Bread's Super Bowl Props

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  • Bread
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-16-08
    • 23726

    #1
    Bread's Super Bowl Props


    In about a week, Super Bowl XLIII will be played here in my hometown of Tampa. That means that as you read this, there is an influx of has-beens and wanna-be’s and retired athletes and hip hop mumblers invading the city to show their face at whatever golfing event, celebrity dinner, or look-at-me high priced gala that will have them. I may sound angry, but I’m not. It thrills me to know that megastars like P-Diddy will be mere miles from my being. And if I actually bumped into Beyonce and Jay-Z, I might just faint like a teenage girl at a Beatles’ concert!

    Until I hear that the immortal Nick Nolte is attending a scotch tasting conference at the infamous Mons Venus, I’m just not impressed. If people are actually going to pay money at a place that is knowingly advertising the talents of a scarier than ever Pamela Anderson, a crispy fried DJ AM, and freaking DJ JAZZY JEFF (yes, that one), then have at it folks. I’ll use this opportunity to begin to sift through pages and pages of Prop bets.


    Seriously, I’ll pass






    I know that many consider Props to be sucker bets. Personally, I enjoy them. I definitely try to find some gems for the big game every year, with varying results. They give you a little something extra to keep an eye on in between the hoopla of the game itself. Oh, and if anyone finds odds on how many times Bruce Springsteen mentions Barack Obama’s name during the halftime show, shoot them my way, thanks.

    Shortest field goal of the game Under 25.5 yards (-115)

    In order for this to cash, either team has to attempt, and make, a field goal when their offense if on the seven yard line or less. If this is an explosive high-scoring game, I could be in trouble on many fronts. It is my belief that Pittsburgh will do what they’ve done all year long, and that is to make key plays and score when they have to, and make life difficult for opposing offenses. With that being said, I can certainly see a situation where Arizona gets shut down on the goal line, and opts for some early points to stay in the game.

    The quality of kickers won’t come into play nearly as much for this wager, than if you were playing the longest FG made. It would be a chip shot for either Neil Rackers or Jeff Reed. The fact that both made over 87% of their FG attempts this season is just a bonus.

    Kurt Warner passing yards Under 255.5 yards (-120)

    Warner is averaging 256.7 yards passing in these playoffs, and 286.4 in the regular season. The problem is he doesn’t get to throw against San Francisco or St. Louis today. Oh no, he is up against the regular season’s best pass defense in the Steelers. They led the league in allowing only 156.9 ypg, and are only giving up 200 in the postseason.

    This one seems easy to me. The only concern I have is if Arizona is playing catch up at the end and Warner is slinging the rock down the field to Larry Fitzgerald. But this is when Troy Polamalu shines, as evidenced by his 40 yd interception in the 4th quarter of last week’s game. Rod Stewart will comfort him when the game is done, because Warner is going to struggle.


    Get used to it, Kurt



    Will Pittsburgh score in the 1st & 2nd quarters – Yes (-160)





    I think that the Steelers will look to take control early on in the game. The second half could find them sitting on the ball, and allowing their defense to take control as the Cards shift into panic mode. The first half is where they might come out strong. There is a lot of chance that goes into this one, but it will give me something entertaining leading into the halftime show (when I shall promptly change the channel).





    Will there be three unanswered scores – Yes (-200)





    All by Pittsburgh. Preferably in the first half so I can celebrate early. And if by chance I have Arizona all wrong and they run rampant all over the Steelers, I could still cash this one. In the playoffs thus far, a team has scored three unanswered times in 7 of the 10 games, so I like my chances.







    There are millions more to choose from, ranging from the strategic, to just plain wacky. I’m sure I’ll find some more that I like the more I stare at them. Propositions are fun, just like being propositioned is fun. Especially if you’re at Mons Venus.
  • Willie Bee
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-14-06
    • 15726

    #2
    Remember to visit Mons Venus, just a few blocks west of the West Tampa Little League Park and a few blocks east of Boy Scout Blvd
    Comment
    • Bread
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-16-08
      • 23726

      #3
      Bee...I know you didn't visit that naughty establishment after taking in some wholesome minor league baseball!
      Comment
      • Willie Bee
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-14-06
        • 15726

        #4
        Haven't been to a gentlemen's club in about a quarter century, Bread. Made a deal with God and we have each kept our end of the bargain.
        Comment
        • pico
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 04-05-07
          • 27321

          #5
          take the tail on the coin flip
          Comment
          • Bread
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 03-16-08
            • 23726

            #6
            I take the tail wherever I can get it.
            Comment
            • trytrytry
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 03-13-06
              • 23653

              #7
              good read here.. things to consider
              Comment
              • Smogs
                SBR MVP
                • 12-31-08
                • 4173

                #8
                I went to a dunkin donuts in Tampa once
                I like the warner u 255 yds play, if the shock happens and ari are winning early they will be more than happy to run the ball and if chasing, ints could be a common occurrence
                Comment
                • pimike
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 03-23-08
                  • 37140

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Willie Bee
                  Haven't been to a gentlemen's club in about a quarter century, Bread. Made a deal with God and we have each kept our end of the bargain.
                  Nice to hear
                  Comment
                  • purecarnagge
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-05-07
                    • 4843

                    #10
                    Really like that unanswered score at -200 where is that at? And any better odds?
                    Comment
                    • Portlander
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 09-22-08
                      • 292

                      #11
                      With every game played this season in the NFL by Pittsburgh and Arizona each time they won the coin toss Arizona always accepted the ball first and Pittsburgh always deferred and kicked off to the opposition. - courtesy of Junkman's research on EOG.

                      Assuming that this is correct, [Cardinals to receive/Pittsburgh to kickoff] should be a pretty solid bet I would think..
                      Comment
                      • Bread
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 03-16-08
                        • 23726

                        #12
                        Portlander that is very good info. Don't see why either of them would switch it up now.

                        PC...That particular number was at the greek.
                        Comment
                        • slacker00
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 10-06-05
                          • 12262

                          #13
                          I like all of these props, Bread. Excellent analysis. GL with these!
                          Comment
                          • Bread
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 03-16-08
                            • 23726

                            #14
                            Thanks Slack. If the final is something like AZ 42 Pitt 14, then I'm obviously screwed all over the place. LOL.
                            Comment
                            • RageWizard
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-01-06
                              • 3008

                              #15
                              I like the over 0.5 total number of missed field goals in the game by both teams combined for +100 at Pinny. Then field goal kickers are notorious for being freaks when it comes to the big game, and I think that there will be at least 4 attempts during the game.
                              Comment
                              • RageWizard
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-01-06
                                • 3008

                                #16
                                I also like Fitzgerald as the MVP for +1000. The steelers got smoked by the long ball when they played the chargers and Fitzgerald just goes and gets the ball when thrown deep. The only problem with that is the people who decide this shit usually go for the quarterback who threw the ball.
                                Comment
                                • RageWizard
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-01-06
                                  • 3008

                                  #17
                                  anyone else like the edge to score a T.D for +243?
                                  Comment
                                  • sickler
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 06-05-08
                                    • 15006

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Bread
                                    Shortest field goal of the game Under 25.5 yards (-115)

                                    In order for this to cash, either team has to attempt, and make, a field goal when their offense if on the seven yard line or less.


                                    ON FG tries, kick 7 or 8 yards from line of scrimmage seems pretty standard, but is there a rule as to how far back the ball can be placed? 9 yards back from the 7 yard line would make it a 26 yarder.


                                    Anyone know?
                                    Comment
                                    • RageWizard
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-01-06
                                      • 3008

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by sickler
                                      ON FG tries, kick 7 or 8 yards from line of scrimmage seems pretty standard, but is there a rule as to how far back the ball can be placed? 9 yards back from the 7 yard line would make it a 26 yarder.


                                      Anyone know?
                                      There is no rule on this, however, I don't think that a team would change the kicking routine just for the superbowl. They will use what they have praticed about a million times before and used in the game. I don't think that any team is using anything different than the standard 7 yards?
                                      Comment
                                      • accuscoresucks
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 11-03-07
                                        • 7160

                                        #20
                                        must be some kind of prop bet fever going around
                                        Comment
                                        • sickler
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 06-05-08
                                          • 15006

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by RageWizard
                                          There is no rule on this, however, I don't think that a team would change the kicking routine just for the superbowl. They will use what they have praticed about a million times before and used in the game. I don't think that any team is using anything different than the standard 7 yards?


                                          For long tries (50+), I believe the ball is sometimes spotted further back.
                                          Comment
                                          • slacker00
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-06-05
                                            • 12262

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by RageWizard
                                            anyone else like the edge to score a T.D for +243?
                                            Not really. I don't see Edge tearing up the Steelers run D. Besides, I saw them bring in Hightower for goal line last week.

                                            Stick with Fitz for MVP +1000.
                                            Comment
                                            • Bread
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 03-16-08
                                              • 23726

                                              #23
                                              Accu..I love prop bets. The Super Bowl is just the best time to go nuts with them. There are literally hundreds and hundreds to choose from.
                                              Comment
                                              • jackpot269
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 09-24-07
                                                • 12842

                                                #24
                                                Good info thanks Bread Ive never bet props before local guy don't offer them. well i guess i Ive never ask before!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
                                                Comment
                                                • Chi_archie
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 07-22-08
                                                  • 63172

                                                  #25
                                                  going to be looking at these closer today
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Bread
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 03-16-08
                                                    • 23726

                                                    #26
                                                    I'll probably be looking at some more. Way too much time in between the big game for me to get into trouble with.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • pico
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 04-05-07
                                                      • 27321

                                                      #27
                                                      100 dimes pick: tails
                                                      10 dimes pick: arizona wins the coin toss
                                                      5 dimes pick: first score is a TD
                                                      1 dime pick: first play is a pass
                                                      Comment
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