Baltimore Vs. Tennessee Analysis

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  • nick2060
    SBR MVP
    • 10-28-08
    • 1051

    #1
    Baltimore Vs. Tennessee Analysis
    This game has been boiling my brain because i really liked the way both teams played this year. Kevin Mawae is Doubtful for the game and i really can't stress how big i think this is going to be versus the organized chaos of Baltimore. Lucky thing for Tennessee is this game is at home so the centre wont have to deal with the noise. Leroy Harris is his name, a second year player out of N.C. State who has started one game this season. That was the last game of the season when they faced Indianapolis. Keep in mind Kevin Mawae is a pro-bowler so just wow, it's such a huge downgrade in my opinion and whether he is able to take in the organized chaos and then block ray lewis and bart scott and ngata will definitely be a big factor in this game. Could you imagine if Baltimore is able to exploit him, it could hurt the Titans run game a lot which hurts even more in playoff football.

    Getting of the Kevin Mawae injury, Tennessee's defense should be fully stocked with two exceptions, Dave Ball, who is a backup defensive end to kearse and vanden bosh, but would've come in handy keeping those boys fresh, or if they get injured. Also questionable (which in playoff football means he'll probably play), is David Thorton whos a pretty bomb linebacker, real fast to the ball. Eitherway they should be able to get in Flaccos face and organize some chaos of there own. They matchup rather well seeing how Baltimore likes to pound the ball, and they'll have to pound it right into Albert haynesworth and the boys. Lets not have his absence fool you, this man makes this defense a whole lot better and gets penetration regardless of who is on the other side of him. Baltimore is most likely going to be forced into a lot of third and long situations, and with such a good defense punting the ball is a lovely goddamn thing as long as they don't turn the ball over which Flacco did twice, although to his credit, it was his fifth game in the nfl and the extra experience probably helped him at least a bit.

    In a defensive game like this i really think buying a half point at +3.5 makes it a really good play because i don't see Tennessee winning by more than a field goal, maybe even worth a moneyline play. I didn't go into Baltimores defense cause if you dont know about these boys yet then you probably shouldnt be bettting this game lol
  • robert715
    SBR Sharp
    • 09-06-08
    • 251

    #2
    I took Titans -3, this Mawae thing is bothering me too. Big time!
    Comment
    • nick2060
      SBR MVP
      • 10-28-08
      • 1051

      #3
      lol nice picture
      Comment
      • Cougar Bait
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-04-07
        • 18282

        #4
        I like Baltimore, but not sure how much I'll play on this game. Probably 2 units. I keep wondering where any scoring will come from and the only thing I can think of is from a pick 6 or a fumble recovery. It should be ugly, but wow that u/o 34 is tempting.
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        • Kingctb27
          SBR MVP
          • 07-16-08
          • 2258

          #5
          Titans fan here, so beware.

          Ball is most likely out, but that is pretty irrelevant with KVB back, and Jacob Ford is actually a better back up to be honest. Ball is very similar to KVB in that they play really well against the run, where as Ford is more of a speed rusher. Ford has 7 sacks this year in limited duty and Ball has 4.5 when he has basically played all season in place of KVB. While Ball would be nice to have, as long as Kearse and KVB are healthy, Ford will be fine keeping the starters fresh.

          Not only do the Titans bring back Haynesworth for this game, but they also get back Kevin Vickerson from suspension. (Banned diuretic... He chose to take his suspension unlike the Williams guy's because he knew he wasn't crucial part of the team and Titans were already in the playoffs.) Vickerson and Jason Jones will keep Haynesworth fresh and it's also possible to see Jason Jones at DE... He did register 3.5 sacks vs the Steelers when big Albert was out.

          Keep in mind that the Ravens will try to pound the ball and then try to take 4-5 deep shots down the feild either to Mason or more than likely Clayton. That is basically their offense. Sure they will try some crossing routes with Heap, but he doesn't get targeted as much as he should, IMO. Keep in mind that the Titans have only given up 2 plays through the air of over 30 yards. I wouldn't bet on them completing any of these deep shots with Griffin playing over the top of Clayton all day long. Hope will be playing in the box.

          The only way the Ravens score a TD is by means of special teams, on a defensive TD or by their defense giving them a short field. I cannot see the Ravens driving the ball over 60 yards and finding the endzone. Their offense just isn't dynamic enough vs a stout defense like the Titans possess.

          I see a very low scoring game and the Titans edging this one out by a FG or a TD.

          I have not bet on this game yet, but if I can find it at -2.5 I will do so.
          Comment
          • natelli1
            SBR Sharp
            • 12-01-08
            • 251

            #6
            "THE TITANS WILL NOT GET IN THE ENDZONE" unless the ravens turn the ball over deep in their own territory .. and if Mawae plays you know he will not be 100% and he cannot block ngata and the other blitzing LB's if thats the case.
            the ravens will pound the ball all game and the defense will do its thing and stop the run which leads to the abuse of kerry collins. The Ravens 'D' will get 1 or 2 take-aways which will give their 'O' more possesions leading to points and time off the clock
            im taking the ravens large +3.5(buying a hook to be safe) and a nice size moneyline ... good luck
            Last edited by natelli1; 01-09-09, 12:53 AM.
            Comment
            • Kingctb27
              SBR MVP
              • 07-16-08
              • 2258

              #7
              Agh, forgot to add that I have no clue why Thorton is listed as questionable, he hasn't missed practice this week...

              Mawae injury does scare me a bit, but keep in mind that Mawae left the Pittsburgh game pretty early on and he faired well against that "top" defense.

              Titans get no respect at all. I love it.
              Comment
              • Kingctb27
                SBR MVP
                • 07-16-08
                • 2258

                #8
                Originally posted by natelli1
                "THE TITANS WILL NOT GET IN THE ENDZONE" unless the ravens turn the ball over deep in their own territoy .. and if Mawae plays you know he will not be 100% and he cannot block ngata and the other blitzing LB's if thats the case.
                the ravens will pound the ball all game and the defense will do its thing and abuse kerry collins which will give their offense more chances to put up points im taking the ravens large +3.5(buying a hook to be safe) and a nice size moneyline ... good luck
                Yeah, they will ABUSE him, that is why they failed to sack him one time in their first meeting. I guess their defense is at "another level" like their offense is right now. Flacco has made so many strides says the talking heads, yet he only completed like 35% of his passes vs a Miami defense which isn't worth a shit.

                You guys will get buried if you bet Ravens big on this one, trust me. Don't fall into the trap that espn has made for you guys to fall into... I haven't heard one person pick the Titans on ESPN. You guys are falling into this trap. Don't let it happen.
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #9
                  I actually think this is the easiest game to pick this week, Baltimore ML is the only play.
                  Comment
                  • sportsguy04
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-21-08
                    • 11885

                    #10
                    Yup Ravens +3 for me.

                    Heck, Might even play the under 34. This game could easily be a 13-10 game.
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #11
                      I think Ravens ML is better than Ravens +3 long term. Now +3.5 would be different.
                      Comment
                      • whoatommy
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 09-29-08
                        • 863

                        #12
                        titans get no respect all season long...hopefully it goes down to -2.5...will take them there
                        Comment
                        • w9ii9
                          Restricted User
                          • 11-25-08
                          • 96

                          #13
                          The Kevin Mawae injury hurts big time.
                          Comment
                          • Dana4U
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 10-28-08
                            • 375

                            #14
                            I see Ravens winning this in a tight defensive battle. Getting Vandenbosch and Hayensworth back are huge for the Titans - but I doubt their conditioning will be able to carry them for 4 quarters. I'm thinking the Ravens make their offensive moves late 3rd and 4th quarters after these guys begin to tire. I will buy the hook for insurance and ride the Ravens into next week. The under score is probable, but to be sure I will most likely take the 2-team teaser bet and take points and overs on this game coupled with the Steelers game. Come on already, is it asking too much for these games to put up 31 or 32 points apiece?
                            Comment
                            • nick2060
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-28-08
                              • 1051

                              #15
                              Even though this homer is clearly biased, he does have a point about flacco doing pretty horrible. It really gets lost cause it was a blowout but he really played like crap. Secondly i think people are on Baltimore because titans havent shown up for a few weeks. didnt see them play last week, and the week before they played there backups n got thrashed by the colts. On the other hand we've seen what this baltimore squad is capable of. And willis Mcgahee seems to have found a nice role coming in the fourth quarter after McClain wears down the defense and breaking a big one. Eitherway its going to be a really good game
                              Comment
                              • Deceptive
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 10-15-07
                                • 40

                                #16
                                If i am not mistaken Balt. played cleveland and cinn. twice as well as the raiders, now i know Tenn. played cinn and cleveland and detroit however, i do feel Tenn. is the best bargin this week, Baltimores defense is a force however, i believe the line is a little skewed due to the last game where Tenn. rested against IND. i believe the line was set to suck people in after Balt. performance at Miami. I really see Tenn. shutting down Flaco and winning by 6 or 7, t least thats what i see who knows what my wallet will see after the game.
                                Comment
                                • ACCBball
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 02-26-08
                                  • 264

                                  #17
                                  I look at it which has improved the most since they last played. I would say Baltimore wins that battle. Tenn has been great all year and they really havent gotten worse or better. Baltimore has gotten better on offense without a doubt. The two picks Flacco had against the titans were really poor decisions, which I dont think he makes again. Like Bmore 17-10.
                                  Comment
                                  • Buckeye
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 05-18-07
                                    • 302

                                    #18
                                    The fact that no one is giving Tennessee any respect and they have the better coach, and a very good Defense, makes me believe that Tennessee is the play. Remember, the Pittsburgh game, when no one believed they could win without Vanden Bosch and Haynesworth. I wouldn't be surprised to see Tennessee win this game and cover.

                                    Tennessee - 3
                                    Comment
                                    • nick2060
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-28-08
                                      • 1051

                                      #19
                                      Thats also a really good point, harbaugh vs. fisher clearly goes to fisher, and with the homefield advantage im just about ready to flip flop to the titans. I dont like kerry Collins and i think Flacco has better ball security which is obviously big and if it comes down to a field goal im taking bironas over stover any day. Also Flacco threw two interceptions while Baltimore created two interceptions, one by a tipped pass and the other was chris McCalister. Titans just covered there men and flacco tried to force it rather than throw it out of bounds. Take that how you want to, whether its plus points for baltimores defense, or minus points for flacco
                                      Comment
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