Bridgejumper ATS system - Year 22 at 60%

[Grinder12000]

For how many games we continue the chase?

This is a 42 game chase! I would not start this with less then 5000 units!

LOL - that actually made me LOL this is a straight boring ATS system, one game at a time.

BTW - ever been sick with a high fever and you have this nightmarish moment when everything is going bad but you don't know why? People moving too fast, bed spinning, sweats.

THAT my friends, was like watching the Packer game yesterday if you bleed green and gold.

[Grinder12000]

Official Plays . . . almost!

Three solid "C" plays which is almost like tossing a coin and one real fuzzy "B" play that I'm still waiting to get a solid line which I THINK will happen.

Here is how to read this - Bridgejumper is broken up into sections Away Dogs 3.5 to 7 Home dogs 7.5 to 10 and so forth. The numbers posted are the stats INSIDE that part of the system. I'll also have some other stats along the way but just for giggles.

I ONLY mention the team to PLAY!!!

"C"
Houston HD+3 (58-47 55.24% last year 3-4)
Jacksonville HD+8ish (37-27 57.81% last year 0-2)
NY Giants AD+4.5 (91-75 54.82% last year 10-7)

PERHAPS a "B" game

Philadelphia AD+10.5 (58-32 64.44% last year 5-1) ** if this drops below 10.5 NO PLAY

Overall week 1 of BJ is 64%

and now you understand why it's called Bridgejumper! You will either look like a genius or a complete fool.

And I won't be home until Wednesday next week - will have picks later Wednesday night - leaving to Door County Wisconsin (a place that resembles Maine - the thumb of Wisconsin USA).

I have a new Fine Art website (with man cave art) RodMelotte.com

OH - remember - I personally put one unit on "C" 3 units on "B" and 5 units on "A" just sayin!

[Afterimage]

Thanks so much for posting Rod. Psyched for another crazy ride! Try not to freeze your brain way up in the thumb.

[Grinder12000]

Chris - how long ago was the SHGoddess forum, 20 years? That was when she was touting the NBA and killing it. We had a 1-900 number, what a joke, we would hit 60% and get charge backs because people refused to play the plays!

[Afterimage]

I remember it being around 2000-2001, back when I was living in California. Now I live in Florida, 900 numbers are gone, and people still think 60% isn't impressive.

Liking Philly in teasers this week. Good luck to all!

[Grinder12000]

Take 10,000 monkeys and one of them will hit 75% and be king for one season and say it's easy.

[Grinder12000]

Just a note - San Fransisco would have been a EASY pick if they were playing almost anybody but the Rams.

[Not-A-Kid]

Looking forward to seeing how this goes.

[Grinder12000]

Looking forward to seeing how this goes.

Me too. ALL systems crash and burn, normally it takes a good system 3 to 4 years before something changes in the game. So every year I say THIS IS THE YEAR! It's like walking a tightrope. or that feeling when you are leaning back in a chair and you go that 1/2 inch too far but catch yourself.

DO I have confidence? yea - do I like playing these games - hell no.

[calebepley93]

Eagles looks like it will end up being a B play, no? Forgive my ignorance, but shouldn't a win percentage of 55 be well above the break-even point of 52%? Assuming you're using final lines of -110

[Grinder12000]

Yes eagles are a play and yes to the percentage.

I am so far north we almost get no TV here. LOL

wow. Not a great 2nd half for the eagles. What I fear is we will be betting the eagles a lot in the near future.

nothing better then playing a team breaking records.

[Grinder12000]

I'm going over the games as I type - ALMOST am "A" game with the NY Giants but . . . . . not quite. No play. Lots of games between two hot teams or two cold teams.

I had to go back to makes sure I didn't mistype the Panthers from 2 weeks ago!!

"C" (294-233 = 44.79%)
Carolina HD+2 (58-48 = 54.72% inside system)
Oakland HD +4 ( 93-75 = 55.36% inside system)
Dallas HD+7.5 (37-28 = 56.92, 0-1 this year - Denver's year to penetrate me over)

That's it - sorry - no good ones On a side note I hop most of you went 0-3-1 - for the record 0-4 which considering that the 1st week had a record of 38-18 is hopefully an anomaly!

BTW - this is what I wanted to do with last weeks picks - this is a fishboil. A tradition in Door County Wisconsin. Whitefish is boiled for about 10 minutes - 3 pounds of salt is added which releases oil and other fishy things which rises to the top - then they call for a boil over and fuel oil is poured onto the fire which boils over the bad water leaving amazing tasting fish, potatoes and onions.

RodMelotte.com

[tien2262]

Lol so im a little confused. After all this, u went 0-4 posted on ur system correct??

Please correct me if im wrong

[Grinder12000]

well - personally I went 1-3-1 with a Houston push

but 0-4 is correct! When I post plays those are the lines I got and play - lines can move which will take plays away or add plays.

I'm not sure how to handle the W/L for posting. For my records I use the lines I get on Wednesdays which are fair lines that everybody can get, but I know how anal people are with records so . . . .

do I use the closing line which in some cases would make SOME games a no play?

Do I use the line when I post the picks?

Wednesday line 1-3-1
Closing line 0-4

[mikew]

Carolina HD+2 (58-48 = 54.72% inside system)

carolina is away this week at arizona

do I use the closing line which in some cases would make SOME games a no play?

Do I use the line when I post the picks?

i say you just post the lines when you post your picks. and like the eagles last week, if a line is close that could affect the bet, just mention it

for example, carolina is now a PK or -1 at some places. however i dont think they were ever +2. do you mean to use arizona instead?

[Grinder12000]

Correct - Wrong team

"C" (294-233 = 44.79%)
Arizona HD+1.5 (58-48 = 54.72% inside system)
Oakland HD +4 ( 93-75 = 55.36% inside system)
Dallas HD+7.5 (37-28 = 56.92, 0-1 this year - Denver's year to penetrate me over)

I picked Arizona +2 Wednesday. After driving 300 miles I was in a hurry! I'll go with +1.5 for the stats.


I'm using 5Dimes and Bovada for lines.

[mikew]

"C" (294-233 = 44.79%)

you have a winning record, yet < 50 % ?

[Grinder12000]

LOL damn it 55.79 thick fingers! "C" (294-233 = 55.79%) 55 not 44

The faster I go the more behinder I get

A	61	16	79.22%
B	186	127	59.42%
C	294	233	55.79%
D	67	73	47.86%

[hitman09]

Azizona +2.5, Oatland +4, and Dalat +8 are only teams that you play this WEEK 5 thus far. No more picks?

[hitman09]

Please post if it was final card.

[Grinder12000]

Sorry. Too late but yea. I never add games. Normally Wednesday lines. I won't play the moving target games

[Grinder12000]

3-0 this week

Back to 50% 3-3

Looks like a "B" game next week and can you believe the Denver Line -28. You gotta believe I'm all over Jacksonville +28.

I'll have the picks by Wednesday!

[Afterimage]

I love it! The more I hate the games the better we do. I despised all three picks! Well done Grinder! Psyched for next week.

[Grinder12000]

I despised all three picks!

LOL well put! Me too! Missed the "B" pick in week 1 which I'm disappointed in but otherwise all systems go. We should be in the good part of the season - 10 weeks

Looks like 3 games - I'll have official later but you can pretty much count on playing Jax this week . . . unless the spread drops 20 points!



MelottePhotoImagery.com

[Grinder12000]

Official Plays 10/9/13

2013 Record 3-3
22 year "C" record (361-291 = 55.37%)* (3-2 this year) *corrected some minor cell errors
22 year "B" record (119-69 = 63.30%) (0-1 this year)
22 year "A" record (61-16 = 79.22%)

Bridgejumper is broken down into 13 smaller categories

"B" Jacksonville AD+26.5 (inside system 28-18 = 60.87%)
"C" New England HF-2.5 (inside system 42-35 = 54.55%)
"C" Pittsburgh AD+3 (inside system 40-29 56.02%) Still good if +2.5
"C" San Diego HD+1.5 (inside system 58-48 54.72%)

NOTE - home teams are 3-1 Away 0-2

----------------------------
Check out my photography
MelottePhotoImagery.com :-)

[Coach Potato]

I dunno man. kinda scared to put a play on the jags lol

[SourCereal]

Official Plays 10/9/13

2013 Record 3-3
22 year "C" record (361-291 = 55.37%)* (3-2 this year) *corrected some minor cell errors
22 year "B" record (119-69 = 63.30%) (0-1 this year)
22 year "A" record (61-16 = 79.22%)

Bridgejumper is broken down into 13 smaller categories

"B" Jacksonville AD+26.5 (inside system 28-18 = 60.87%)
"C" New England HF-2.5 (inside system 42-35 = 54.55%)
"C" Pittsburgh AD+3 (inside system 40-29 56.02%) Still good if +2.5
"C" San Diego HD+1.5 (inside system 58-48 54.72%)

What does "AD" and "HF" mean?

[mikew]

away dog
home fav

[hitman09]

wednesday...........

[boonie26]

Question for Grinder12000

Grinder 12000,

Not taking the NY Giants or Washington? Would have thought they might have fit your criteria.

Thanks,
Boonie26

[Grinder12000]

Good catch. Washington is a play. Giants are not. Chicago has lost 2 in a row which is not a criteria but oddly the pointspread is too high. Seems the linemakers know the giants suck and have boosted the spread enough to make it a tempting bet.....which is not a good thing.

Ill put up the new plays when I get to the real computer.

TY


rodmelotte.com

[Grinder12000]

UPDATE - added Washington

"B" Jacksonville AD+26.5 (inside system 28-18 = 60.87%)
"C" New England HF-2.5 (inside system 42-35 = 54.55%)
"C" Pittsburgh AD+3 (inside system 40-29 56.02%) Still good if +2.5
"C" San Diego HD+1.5 (inside system 58-48 54.72%)
"C" Washington AD+6 (inside system 91-76 54.49%)

[CrazyCarl]

I won't be playing this system but just kind of curious, why are you posting the records as the total of all years? Posting them once makes sense but for the most part no one cares about 344-315 or whatever, at least I don't think so.. just the current year counts.

Good luck Grinder

[Grinder12000]

Well, because for 20 plus years on various forums no one has ever complained. I did not know it irritated anybody. Just a running total. It's something I'm proud of. I have to think that in the long run it's one of the best, if not the best NFL systems in America. And it's free.

[CrazyCarl]

It probably doesn't bother anybody. Just stopped by to check out what you're up to and say good luck mostly, but that point intrigued me.