Rookie of the Year odds

[Boscoe]

Thoughts? Manuel is tempting at 20-1

ODDS TO WIN NFL OFFENSIVE ROOKIE OF THE YEAR
70001	CORDARRELLE PATTERSON			+1000
70002	DEANDRE HOPKINS			+800
70003	DENARD ROBINSON			+1500
70004	EDDIE LACY			+800
70005	EJ MANUEL			+2000
70006	ERIC FISHER			+2000
70007	GENO SMITH			+800
70008	GIOVANI BERNARD			+1800
70009	JOHNATHAN FRANKLIN			+1800
70010	JUSTIN HUNTER			+1200
70011	KEENAN ALLEN			+1800
70012	LEVEON BELL			+1500
70013	LUKE JOECKEL			+2000
70014	MONTEE BALL			+800
70015	ROBERT WOODS			+1800
70016	STEDMAN BAILEY			+1500
70017	TAVON AUSTIN			+500
70018	TYLER EIFERT			+1000
70019	ZACH ERTZ			+2000
70020	THE FIELD (ANY OTHER PLAYER)			+500

[trevor123698]

tavon austin is the play.

[suicidekings]

I think you have to start with Geno Smith and EJ Manuel as the most likely to have the chance to make a big impact and get the media hype. Unfortunately, neither one has a lot of weapons to throw to, making it tough to stand out. Especially following the Luck/RG3/Wilson show last season.

Outside of QBs, you probably scratch the most of the receivers as not getting enough opportunities to put up a strong stat line. It's pretty rare for a rookie receiver to adjust to the pro level quickly enough to set themselves apart. The impact of Joekel & Fisher will be huge, but OTs have a tough time getting recognized.

A few of the RBs will be entrenched behind elite #1 backs, but Le'Veon Bell has a good shot at being the Steelers' #1 tailback this season as he's better than Dwyer. Between Lacy and Franklin, you're stuck with wondering if drafting these two guys represents a genuine shift in mentality to bring a significant rushing attack to Lambeau or if they'll be content with just adding a change of pace. I think the 51 sacks Rodgers took last season and the restructured OL make it a lot more likely that McCarthy will really give these guys a chance to prove themselves, and ultimately Franklin will win the #1 starting job. Franklin is a better pass protector and a little better in running screens, not to mention being less of an injury risk.

I don't think making any bets on this is smart until you start to see what's coming out of practices and preseason.

[meader99]

I think you have to start with Geno Smith and EJ Manuel as the most likely to have the chance to make a big impact and get the media hype. Unfortunately, neither one has a lot of weapons to throw to, making it tough to stand out. Especially following the Luck/RG3/Wilson show last season.

Outside of QBs, you probably scratch the most of the receivers as not getting enough opportunities to put up a strong stat line. It's pretty rare for a rookie receiver to adjust to the pro level quickly enough to set themselves apart. The impact of Joekel & Fisher will be huge, but OTs have a tough time getting recognized.

A few of the RBs will be entrenched behind elite #1 backs, but Le'Veon Bell has a good shot at being the Steelers' #1 tailback this season as he's better than Dwyer. Between Lacy and Franklin, you're stuck with wondering if drafting these two guys represents a genuine shift in mentality to bring a significant rushing attack to Lambeau or if they'll be content with just adding a change of pace. I think the 51 sacks Rodgers took last season and the restructured OL make it a lot more likely that McCarthy will really give these guys a chance to prove themselves, and ultimately Franklin will win the #1 starting job. Franklin is a better pass protector and a little better in running screens, not to mention being less of an injury risk.

I don't think making any bets on this is smart until you start to see what's coming out of practices and preseason.

Hope it's Franklin. Early reports have the Packers considering using him returning kicks. I can't imagine that happens if he wins the starting job, but if he doesn't he should get opportunities in the passing game and returning kicks. If he stays healthy he's got as good a chance as anybody.

[vikingfan101]

If I had to choose it would be between Montee Ball and Jonathan Franklin. Two already solid teams who needed some additional help at RB. Wouldn't sleep on DeAndre Hopkins either. Gotta figure he puts up some big numbers, only real target on that team outside of Andre.

[suicidekings]

Montee Ball has a couple of things going for him. He's a perfect fit for the Broncos zone running scheme, given his skill-set and experience, and he's proven himself very durable, which McGahee/Moreno are not. He's also got good technique (pad level, patience) and vision.

Still, he's not very fast, he's not overly strong, and he's not going to explode out for big gains. He'll likely be competing for playing time with either McGahee or Moreno for touches (Probably unlikely that both stay on the roster, at $3M & $3.3M respectively) and even with the Broncos trying to improve their run game this season, I don't know that he'll be able to rack up the yardage or TD stats when Peyton has Welker/Thomas/Decker/Dreesen/Tamme on the field in key situations.

[a4u2fear]

Being a bills fan and listening to all the talk around here, it's quite possible kolb starts instead of Manuel, so, something to watch

[bfour]

Montee Ball has a couple of things going for him. He's a perfect fit for the Broncos zone running scheme, given his skill-set and experience, and he's proven himself very durable, which McGahee/Moreno are not. He's also got good technique (pad level, patience) and vision.

Still, he's not very fast, he's not overly strong, and he's not going to explode out for big gains. He'll likely be competing for playing time with either McGahee or Moreno for touches (Probably unlikely that both stay on the roster, at $3M & $3.3M respectively) and even with the Broncos trying to improve their run game this season, I don't know that he'll be able to rack up the yardage or TD stats when Peyton has Welker/Thomas/Decker/Dreesen/Tamme on the field in key situations.

I'm with you SK. Ball is the guy. Check out this Peyton quote:
@JameyEisenberg: Peyton Manning on rookie RB Montee Ball: "We are going to count on him in a big way this year." #Broncos #fantasyfootball

[slacker00]

... Le'Veon Bell has a good shot at being the Steelers' #1 tailback this season as he's better than Dwyer.
...I don't think making any bets on this is smart until you start to see what's coming out of practices and preseason.

Great writeup. Bell +1500 looks like good value. With Pitts, he'll have every opportunity to show what he can do.