over 200 yards so we are going to use 200 yards as our benchmark. I went back 3 years and noticed it did not significantly change the winning percentage. It dropped to approximately 57.5%. This week we have 2 teams that qualify (out gained by over 200 yards)

Dallas +2.5
Dallas/Philly under 55.5
Philly under 29 TT

St. Louis +7.5
St. Louis/Carolina under 42
Carolina under 24.5 TT

YTD 1-2

Good luck

[pokernut9999]

Have to be careful what you read or hear on stats , always check for accuracy.

Just heard on tv a stat where Dallas games with a total of 46 or higher have gone under 8 of 9 times last 3 years.

They have had 3 games go over this year alone with totals 46 or higher.

[SoonerC]

The Rams were outgained by that much but they won the game by 25 points. Sorry, fluke stats don't work.

[doubledime]

Sunday November 3

One qualifying game:

Minnesota +10
Minn/Dallas under 50
Dallas TT under 30.5

4-5 YTD

Good luck

[doubledime]

Sunday November 17

Two weeks ago 2-0-1

Last week no qualifying plays.

One qualifying game today:

Atlanta +2
Atl/TB under 44
TB under TT 22.5

6-5-1 YTD

Good luck