NFL Best Bets - Week 15 (Thursday Dec 11th, '08 through Monday Dec 15th, '08)

[Robust]

Share your best bets for Week 15: Thursday, Sunday and Monday.

All sides and totals will be graded using -110 unless otherwise indicated. Max play is 10 units.

Parlays and teasers will not be reflected in the results.

Make sure you post a line for all bets and good luck!


Note: Don't wanna step on anyones toes, but it is about 5 hours to game time. Needed this up to post the picks. Also, I will be grading these, if no one objects, so we can have a free, friendly competition once again!

[Robust]

12/11/08 Saints (NewOrleans) +125 5u
12/11/08 Saints (NewOrleans) Over 46 5u

good luck to ALL!

Robust

[Robust]

12/11/08 Saints (NewOrleans) +125 5u
12/11/08 Saints (NewOrleans) Over 46 5u

good luck to ALL!

Robust

12/11/08 Saints (NewOrleans) Over 46 5u <- @ -110

my book doesn't post -110 as it is a given, but for the purposes of this contest, please post so we have a correct line.

Robust

[roasthawg]

Buff +9 and over 41
Clev +14 and over 38
Det +17
Jax +2 and under 45.5
Min/AZ under 47.5
NE/Oak over 39
NYG +3
Pit/Bal over 34
Sea -2.5
Ten/Hou under 45
Was -6.5 and over 36

[Skanless1]

Sea -2.5

[yisman]

Arizona Cardinals -3 10 units

[bostonbruins]

7pt teaser (+200) 1u

Sea/Stl Over 35
Atl +3.5
Was -.5
Mia +1


3line parlay (+240) 2u

Atl ML
Arz ML
Mia ML

[Robust]

Got quite a few this week, lets hope for a great sunday! All Plays 5units and -110 unless otherwise noted.

49ers(SanFrancisco)
Dolphins(Miami) 12/14/08(13:05 ET)
49ers(SanFrancisco) +7 (-140)
Bought 1.0 point(s)

Bills(Buffalo)
Jets(NewYork) 12/14/08(13:05 ET)
Jets(NewYork) -6.5 (-150)
Bought 1.0 point(s)

Broncos(Denver)
Panthers(Carolina) 12/14/08(16:20 ET)
Panthers(Carolina) -6.5 (-150)
Bought 1.0 point(s)

Buccaneers(TampaBay)
Falcons(Atlanta) 12/14/08(13:05 ET)
Falcons(Atlanta) -2.5 (-150)
Bought 0.5 point(s)

Chargers(SanDiego)
Chiefs(KansasCity) 12/14/08(13:05 ET)
Chargers(SanDiego) -3 (-185)
Bought 3.0 point(s)

Giants(NewYork)
Cowboys(Dallas) 12/14/08(20:20 ET)
Over 43.5 (-150)
Bought 2.0 point(s)

Redskins(Washington)
Bengals(Cincinnati) 12/14/08(13:05 ET)
Redskins(Washington) -6.5

Steelers(Pittsburgh)
Ravens(Baltimore) 12/14/08(16:20 ET)
Over 34

Titans(Tennessee)
Texans(Houston) 12/14/08(13:05 ET)
Texans(Houston) +3.5 (-130)
Bought 0.5 point(s)

Vikings(Minnesota)
Cardinals(Arizona) 12/14/08(16:10 ET)
Cardinals(Arizona) -2.5 (-145)
Bought 0.5 point(s)

Bills(Buffalo)
Jets(NewYork) 12/14/08(13:05 ET)
Over 41

Buccaneers(TampaBay)
Falcons(Atlanta) 12/14/08(13:05 ET)
Over 44.5

Chargers(SanDiego)
Chiefs(KansasCity) 12/14/08(13:05 ET)
Over 45

Redskins(Washington)
Bengals(Cincinnati) 12/14/08(13:05 ET)
Under 36.5

Titans(Tennessee)
Texans(Houston) 12/14/08(13:05 ET)
Under 45

Good Luck!

Robust

[onlooker]

329 Giants ML +145

[pat venditto]

Lions ML +1300

[cweh]

Seattle - 2.5
Green Bay -1.5
Denver +7.5
Texans +3.5
Miami -6
Ravens -1.5
Browns +15
Lions +17

[RageWizard]

I made all of these plays on Friday, so the lines are old. I hope that I can snap out of this 3 week losing streak that I am currently going through.

N.E -7 4 Units
G.B -1 3 Units
Ten -3 3 Units
NYG +3 3 Units
PIT @ BAL OVR 34 3 Units

Good luck everyone.

[riggs]

Good Luck, Robust!

[laxdjock]

Mia -6
Az -3
Ne -6.5
Gb -1

[LT Profits]

Reskins/Bengals OVER 36 -103 (5 Dimes)
Ravens -0.5 -115 (First Half) (5 Dimes)
Patriots/Raiders UNDER 39.5 -110 (Greek)

[Mr Handicapable]

Lions ML


Jets -2/Rams/Hawks Over 36 Teaser 3 units
Jets -8/Rams/Hawks Over 42 Parlay 1 unit

Cards -3(-120)/Vikings 2 units
SF +7(-115)/Miami 1 unit
Houston ML (+145)/Titans 1 unit
Jets -8/Buffalo 1 unit

GL!!

[NYER5680]

Big card this week.All plays 1 unit.

wash o 36.5 -110
sf o41 -110
buffalo +8 -110
buffalo o 41 -110
tenn u 45.5 -110
pitt 0 34 -110
denver +9 -110
Tb +4 -110
pitt ML +130
giants ML +135



GL everyone.

[yisman]

Jets -7.5 3 units
Atlanta Falcons -4 2 units

[yisman]

Miami Dolphins -5 3 units

[SportsGambler]

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +5.5 -110
Denver Broncos +290

[yisman]

Detroit/Indy OVER 44.5 4 units

[nysmoneyman]

tenn -3 x5
packers -2 x5

[yisman]

Oakland Raiders +7 (-105) 2 units - Bodog

[Robust]

Adding (for 5 u):

12/14/08 Cowboys (Dallas) -2.5
20:20 ET (-135)
Buying (0.5 points)

but feel free to fade.. not doing well this week

Robust

[Robust]

Adding (5u each)

12/15/08 Browns (Cleveland) +16.5
20:40 ET (-120)
Buying (0.5 points)

12/15/08 Browns (Cleveland) Over 39.5
20:40 ET Eagles (Philadelphia) (-120)
Buying (0.5 points)

Good luck to ALL!

Robust

[haserfauld]

Robust, as a bit of a newbie to the practice I'm just curious. Why would you buy the browns to 16.5 and not 17, but the o/u to 39.5 when a score of over 39.5 will almost surely be a score of over 40 as well? I'm not trying to criticize or anything, I don't claim to have nearly the experience here you do. Is there something I dont get?

[yisman]

Philadelphia Eagles ML -860 10 units - Matchbook

[Robust]

Robust, as a bit of a newbie to the practice I'm just curious. Why would you buy the browns to 16.5 and not 17, but the o/u to 39.5 when a score of over 39.5 will almost surely be a score of over 40 as well? I'm not trying to criticize or anything, I don't claim to have nearly the experience here you do. Is there something I dont get?

i bought the .5 on the 16 cuz i see cle scoring alot of field goals.. 7-3-7-3-7-3-7-3 = 28-12

Cle covers and the over barely hits.. lol

But you are right.. those were not critical numbers.. a gut play on my part really..

and sorry if i posted this late.. was busy and then following the in-game thread..

Robust

[haserfauld]

No worries, that totally makes sense. I was just curious =) i bought them to +17 just because. They gotta step up at this rate though, haha.

[yisman]

Philadelphia Eagles second half -6.5 7 units

[haserfauld]

i bought the .5 on the 16 cuz i see cle scoring alot of field goals.. 7-3-7-3-7-3-7-3 = 28-12

Cle covers and the over barely hits.. lol

But you are right.. those were not critical numbers.. a gut play on my part really..

and sorry if i posted this late.. was busy and then following the in-game thread..

Robust

and that was smart, you won and i pushed haha. Good gut feeling. I pushed on a lot this game actually. Browns > 10, browns > 7 second half, total >40

push is better than a loss!

[yisman]

Browns covered the second half line.

They lost 13-7.

[Robust]

Results for Week 15:

roasthawg 10-5-0 9.09 67%
Skanless1 1-0-0 0.91 100%
NYER5680 5-5-0 -0.06 50%
SportsGambler 1-1-0 -0.09 50%
Mr Handicapable 2-2-0 -0.68 50%
pat venditto 0-1-0 -1 0%
onlòóker 0-1-0 -1 0%
LT Profits 1-2-0 -1.13 33%
laxdjock 1-3-0 -2.09 25%
cweh 3-5-0 -2.26 38%
Robust 11-9-0 -4.87 55%
RageWizard 1-4-0 -8.36 20%
nysmoneyman 0-2-0 -10 0%
yisman 2-5-1 -19.24 25%

results were sorted in units won.

CONGRATULATIONS roasthawg. Week 15 champ!

Thank you all for participating.

Robust

-edit- If you see an error, please report so i can correct it.

[yisman]

thanks for scoring it. You're not stepping on anyone's toes, because Illusion hasn't been doing the NFL Best Bets threads for a while now.

I posted it for a few weeks, when I wanted to make a Thursday pick and noticed there was no thread.